Job Growth Slows in April - Real Time Insight
01 5월 2013 - 7:09PM
Zacks
News on the job front
this morning leaned towards the modestly disappointing
side.
Softness in job growth is
now apparent. That being said, adding +119K jobs is in line with a
muddle through +2% real GDP growth pace.
What about the market’s
expectations? Consensus forecasted +150K job adds from APD
this morning. The same forecasters expect the Federal government to
report a gain of +135K jobs on Friday. In the face of the miss,
major stock indexes were down this morning before the
open.
Service-providing jobs
increased by +113,000, the weakest pace of growth in seven months.
Goods-producing employment rose by +6,000 jobs in April, its
slowest pace of growth in seven months.
In the press release from
ADP, Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, was given
this quote,
“Job growth appears to be
slowing in response to very significant fiscal headwinds. Tax
increases and government spending cuts are beginning to hit the job
market. Job growth has slowed across all industries and most
significantly among companies that employ between 20 and 499
workers.”
I do not agree with Mark
Zandi’s statement.
Globally exposed
industry groups are being hurt the worst.
Look at the evidence:
In goods production, manufacturers showed job losses. They
are globally exposed. In services, the globally exposed sector is
trade, transport, and utilities. This industry’s April monthly job
add number was relatively weak.
Domestically,
construction firm employment bounced back, the finance sector
continued to plod along, and profession/business services added a
decent amount of jobs.
Here is the data ADP
provided…
Total ADP U.S.
Nonfarm Private Employment: +119,000
By Company
Size:
Small businesses: +50,000
1-50 employees
Medium businesses:
+26,000 50-499 employees
Large businesses: +43,000
500-999 employees and 1,000+ employees
By
Sector:
+113,000 Service
providing
+6,000 Goods
producing
Industry
Snapshot:
+29,000
Trade/transportation/utilities
+20,000
Professional/business services
+15,000
Construction
+7,000 Financial
activities
-10,000
Manufacturing
What was your take on this
key report?
Please go ahead
and join the debate on Real Time Insight
today.
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