S&P 500 (SP500) 옵션

I believe that is correct, the 20% is still on as it relates to the fentanyl. And Commerce Sec mentioned there are some other chip tariffs that may come on in a month or two. So it is very unclear for any confidence of forward anticipation. Hell if we can figure out the "playbook" as it is constantly moving.

Thx for your thoughts regarding my parents. I'm feeling better now after 4 months has passed, as time does heal ones losses.

Yeah, I saw that update today too. Frustrating and almost seems to be creating confusion, but for what goal?

spartex, sad to hear about your parents.
even when expected, it's def still hard.

re: USA national debt,
def agree it needs addressing.
but i'm not confident trump will do it.
his clear priority is hefty tax cuts for wealthy and corps again.
and trump increased the deficit in his first term
more than either obama or biden.
some of that was covid spending,
but ~2.5t was directly due to tax cuts for the wealthy.
time will tell.

re: AAPL, check the trump post in my prior msg.
looks like the electronics tariffs are back on,
but, if i'm parsing his babble accurately,
maybe only 20% tariffs for AAPL,
instead of the 125%?

of course, that might all change tmrw morning.
nothing is certain with trump.
just a wild unpredictable rollercoaster.

bond market clearly showing
that global investors are losing faith
in the stability of usa markets.

spartex, trump flip-flopped yet again...
after clearly exempting electronics on friday,
he posted today that the exemption never happened...

ES futs gapped up at the open tonight,
but sold off a bit since then.

no telling what will happen tmrw.
markets hate uncertainty
and there is nothing certain about trump trade policy.

[[ NOBODY is getting “off the hook” for the unfair Trade Balances, and Non Monetary Tariff Barriers, that other Countries have used against us, especially not China which, by far, treats us the worst! There was no Tariff “exception” announced on Friday. These products are subject to the existing 20% Fentanyl Tariffs, and they are just moving to a different Tariff “bucket.” The Fake News knows this, but refuses to report it. We are taking a look at Semiconductors and the WHOLE ELECTRONICS SUPPLY CHAIN in the upcoming National Security Tariff Investigations. ]]

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114332337028519855

Bend the knee or be tariffed (from MarketEar; ZeroHedge premium account)

A week for the history books. Largest 1-day gain since the GFC – before that, the last time it happened was in 1939 (!). It feels like more and more countries will bend the knee to Trump in terms of tariffs. And the collective bending of the knee of Big Tech at the inauguration now directly pays off as tech will be exempt from China tariffs. Looking at some extreme positioning data, one would conclude that bears also will have to bend the knee soon and that there won't be another low.

My guess is Bitcoin to trade sideways to down for the next few weeks to a month to hit my target 72k then eventually take off from there. S&P to follow it’s trend as usual.

As of November 1st, 2021 Yahoo’s suite of services will no longer be accessible from mainland China. Yahoo products and services remain unaffected in all other global locations. We thank you for your support and readership.

I remember when Yahoo was so kind as to put my moms email in the spam folder. The problem still exists with spam sent through email, I wonder, when will they realize it's how undesirables communicate these days...

No, I don't. in the future, you'll remember mine more than anyone else's

You need to break down your charts using clear standard units and labeling versus cartoons.

Is your right side Y axis the DOW index (see below) asa it seems from the number values; right size Fib?
And is your DOW pivot from the next "top" Dec 2025 from what I could see on your chart?

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EDJI/

Potus, played a good one on us last time, which played into our hands seen here;



Frankly speaking, the market goes up, I make money, the market goes down, I make even more money to use that money to increase my dividend paying shareholdings... No, I'm not interesting in sharing which Ones;

But, I will say, the "Benner Fibonacci" trend back to 2026 is a big possibility now with "Trumps good time to buy Stocks", But here's the problem with that, it resets every 48 years? Meaning, 2025 swing, my only problem with Trump, he didn't Admit he inherited a Bubble, and then played his only Trump card off our 36500 Trend Line claiming it's a good time to buy stocks? One only review my profile, I do keep track of past comments from former Presidents... "but, IHUB limits data we can keep available and I won't be able to enter the current POTUS message, so what IHUB? Here we are today? We see that the real selling hasn't even begun yet? Meaning, the tariffs aren't even the real underlying problem..



I'm keeping all my stocks, "none are the top 1000", "rolled up my shorts"...

Yes, "I'm still short"...

Oh, and by the way, that news was released on Saturday to/for? Certainly not the Iphone distributor sitting on millions of Iphones he will have to liquidate them now, thinking he would get an extra 25-100%, and, not to me... I won't look to buy Liquidations until the first quarter of 2026

Hey imiloa, good to hear from you!

Yeah, Trump heard from Tim Cook and a few other CEOs that they need some serious chunks of time to make their transition shift.

I think your projection of a possible 10% pop or more for Apple is very realistic. For me, I'm just happy with my position in S&P500 indexes after it started to fall in into March, and then the tariff bottom fell out!

The US still needs to manage its massive debt, and that requires reducing spending, inflation and the 10 year yield, and other longer end treasuries as there will be a large amount of debt issuance this Fall and beyond. Good luck imiloa on your positions, and hope you are doing well! PS: both of my folks have passed in Nov and Dec, and it was all expected, but always a difficult time right in the middle of Thanksgiving and Christmas. 🙏 Life is short, and much shorter as we enter retirement! Need to enjoy the beauty of Life before we enter the next stage!

for clarity,
here's what i'm looking at.

before the tariff crash,
AAPL support was ~219.
with R in the ~250+ range.

seems likely tariff-exempt AAPL
is worth at least 220,
if not 230+.?

hey spartex,
long time, not chat.

re: "exempts phones, computers, chips from new tariffs,"
i saw that, too.
my first thought was,
"tim cook threw donnie some manner of bone..."

2nd thought was,
consider SPY and AAPL calls monday morning,
depending on how far they gap up...

Notice to US tech investors, and shorts too!

Trump exempts phones, computers, chips from new tariffs

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/12/trump-exempts-phones-computers-chips-tariffs-apple-dell.html

Trump exempts phones, computers, chips from new tariffs

Hah, another shift to take the tariff heat off w/ big exemptions to allow tech and chip companies time to adjust to shifting their factories!

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/12/trump-exempts-phones-computers-chips-tariffs-apple-dell.html

US's tariff negotiation = asking and forcing the country victim to buy more and more US T- Bills notes every week, every month!! non stop!!

So your charts are indicating DIA goes down to 262.5 ....."confidence restored" line????

Notice to Day Traders?

What a surprise! the algo went to reset line to load more inventory



.. and you KNEW all those lines before market open! crazy

Macro---SPX needs take out Weds Hi 5481---Otherwise just 2 inside Days ???

Red Lines--- Red Lines Retaken 15 & 30 mins-----With exception of SPX----Allways the Holdout ??

VIX---9:00--VIX Dropped Below DA 15 MIN -SPX 5 min CCI By/Sig---Mkt Advanced Off Da 5 Min Red Line!!-----539C .52---1.85---DD Tks Boys! Lookin Good So Far !!

much nicer Boyz, we know how to play that

DaBoyz are playing with our patience

Here comes the rip higher, prob closes close to 540 imo, now 526, GL

Scalped Out 498C .86! 50% ++Take It !! Vix Reverse Again ??

Scalped 1/2 498P .91! Take It !

Ridin 498P .48!

SPX Coiling Between Thurs--Fri Pivots----5295---5245 ???

Scalped 542C .88!

In 542C .67!

VIX Coiling around Da Pivot ???

Scalped Out 542C .92! Vix Flipping ! -- Back Up To Da Pivot ??

VIX Double Top 45.14 ---So Far ??

VIX Pivot 43.24---Morning LITS ??? Bears Above///Bulls Below ???

Scalped 1/.2 542C 1.14! DD !! Take it !!

ES S1 5318!----Pivot 5351 ??

Riddin 542C .53 !

Don't be scared! here is the map



and we have those maps and targets for free... for years..... every single day

VIX---15 min Falling Wedge in Place Pre Mkt---Base 41.35 at Da 15 min Red Line !!---See If Holds Till Morning For Sum Good compression & B/O ??~---Lets See ??

Red Line Status----SPX 5 min Retaken----15 min No----30 min No---( Mkt Rejected 30 min Last Thursday & Again Today ?? )-----VIX Spent Most of Day Above Da 15 Min Red Line & Pivot !---Result--SPX & SPY Spent The Day Below Their Pivots ----Macro Inside Day !! ( Watch The Pivots --They'll Tell The Story !! )

Pivot Calcs: SPX Pivot--5245----R1--5375----S1--5137-----SPY Pivot--522----R1--535----S1--511-----ES Pivot--5351-----VIX Pivot--43.34 !!LOL!!

Nice Charts! --- Into The Abys ??

Not only all that but we're also experiencing ;

thanks not sure which April but all should have you smilling

Y'wanna know what "the problem" is ?

I'll TELL ya' what the problem is......

THIS is what the problem is ;












Thems are what the problem is.




If things can't overcome those lines ?........There'd be a real big problem.






Would you like me to next analyse the SPY ?




Okay let me see if I can.








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VIX Coiling at da 15 min Red Line---Thinkin it Over ???? SPX at The Pivot ??

Thank you. Completely understand and appreciate what you've shared.

I may need to join you in your discord room down when my personal timing is better!

Best wishes as well as thanks on your generosity to others, like ducci using his TA methods.

Hey! I'm Diggin This! Watch Da VIX 15 min Red Line B/B for General Direction ----I'm Just Traddin off the VIX 1 min MACD Xovers on the deeper Swings !! (Deadly !!)

Keep in mind that markets usually go much lower after single day rallies. Here's the data on it in this video: