Madalena Energy Inc. ("Madalena" or the "Company") (TSXV: MVN,
OTCQX: MDLNF) is pleased to announce the results of its annual
independent reserves assessment as at December 31, 2018.
All dollar amounts are in United States dollars
and all reserves and production volumes are on a working interest
before royalties ("WI") basis and are expressed in barrels ("bbl")
of oil equivalent ("boe"), unless otherwise indicated.
Madalena’s CEO Jose Penafiel commented: “In
2018, Madalena grew its reserves across all reserves categories,
largely thanks to successful appraisal drilling and an initial
pilot development plan being put in place for the Vaca Muerta shale
on the Coiron Amargo Sur Este (CASE) block. Our newly acquired
increased interest in the Palmar Largo block also contributed to
reserves growth. We are excited to have generated this substantial
reserves growth with the activity levels the Company had in 2018,
in advance of 2019, during which we expect to significantly
increase our Capex activity.”
2018 Year-End Reserves Report:
Discussion of Reserves
Madalena’s year end 2018 reserves were evaluated
by independent qualified reserves evaluators GLJ Petroleum
Consultants Ltd. ("GLJ"). The evaluation of Madalena’s properties
in Argentina was done in accordance with the definitions, standards
and procedures contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation
Handbook and National Instrument 51-101 - Standards of Disclosure
for Oil and Gas Activities.
The following tables summarize information
contained in the independent reserves report prepared by GLJ with
an effective date of December 31, 2018, dated February 22, 2019
(the "GLJ 2018 Report"), with comparatives to the independent
reserves report prepared by GLJ with an effective date of December
31, 2017 (the "GLJ 2017 Report", and collectively with the GLJ 2018
Report and the GLJ 2017 Report, the "GLJ Reports"). Additional
reserve information as required under NI 51-101 will be included in
the Company's Annual Information Form which will be filed on SEDAR
by April 30, 2019. Consistent with the Company’s reporting
currency, all amounts are in United States dollars unless otherwise
noted.
The recovery and reserve estimates provided in
this news release are estimates only, and there is no guarantee
that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual reserves may
eventually prove to be greater than, or less than, the estimates
provided herein. In certain of the tables set forth below, the
columns may not add due to rounding.
All December 31, 2018 reserves presented are
based on industry consensus pricing for January 1, 2019. Industry
consensus pricing is based on the average price forecasts from the
three largest reserves evaluation companies in Canada – GLJ
Petroleum Consultants, McDaniel and Associates and Sproule
Associates Limited. ("Industry Consensus"); all December 31, 2017
reserves presented are based on Industry Consensus pricing
effective January 1, 2018.
Madalena’s reserves are located in Argentina’s
Neuquen and Noroeste basins.
2018 Year-End Gross Reserves
Volumes
|
December 31, |
Increase |
Reserves Category |
2017 |
2018 |
over |
|
|
Dec 31, 2017 |
Mboe(1) |
Mboe(1)(2) |
% |
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) |
2,040 |
2,245 |
10 |
% |
Proved Developed Non-Producing |
586 |
838 |
43 |
% |
Proved Undeveloped |
1,008 |
1,795 |
78 |
% |
Proved (1P) |
3,634 |
4,878 |
34 |
% |
Probable |
4,467 |
5,866 |
31 |
% |
Proved + Probable (2P) |
8,101 |
10,744 |
33 |
% |
Possible(3) |
4,579 |
7,928 |
73 |
% |
Proved + Probable + Possible (3P) |
12,680 |
18,672 |
47 |
% |
(1) Mboe is defined as thousand barrels of oil
equivalent.
(2) All reserves are presented as Madalena
working interest before royalties. 2018 net reserves after
royalties are: PDP 1,854 Mboe, proved developed non-producing 704
Mboe, proved undeveloped 1,501 Mboe, 1P 4,059 Mboe, 2P 9,005 Mboe
and 3P 15,718 Mboe.
(3) Please refer to the “Oil and Gas Advisory”
section for a description of each reserve category. Possible
reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be
recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that
the quantities recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved
plus probable plus possible reserves.
2018 Gross Reserves by
Block
Block |
|
|
Proved + |
|
Proved+ |
Probable + |
Proved |
Probable |
Possible |
Mboe(1) |
Mboe(1) |
Mboe(1) |
Coiron Amargo Norte (CAN) |
325 |
871 |
1,227 |
Coiron Amargo Sur Este (CASE) |
984 |
3,797 |
8,900 |
Palmar Largo |
661 |
731 |
765 |
Puesto Morales |
2,030 |
3,640 |
4,994 |
Surubi |
664 |
1,261 |
2,260 |
Other Blocks |
214 |
444 |
526 |
Total |
4,878 |
10,744 |
18,672 |
(1) All reserves are presented as Madalena
working interest before royalties. Please refer to the “Oil and Gas
Advisory” section for a description of each reserve category.
Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less
certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10%
probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed the
sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves.
2018 Gross Year-End Reserves Volumes by
Product Type (1)
Product Type |
Proved |
Total |
Total Proved |
Total Proved+ |
Developed |
Proved |
+
Probable |
Probable + |
Producing |
|
|
Possible |
Light & Medium Crude Oil (Mbbl)(2) |
1,698 |
3,250 |
5,885 |
8,392 |
Tight Crude Oil (Mbbl) |
186 |
962 |
3,714 |
8,705 |
Conventional Natural Gas (MMcf)(3) |
2,162 |
3,865 |
6,376 |
8,278 |
Shale Gas (MMcf)(3) |
0 |
127 |
498 |
1,171 |
Oil Equivalent (Mboe) |
2,245 |
4,878 |
10,744 |
18,672 |
(1) All reserves are presented as Madalena
working interest before royalties. Please refer to the “Oil and Gas
Advisory” section for a description of each reserve category.
Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less
certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10%
probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed the
sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves.
(2) Mbbl is defined as thousands of barrels
(3) MMcf is defined as one million cubic
feet
Crude Oil Price Forecast – GLJ
Report
The price forecast used for the GLJ Report is
based on Industry Consensus pricing for January 1, 2019.
Forecast Prices used in Estimates
effective January 1, 2019
Brent Blend Crude Oil |
Year |
% Inflation |
USD/bbl |
|
|
|
2019 |
0.0 |
65.92 |
2020 |
2.0 |
69.47 |
2021 |
2.0 |
71.65 |
2022 |
2.0 |
73.72 |
2023 |
2.0 |
75.58 |
2024 |
2.0 |
77.39 |
2025 |
2.0 |
79.27 |
2026 |
2.0 |
81.27 |
2027 |
2.0 |
82.88 |
2028 |
2.0 |
84.54 |
2029 |
2.0 |
86.21 |
2030 |
2.0 |
87.93 |
2031 |
2.0 |
89.68 |
2032 |
2.0 |
91.49 |
2033 |
2.0 |
93.32 |
2034 |
2.0 |
+2.0%/yr |
Reconciliation of Brent Price
Forecast
|
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
Brent (USD$/bbl) – January 1, 2018 |
62.33 |
63.93 |
66.13 |
70.37 |
73.23 |
75.21 |
Brent (USD$/bbl) – January 1, 2019 |
71.59(1) |
65.92 |
69.47 |
71.65 |
73.72 |
75.58 |
(1) Actual 2018 ICE Brent average price
Reserves Net Present Value Before Tax
Summary – Industry Consensus Pricing Forecast (1)
Reserves Category |
NPV10 |
NPV10 |
Increase |
December |
December |
over |
31, 2017 |
31, 2018 |
Dec 31-2017 |
(MM) |
(MM) |
% |
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) |
$13.2 |
$15.6 |
18% |
Proved Developed Non-Producing |
$6.6 |
$8.6 |
30% |
Proved Undeveloped |
$1.5 |
$5.6 |
273% |
Proved (1P) |
$21.4 |
$29.7 |
39% |
Probable |
$44.3 |
$53.7 |
21% |
Proved + Probable (2P) |
$65.7 |
$83.4 |
27% |
Possible(2) |
$74.2 |
$107.3 |
45% |
Proved + Probable + Possible (3P) |
$139.9 |
$190.7 |
36% |
(1) Net present values (“NPV10”) are stated in
USD and are discounted at 10 percent. Please refer to the
“Oil and Gas Advisory” section for a description of each reserve
category. The forecast prices used in the calculation of the
present value of future net revenue are based on the Industry
Consensus January 1, 2018 and Industry Consensus January 1, 2019
price forecasts, respectively. The Industry Consensus January 1,
2019 price forecast will be included in the Company's Annual
Information Form.
(2) Possible reserves are those additional
reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable
reserves. There is a 10% probability that the quantities recovered
will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible
reserves.
Reserves Net Present Value After Tax
Summary – GLJ Brent Forecast (1)
Reserves Category |
NPV10 |
NPV10 |
Increase |
December |
December |
over |
31, 2017 |
31, 2018 |
Dec 31-2017 |
(MM) |
(MM) |
% |
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) |
$13.2 |
$15.6 |
18% |
Proved Developed Non-Producing |
$6.1 |
$8.6 |
41% |
Proved Undeveloped |
-$0.2 |
$3.9 |
- |
Proved (1P) |
$19.1 |
$28.1 |
47% |
Probable |
$33.1 |
$36.8 |
11% |
Proved + Probable (2P) |
$52.2 |
$64.9 |
24% |
Possible(2) |
$52.8 |
$83.8 |
59% |
Proved + Probable + Possible (3P) |
$105.0 |
$148.7 |
42% |
(1) Net present values are stated in USD and are
discounted at 10 percent. All reserves are presented as
Madalena working interest before royalties. Please refer to the
“Oil and Gas Advisory” section for a description of each reserve
category. The forecast prices used in the calculation of the
present value of future net revenue are based on the Industry
Consensus January 1, 2018 and Industry Consensus January 1, 2019
price forecasts, respectively. The Industry Consensus January 1,
2019 price forecast will be included in the Company's Annual
Information Form.
(2) Possible reserves are those additional
reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable
reserves. There is a 10% probability that the quantities recovered
will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible
reserves.
Reserve Life Index ("RLI")
|
Dec. 31, 2017(1) |
Dec. 31, 2018(2) |
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) |
3.0 |
3.6 |
Proved (1P) |
5.3 |
7.7 |
Proved Plus Probable (2P) |
11.8 |
17.0 |
(1) Calculated by dividing the amount of the
relevant reserves category by average Q4 2017 production of 1,872
boe/d annualized.
(2) Calculated by dividing the amount of the
relevant reserves category by estimated average Q4 2018 production
of 1,730 boe/d annualized.
2018 Year-End Gross Reserves
Reconciliation Company
|
Total Proved |
Total Proved + |
Total Proved + |
|
Probable |
Probable + |
|
|
Possible |
|
Mboe |
Mboe |
Mboe |
31-Dec-17 |
3,634 |
8,101 |
12,680 |
Technical Revisions |
341 |
138 |
229 |
Extensions & Improved Recovery(1) |
979 |
2,538 |
5,772 |
Acquisitions(2) |
529 |
552 |
563 |
Economic Factors |
18 |
41 |
53 |
Production |
-625 |
-625 |
-625 |
December 31, 2018(3) |
4,878 |
10,744 |
18,672 |
Extensions & improved recovery are
predominantly associated with the evaluations of the Coiron Amargo
Sur Este (CASE) block.
- Reserve acquisitions are associated with the evaluations of the
Palmar Largo block.
- Subject to final reconciliation adjustments. All reserves are
presented as Madalena working interest before royalties. Please
refer to the “Oil and Gas Advisory” section for a description of
each reserve category. Possible reserves are those additional
reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable
reserves. There is a 10% probability that the quantities recovered
will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible
reserves. The estimates of reserves and future net revenue for
individual properties may not reflect the same confidence level as
estimates of reserves and future net revenue for all properties,
due to the effects of aggregation.
Future Development Costs
FDC reflects GLJ's best estimate of what it will
cost to bring the proved undeveloped and probable reserves on
production. Changes in forecast FDC occur annually as a result of
development activities, acquisition and disposition activities, and
changes in capital cost estimates based on improvements in well
design and performance, as well as changes in service costs. FDC
for total 2P Argentina reserves increased to $143.3 million at
year-end 2018 from $94 million at year-end 2017.
($ millions) |
Total Proved |
Total Proved Plus Probable |
2019 |
17.8 |
21.7 |
2020 |
9.9 |
41.6 |
2021 |
11.1 |
40.1 |
2022 |
15.0 |
39.9 |
2023 |
- |
- |
Remainder |
- |
- |
Total (undiscounted) |
53.7 |
143.3 |
Operational Update
Palmar Largo and Surubi
A workover has been successfully performed
during February in the Proa-3 light oil well on the Surubi Block
(85% operated). A producing formation has been re-perforated and a
new artificial lift configuration has been run in order to increase
production. A production test is currently in progress. Taking
advantage of cost synergies, the workover rig will be mobilized to
the adjacent Palmar Largo block (100% operated), where the Company
recently increased its working interest from 14% to 100%, to
perform additional workovers.
Curamhuele (90% operated)
As announced previously the company is
continuing efforts to farm out an interest in the block to secure a
strategic partner as part of its strategy to develop Curamhuele’s
unconventional resource potential. However, Madalena is committed
to drilling and testing the well at its own cost if a farm out
transaction is not completed. The Company believes the block to be
prospective in both the condensate/wet gas window and the dry gas
window of the Vaca Muerta formation. The Company believes the block
is also prospective in the Lower Agrio formation which was
previously tested vertically by the company. Offset activity has
increased in the blocks adjacent to Curamhuele with Chevron
announcing an 8 well appraisal program targeting the Vaca Muerta
formation in the adjacent El Trapial block with an estimated capex
investment of $200 million.
About Madalena Energy
Madalena is an independent upstream oil and gas
company with both conventional and unconventional oil and gas
operations in Argentina. The Company’s shares trade on the
TSX Venture Exchange under the symbol MVN and on the OTCQX under
the symbol MDLNF.
For further information please
contact:
Jose
David PenafielChief Executive Officeremail:
info@madalenaenergy.comphone: (403) 262-1901 |
|
Alejandro Augusto PenafielDirectoremail:
info@madalenaenergy.comphone: (403) 262-1901 |
Reader Advisories
Oil and Gas Advisories
The recovery and reserve estimates of crude oil
reserves provided in this news release are estimates only, and
there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be
recovered. Actual crude oil reserves may eventually prove to be
greater than, or less than, the estimates provided herein. All
December 31, 2018 reserves presented are based on Industry
Consensus pricing effective January 1, 2019. All December 31, 2017
reserves presented are based on Industry Consensus pricing
effective January 1, 2018.
It should not be assumed that the estimates of
future net revenues presented herein represent the fair market
value of the reserves. There are numerous uncertainties inherent in
estimating quantities of crude oil, reserves and the future cash
flows attributed to such reserves. The estimates of net present
values for individual properties may not reflect the same
confidence level as estimates of net present values for all
properties, due to the effects of aggregation.
“Proved Developed Producing Reserves" are those
reserves that are expected to be recovered from completion
intervals open at the time of the estimate. These reserves
may be currently producing or, if shut-in, they must have
previously been on production, and the date of resumption of
production must be known with reasonable certainty.
"Proved Developed Non-Producing Reserves" are
those reserves that either have not been on production or have
previously been on production but are shut-in and the date of
resumption of production is unknown.
"Proved Undeveloped Reserves" are those reserves
expected to be recovered from known accumulations where a
significant expenditure (e.g. when compared to the cost of drilling
a well) is required to render them capable of production.
They must fully meet the requirements of the reserves category
(proved, probable, possible) to which they are assigned.
"Proved" reserves are those reserves that can be
estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is
likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed
the estimated proved reserves.
"Probable" reserves are those additional
reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved
reserves. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities
recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated
proved plus probable reserves.
“Possible” reserves are those additional
reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable
reserves. There is a 10 percent probability that the quantities
actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus
probable plus possible reserves. It is unlikely that the actual
remaining quantities recovered will exceed the sum of the estimated
proved plus probable plus possible reserves.
The term "Boe" means a barrel of oil equivalent
on the basis of 6 Mcf of natural gas to 1 barrel of oil ("bbl").
Boes may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe
conversation ratio of 6 Mcf: 1 Bbl is based on an energy
equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner
tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
Given the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as
compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy
equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a conversion ratio at 6:1 may be
misleading as an indication of value.
Light crude oil is crude oil with a relative
density greater than 31.1 degrees API gravity, medium crude oil is
crude oil with a relative density greater than 22.3 degrees API
gravity and less than or equal to 31.1 degrees API gravity, and
heavy crude oil is crude oil with a relative density greater than
10 degrees API gravity and less than or equal to 22.3 degrees API
gravity.
With respect to finding and development costs,
the aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in
the most recent financial year and the change during that year in
estimated future development costs generally will not reflect total
finding and development costs related to reserve additions for that
year.
This press release contains several oil and gas
metrics, including F&D costs, FD&A costs, and RLI. These
oil and gas metrics have been prepared by management and do not
have standardized meanings or standard methods of calculation and
therefore such measures may not be comparable to similar measures
used by other companies and should not be used to make comparisons.
Such metrics have been included herein to provide readers with
additional measures to evaluate the Company's performance; however,
such measures are not reliable indicators of the future performance
of the Company and future performance may not compare to the
performance in previous periods and therefore such metric should
not be unduly relied upon. Management uses these oil and gas
metrics for its own performance measurements and to provide
security holders with measures to compare the Company's operations
over time. Readers are cautioned that the information provided by
these metrics, or that can be derived from the metrics presented in
this news release, should not be relied upon for investment or
other purposes. A summary of the calculations of such metrics are
as follows:
Finding and development (“F&D”) costs are
calculated by dividing capital expenditures by the change in
reserves within the applicable reserves category. F&D costs,
including FDC, include all capital expenditures in the year as well
as the change in FDC required to bring the reserves within the
specified reserves category on production.
Finding, development and acquisition
("FD&A”) costs represent the costs of property acquisition,
exploration, and development incurred. The aggregate of the
exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent
financial year and the change during that year in estimated future
development costs generally will not reflect total finding and
development costs related to reserves additions for that year.
FD&A costs are calculated as capital
expenditures plus net acquisition costs plus change in FDC.
FD&A per boe is calculated as FD&A costs divided by
reserves additions for the applicable period.
Reserves life index is calculated by dividing
the applicable reserves category by the annualized fourth quarter
production.
Forward Looking Information
The information in this news release contains
certain forward-looking statements. These statements relate to
future events or our future performance, in particular, but not
limited to, the Company's expected operations and results in
the Palmar Largo, Surubi and Curamhuele blocks, amounts and
allocations of capital expenditure increases expected for 2019,
statements relating to "reserves" which are, by their nature,
forward-looking statements, as they involve the implied assessment,
based on certain estimates and assumptions that the reserves or
resources, as applicable, described exist in the quantities
predicted or estimated and that the reserves can be profitably
produced in the future. The recovery and reserve estimates of
Madalena's reserves provided herein are estimates only and there is
no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. All
statements other than statements of historical fact may be
forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are often,
but not always, identified by the use of words such as "seek",
"anticipate", "plan", "continue", "estimate", "approximate",
"expect", "may", "will", "project", "predict", "potential",
"targeting", "intend", "could", "might", "should", "believe",
"would" and similar expressions.
In addition to other factors and assumptions
which may be identified in this news release, assumptions have been
made regarding, among other things, anticipated production volumes;
the timing of drilling wells and mobilizing drilling rigs; the
number of wells to be drilled; anticipated capital expenditures,
the Company's ability, or the ability of operating partners of the
Company, as applicable, to obtain qualified staff and equipment in
a timely and cost-efficient manner; the regulatory framework
governing royalties, taxes and environmental matters in the
jurisdictions in which the Company conducts and will conduct its
business; future capital expenditures to be made by the Company;
sources of funding for the Company's capital programs; geological
and engineering estimates in respect of the Company's reserves and
resources; current commodity prices and royalty regimes;
availability of skilled labour; future exchange rates; the price of
oil; conditions in general economic and financial markets; effects
of regulation by governmental agencies; future operating costs;
recoverability of reserves and future production rates; and that
the estimates of Madalena's reserves and resource volumes and the
assumptions related thereto (including commodity prices and
development costs) are accurate in all material respects; and other
matters.
These statements involve substantial known
and unknown risks and uncertainties, certain of which are beyond
the Company's control, including: the impact of general economic
conditions; industry conditions; changes in laws and regulations
including the adoption of new environmental laws and regulations
and changes in how they are interpreted and enforced; fluctuations
in commodity prices and foreign exchange and interest rates; stock
market volatility and market valuations; volatility in market
prices for oil and natural gas; liabilities inherent in oil and
natural gas operations; uncertainties associated with estimating
oil and natural gas reserves; unforeseen changes in the rate of
production from Madalena's oil and gas properties; adverse
technical factors associated with exploration, development,
production or transportation of Madalena's crude oil reserves;
changes in income tax laws or changes in tax laws and incentive
programs relating to the oil and gas industry; geological,
technical, drilling and processing problems and other difficulties
in producing petroleum reserves; and obtaining required approvals
of regulatory authorities. The Company's actual results,
performance or achievement could differ materially from those
expressed in, or implied by, such forward-looking statements and,
accordingly, no assurances can be given that any of the events
anticipated by the forward-looking statements will transpire or
occur or, if any of them do, what benefits the Company will derive
from them. These statements are subject to certain risks and
uncertainties and may be based on assumptions that could cause
actual results to differ materially from those anticipated or
implied in the forward-looking statements. The forward-looking
statements in this news release are expressly qualified in their
entirety by this cautionary statement. Except as required by law,
the Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise
any forward-looking statements. Investors are encouraged to review
and consider the additional risk factors set forth in the Company's
Annual Information Form, which is available on SEDAR at
www.sedar.com.
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its
Regulation Service Provider (as that term is defined in the
policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for
the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
Madalena Energy (TSXV:MVN)
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