Climate Change-Influenced Hurricane Season Could Threaten an Estimated 8 Million Homes With Storm Surge in 2021 According to ...
01 6월 2021 - 10:00PM
Business Wire
The New York and Miami metro areas top the list
with most homes at risk in the face of rising sea levels
CoreLogic® (NYSE: CLGX), a leading global property information,
analytics and data-enabled solutions provider, today released its
2021 Hurricane Report, providing analysis of single- and
multifamily residences along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts and
revealing nearly 8 million homes with more than $1.9 trillion in
combined reconstruction cost value (RCV) are at risk of storm
surge. This year’s report also examines hurricane wind and reveals
more than 31 million homes with nearly $8.5 trillion in combined
RCV have moderate or extreme risk exposure to hurricane winds.
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2021 Storm Surge Risk Numbers for the
Gulf and Atlantic Coasts (Graphic: Business Wire)
With a record high of 30 named storms in the 2020 Atlantic
hurricane season and the larger looming impact of climate change,
CoreLogic is urging insurers and lenders to prepare for an
unpredictable season by shifting the focus from loss adjudication
to loss prevention and avoidance. To help mitigate the effects of
hurricanes and other natural disasters, it is important to support
community resilience goals and understand the risk faced by those
impacted.
“To provide a 360-degree view of the impact of climate change,
we took a look at the U.S. housing economy after a hurricane
strikes and noticed a significant spike in mortgage delinquency
rates and loss in housing inventory,” said Frank Nothaft, Chief
Economist at CoreLogic. “Communities most affected by natural and
financial catastrophe include those with already-high delinquency
rates such as in Lake Charles, Louisiana, as reflected in the pre-
and post-Hurricane Laura landfall rates.”
Hurricanes, Climate Change and the Impact to Humans
Climate change is significantly affecting the characteristics of
hurricanes in the basins that impact the U.S. An increase in
frequency and severity of hurricanes with damaging wind, storm
surge and flooding will result in the continuation of property
losses and increased financial implications on the insurance
industry. While wind damages are covered by standard homeowners
insurance policies, flood insurance is not consistent. Adoption
inside the Special Flood Hazard Areas (SFHA) designated by FEMA is
strong, but it’s rarely purchased outside of those zones. In fact,
CoreLogic studies have shown that up to 70% of the damages from
flood to homes is uninsured.
This means many unsuspecting homeowners could be left with
little-to-no protection in recovery from intensifying hurricane
seasons. When lower income communities are hit with disaster, it
can have long-lasting, compounding effects. Damaged homes, often
unsuitable for habitation, may force communities into living
situations with new, unplanned-for expenditures. Their place of
work may be damaged, locking them out of earning income.
Storm Surge and Hurricane Wind Risk Data
CoreLogic evaluated the storm surge and hurricane wind risk
levels for both single-family (SFR) and multifamily (MFR)
residences along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts, from Texas up to
Maine, for the 2021 hurricane season. Analysis includes the total
estimated reconstruction cost value (RCV), which is calculated
using the combined cost of construction materials as well as
equipment and labor assuming total (100%) destruction of the
property.
Metro Implications
CoreLogic looked at the top 15 metropolitan areas with the
greatest number of SFR and MFR homes at risk for storm surge and
wind damage. The review of the risk counts tells the story of
varying risk profiles in the communities we reside in:
- The New York, New York metro area has the greatest risk with
890,430 homes with over $356 billion RCV at risk for storm surge
and over 3.8M homes with over $1.6 trillion RCV at risk for
hurricane wind.
- The Miami, Florida metro area that includes Miami, Ft.
Lauderdale, and West Palm Beach follows the New York Metro area
with more than 767,741 homes with over $156 billion RCV at risk for
storm surge and over 2M homes with over $422 billion RCV at risk
for hurricane wind.
- At a state level, Florida, Louisiana and New York have the
greatest number of homes at risk of storm surge and hurricane
winds.
“Resilience can be thought of as our ability to recover quickly
after a shock, and because we cannot alter the frequency and
severity of natural catastrophes, the continuity of our financial
system relies upon the expectation of resilient communities,” said
Tom Larsen, Principal, Insurance Solutions at CoreLogic. “The
current focus is on anticipating what challenges to resilience will
be confronting us in the future – a future where we expect more
damaging events.”
About CoreLogic
CoreLogic (NYSE: CLGX), the leading provider of property
insights and solutions, promotes a healthy housing market and
thriving communities. Through its enhanced property data solutions,
services and technologies, CoreLogic enables real estate
professionals, financial institutions, insurance carriers,
government agencies and other housing market participants to help
millions of people find, buy and protect their homes. For more
information, please visit www.corelogic.com.
CORELOGIC, and the CoreLogic logo are trademarks of CoreLogic,
Inc. and/or its subsidiaries. All other trademarks are the property
of their respective owners.
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Amy Brennan Corporate Communications newsmedia@corelogic.com
Caitlin New INK Communications Co 512-906-9103
corelogic@ink-co.com
Corelogic (NYSE:CLGX)
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