iShares 20 plus Year Treasury Bond (TLT) 시세

Terrible! The inflation was not transitory. Costs are up 30% from pre-pandemic 2019, now are confirmed to be higher and continuing to rise.
Also, the government debt increase is not transitory. It is up from $27 T from 2021 to over $35.7 T and heading higher. Not coincidence!!!

LOL yeah with sub prime loans and a pandemic. This won't be as dramatic

Yields are spiking due to a much stronger than expected jobs report.

the same thing happened in 2008 after the Fed started cutting rates.

And then the wheels came off the bus.

Mac10@SuburbanDrone

TLTW 14.8% dividend. Pays out on monthly basis. May be good alternative to park cash and collect monthly income...exposure to TLT.

https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=TLTW&insttype=Fund

"Waiting for a pullback before I add. In March 2020 the bond market crashed but the Fed stepped in within a day."

@SuburbanDrone

https://justdario.com/2024/09/the-us-yield-curve-is-screaming-danger-and-once-again-nobody-is-listening/

CBOE's VIXTLT Index Adds New Twist To Volatility:

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/bonds/24/08/40484619/from-stocks-to-bonds-cboes-vixtlt-index-adds-new-twist-to-volatility

Bought 3 Nov 96 calls here today at 3.50

Berkshire Hathaway now holds $234.6 BILLION in U.S. Treasury bills — that's more than the Federal Reserve.

https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/qtrly/2ndqtr24.pdf

TLTx3 (TMF)
https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=tmf&insttype=&freq=&show=

TLT Golden Cross today! I own the Oct 96 call options

Under Powell, costs have gone up more than 25% during the past 38 months. Costs are still going up far more than target.
Cost of labor is up more than 20%. Cost of energy is up more than 25%. Cost of aluminum and steel and produce and services are up more than 30%. Cost of rent is up more than 30%. Cost of meat is up more than 35%. Cost of insurance is up more than 40%. And all are going higher.
It is not all his fault. The federal governement has added more than $2 trillion per year to the debt and been injecting that into the economy and markets in order to make it look like a boom. They have brought the debt up from $21 trillion in 2019 to over $31.5 trillion as of last year. And now they are adding debt to the taxpayer even faster, with a $3.1 trillion increase to $34.6 trillion in the latest quarter. This is terrible policy that is unsustainable and is going to lead to an enormous collapse.

TLT chart:
https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=tlt&insttype=&freq=&show=

TLTW chart (16.8% yield):
https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=TLTW&insttype=Fund

Stop loss $90 next target $110

Bought 4 April 96 calls here last week at 2.01, interest rates have peaked!

KEY REVERSAL!!! 97.15 low! Partially filled the gap now 96.98-97.15 but would not fill the gap completely! Very Bullish Glad I locked in $425K in 5.5% CD's

Since China is still unloading a reported $800b in bonds, I suspect a bullish stance is way too premature.

On The Verge Of An Epic Showdown: Demand For TLT Calls "Explodes" To Record As Treasury Futures Shorts Hit All Time High
BY TYLER DURDEN - SUNDAY, OCT 29, 2023 - 10:00 PM

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/verge-epic-showdown-demand-tlt-calls-explodes-record-treasury-futures-shorts-hit-all-time

Central bank buying will drive gold over $2100 next year - TD Securities' Melek
$TLT

I know this was from April but… OUTSTANDING!!!

Record demand pushes silver into new era of deficits, Silver Institute says https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/record-demand-pushes-silver-into-new-era-deficits-silver-institute-says-2023-04-19 $TLT

stronger safe-haven flows into gold and silver $TLT

$TLT Call Option Open Interest Soars to Record High

Thinking come back to a 100 and will be the resistance

New video out on TLT worth the watch

Key economic data that could impact TLT

Watch that money market break the $ again before July 26th!

Buy below $100

TLT

https://schrts.co/hJMiPBdR

https://schrts.co/bGEYZRKP

TLT tanking back to 2015 levels!

i sleep with tlts under my pillow

ummm umumm tlt telling

lookn like its happening

Bull flag on the weekly here. Hard to resist

somebody did a

Jan 3 2020 137 straddle today'

When to buy TLT vs SPX ?

Can one make money when the spx goes down ?

Market Cap = 17.62B

TLT SPX

May be headed for a triple top at $147.50-148

Intraday H/S. Added Nov15 138 Puts at $1.15

Ugh. Immediately wish I would have went heavier on Puts lol

Thanks for the message, I don’t have PM. I’m tempted to wade in here shortly as well. It’s so insanely news driven recently it does make the trade riskier than back at $148. I think going further dated puts like you did is for sure the way to do it.

May regret it but scaling into Nov15 $138P

We did get a nice drop but not quite that far. What are you thinking from here?

Gonna gap down on open imo

Back down to $136??

Thanks, I'll try to compare the chart a bit to see if they mirror each other today or if it can be random as well because gold also influences it so it can't be fully moving in tandem.

I’m honestly not one to give opinion on metals because I don’t play them.

I would assume, like Bonds, they are a safety play when equities get “toppy”...

Personally there’s a lot of indecision and consolidation in the market right now trying to decide its next big move.

TLT has unfinished tech business at the 50MA, which it didn’t close above, we need to see how it trades tomorrow on Fed direction. But maybe miners had some similar technical moves left in the chart if they lagged metals....