iShares 20 plus Year Treasury Bond (TLT) 시세

88's

yep time to load was last week, quiet board.

TLT Time to load up on the dip - Economic numbers will be revised lower, as always, which will show continued economic contraction.

Their is a rush at the top in equities right now, the inverse play will be the long bond.

7% shrinking GDP numbers today. This is terrible and another massive increase to debt.
GDP = Consumption + Investment + Net Government Injection+ (Exports - Imports)
The government borrowed $2.5 trillion during the past 12 months & injected that into economy.
The GDP would have decreased by 7% if the manipulative government had not injected 9%. This is poor policy and will have disastrous consequences. #GDP_Shrunk7%

Terrible! The inflation was not transitory. Costs are up 30% from pre-pandemic 2019, now are confirmed to be higher and continuing to rise.
Also, the government debt increase is not transitory. It is up from $27 T from 2021 to over $35.7 T and heading higher. Not coincidence!!!

LOL yeah with sub prime loans and a pandemic. This won't be as dramatic

Yields are spiking due to a much stronger than expected jobs report.

the same thing happened in 2008 after the Fed started cutting rates.

And then the wheels came off the bus.

Mac10@SuburbanDrone

TLTW 14.8% dividend. Pays out on monthly basis. May be good alternative to park cash and collect monthly income...exposure to TLT.

https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=TLTW&insttype=Fund

"Waiting for a pullback before I add. In March 2020 the bond market crashed but the Fed stepped in within a day."

@SuburbanDrone

https://justdario.com/2024/09/the-us-yield-curve-is-screaming-danger-and-once-again-nobody-is-listening/

CBOE's VIXTLT Index Adds New Twist To Volatility:

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/bonds/24/08/40484619/from-stocks-to-bonds-cboes-vixtlt-index-adds-new-twist-to-volatility

Bought 3 Nov 96 calls here today at 3.50

Berkshire Hathaway now holds $234.6 BILLION in U.S. Treasury bills — that's more than the Federal Reserve.

https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/qtrly/2ndqtr24.pdf

TLTx3 (TMF)
https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=tmf&insttype=&freq=&show=

TLT Golden Cross today! I own the Oct 96 call options

Under Powell, costs have gone up more than 25% during the past 38 months. Costs are still going up far more than target.
Cost of labor is up more than 20%. Cost of energy is up more than 25%. Cost of aluminum and steel and produce and services are up more than 30%. Cost of rent is up more than 30%. Cost of meat is up more than 35%. Cost of insurance is up more than 40%. And all are going higher.
It is not all his fault. The federal governement has added more than $2 trillion per year to the debt and been injecting that into the economy and markets in order to make it look like a boom. They have brought the debt up from $21 trillion in 2019 to over $31.5 trillion as of last year. And now they are adding debt to the taxpayer even faster, with a $3.1 trillion increase to $34.6 trillion in the latest quarter. This is terrible policy that is unsustainable and is going to lead to an enormous collapse.

TLT chart:
https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=tlt&insttype=&freq=&show=

TLTW chart (16.8% yield):
https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=TLTW&insttype=Fund

Stop loss $90 next target $110

Bought 4 April 96 calls here last week at 2.01, interest rates have peaked!

KEY REVERSAL!!! 97.15 low! Partially filled the gap now 96.98-97.15 but would not fill the gap completely! Very Bullish Glad I locked in $425K in 5.5% CD's

Since China is still unloading a reported $800b in bonds, I suspect a bullish stance is way too premature.

On The Verge Of An Epic Showdown: Demand For TLT Calls "Explodes" To Record As Treasury Futures Shorts Hit All Time High
BY TYLER DURDEN - SUNDAY, OCT 29, 2023 - 10:00 PM

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/verge-epic-showdown-demand-tlt-calls-explodes-record-treasury-futures-shorts-hit-all-time

Central bank buying will drive gold over $2100 next year - TD Securities' Melek
$TLT

I know this was from April but… OUTSTANDING!!!

Record demand pushes silver into new era of deficits, Silver Institute says https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/record-demand-pushes-silver-into-new-era-deficits-silver-institute-says-2023-04-19 $TLT

stronger safe-haven flows into gold and silver $TLT

$TLT Call Option Open Interest Soars to Record High

Thinking come back to a 100 and will be the resistance

New video out on TLT worth the watch

Key economic data that could impact TLT

Watch that money market break the $ again before July 26th!

Buy below $100

TLT

https://schrts.co/hJMiPBdR

https://schrts.co/bGEYZRKP

TLT tanking back to 2015 levels!

i sleep with tlts under my pillow

ummm umumm tlt telling

lookn like its happening

Bull flag on the weekly here. Hard to resist

somebody did a

Jan 3 2020 137 straddle today'

When to buy TLT vs SPX ?

Can one make money when the spx goes down ?

Market Cap = 17.62B

TLT SPX

May be headed for a triple top at $147.50-148

Intraday H/S. Added Nov15 138 Puts at $1.15

Ugh. Immediately wish I would have went heavier on Puts lol

Thanks for the message, I don’t have PM. I’m tempted to wade in here shortly as well. It’s so insanely news driven recently it does make the trade riskier than back at $148. I think going further dated puts like you did is for sure the way to do it.

May regret it but scaling into Nov15 $138P

We did get a nice drop but not quite that far. What are you thinking from here?