DiscoverGold
19 시간 전
Tech Stock with Potential Support Amid Pullback
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | April 11, 2025
🔸 AMZN has pulled back to a historically bullish trendline at the 24-month moving average
🔸 For those looking to buy on the dip, AMZN has potential
Subscribers to Schaeffer's Weekend Trader options recommendation service received this AMZN commentary on Sunday night, along with a detailed options trade recommendation -- including complete entry and exit parameters. Learn more about why Weekend Trader is one of our most popular options trading services.
Friday’s broad-market selloff brought tech giant Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN) down to its 24-month, or two-year moving average. Since 2005, pullbacks to this trendline have proved to be solid buying opportunities (except for 2008, 2020, and 2022).
The equity landed near the $175 region, which was the site of multiple highs in 2020-2021. Its Friday low at $166 also coincides with the April 2024 low, and is near the site of the last major put open interest (OI) strikes in the options expiring though standard April expiry.
With these layers of technical support in place, now looks like a good time to buy AMZN on the dip. Due to potential volatility because of earnings later in the month, the time stop is tight.
Our recommended call option has a leverage ratio of 6.0, and will double on an 18.8% rise in the underlying shares.
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1 주 전
Amazon’s AI Agent
By: TrendSpider | April 2, 2025
Key Takeaways
• Amazon Joins the AI Agent Race: Nova Act claims 94% accuracy on ScreenSpot Web Text, outperforming OpenAI (88%) and Anthropic (90%).
• AGI & AI Expansion: Powered by Nova models (Micro, Lite, Pro, Canvas, Reel) and integrated with Alexa+, available on nova.amazon.com.
• AI for Automation: Nova Act SDK and 135+ AWS AI/ML training aim to enhance AI-driven workflows and reliability.
Amazon Enters the AI Agent Race with Nova Act
Amazon (AMZN) introduced Nova Act, a new AI agent designed to navigate web browsers and perform multi-step tasks independently on Monday. This move positions Amazon in direct competition with OpenAI’s Operator and Anthropic’s Computer Use, both of which enable AI-driven automation. Nova Act is launching as a research preview, allowing developers to build AI agents capable of tasks like making reservations, filling out forms, and searching for specific online information.
Notably, Amazon claims Nova Act outperforms OpenAI and Anthropic in internal tests, scoring 94% on ScreenSpot Web Text, compared to OpenAI’s 88% and Anthropic’s 90%. However, Amazon has not yet benchmarked it against widely accepted evaluations like WebVoyager.
Integration with Alexa+, Nova Models, and AGI Ambitions
Nova Act is the first product from Amazon’s San Francisco-based AGI lab, led by former OpenAI researchers David Luan and Pieter Abbeel. The lab’s broader goal is advancing AI toward Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)—AI that can handle any human task on a computer. Amazon is integrating Nova Act into Alexa+, a next-generation AI-enhanced Alexa.
Alongside this, it has introduced Amazon Nova, a new foundation model family designed for frontier intelligence and industry-leading price performance. Nova models—Micro, Lite, and Pro—offer scalable text generation, while Nova Canvas and Nova Reel focus on high-quality image and video creation.
To make AI development more accessible, Amazon has launched nova.amazon.com, where developers can explore Nova models, test AI capabilities, and experiment with the Nova Act SDK. “Nova.amazon.com puts the power of Amazon’s frontier intelligence into the hands of every developer and tech enthusiast,” said Rohit Prasad, SVP of Amazon Artificial General Intelligence.
Amazon’s AI Expansion and the Road Ahead
Amazon is betting big on AI agents, despite challenges faced by competitors like OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic, whose early agent models have struggled with speed, autonomy, and accuracy. With the Nova Act, Amazon aims to bridge these gaps and refine agent reliability across different use cases.
Additionally, Amazon is positioning Amazon Bedrock as the easiest way for businesses to build and scale generative AI applications. The Nova Act SDK enables developers to break down complex workflows into atomic commands (e.g., search, checkout, answer questions), ensuring greater control and reliability. U.S.-based developers can now access the Nova Act SDK via nova.amazon.com, alongside 135+ AWS AI/ML training programs for all experience levels.
With its aggressive push into generative AI—including Alexa+, Amazon Q, Rufus, Bedrock, and a dedicated agentic AI team—Amazon is making it clear that AI agents are a core part of its future. The success of the Nova Act could determine whether Amazon has cracked the code for more capable AI agents—or if it will face the same limitations as its rivals.
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DiscoverGold
2 주 전
One of the Best Stocks to Own This Spring: Amazon (AMZN)
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | March 31, 2025
• AMZN historically outperforms in April and in the second quarter
• Amazon.com stock has suffered two straight double-digit monthly losses
Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN) is headed for a 10.6% monthly drawdown in March, after a 10.7% drop in February. The blue-chip e-commerce giant hasn't logged back-to-back double digit monthly losses since 2011. Now trading at $189.78, at their lowest levels since October, the shares have taken a 21.8% haircut off its their Feb. 4 record high of $242.52, but a short-term bounce might soon be in the cards.
This is because the stock is entering a period of bullish seasonality. According to data from Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White, AMZN is an outperformer in both the upcoming month and for the second quarter. Over the last decade, AMZN finished April higher 80% of the time with an average 6% pop.
The stock is second on the list of the White's best S&P 500 (SPX) stocks to own in the second quarter, going back 10 years. The equity managed nine second-quarter wins during this period, averaging a hefty 12.1% gain.
An unwinding of pessimism could provide tailwinds, as puts have been much more popular than usual in the options pits. AMZN's 10-day put/call volume ratio of 0.48 at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX) ranks higher than 84% of readings from the past year. So while calls still outflank puts on an absolute basis, the high percentile suggests the ratio is on an uptick that nears an annual high rate.
Now looks like an great time to weigh in with options, with one specific strategy in mind. The equity's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) sits at a 19 out of 100, making it a prime premium-selling candidate.
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4 주 전
AMZN Bulls May Be Watching This Trendline
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | March 13, 2025
• Amazon.com stock has several key trendlines in play
• AMZN calls have doubled up the number of puts in the last 10 days
E-commerce giant Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN) stock is down 2.4% to trade at $194, falling victim to the broad market capitulation. Despite an 11.6% year-to-date haircut, AMZN is holding its $2 trillion market cap level and a key trendline on the charts.
The shares have remained popular among options traders amid the sharp pullback, landing on Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White's list of stocks with the highest options volume in the past 10 days. In this period, over 4.7 million calls and more than 2.2 million puts were exchanged.
The weekly 3/14 200-strike call is the most popular, with options traders eyeing that psychologically-significant level. Right below $200 sits AMZN's 200-day moving average, a trendline the stock tested and could become a pivot point if reclaimed in the coming sessions.
Now looks like an great time to weigh in with options. This is per the stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS), which sits at a low 8 out of 100, making it a prime premium-selling candidate.
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DiscoverGold
1 월 전
AMZN Forecast – Major US Stocks Trying to Bounce
By: Christopher Lewis | March 11, 2025
• AMZN Technical Analysis
Amazon looks as if it is going to rally a bit right off the bat on Tuesday, as traders search for value in a stock that has been a stalwart for years. After a sharp decline over the last couple of weeks, a relief rally seems overdue. Sometimes, these relief rallies in major bear markets can be intense and rise significantly. While it’s uncertain if that will happen here, one could make an argument for the possibility.
With that in mind, the 200-day EMA, located near the $202 level, will likely be closely watched. A bounce could be on the horizon, but there is still some uncertainty. A strong bullish candlestick with volume would be needed to confirm any sustained upside momentum.
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2 월 전
AMZN: A Case Study in Bearish Divergence
By: David Keller | February 24, 2025
In the later stages of a bull market cycle, we will often observe a proliferation of bearish momentum divergences. As prices continue higher, the momentum underneath the advance begins to wane, representing an exhaustion of buyers.
We've identified a series of bearish momentum divergences in the early days of 2025, from Magnificent 7 names like Alphabet (GOOGL) to financial institutions including Synchrony Financial (SYF). Today we'll focus in on the bearish momentum divergence for Amazon.com (AMZN), which could indicate broader signs of weakness for the consumer discretionary sector as well as for the equity markets as a whole.
The daily chart of AMZN features all the key features of a bearish momentum divergence. Note how the price has remained in a primary uptrend going into this week, marked by a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows. The most recent all-time high, achieved earlier this month when AMZN pushed briefly above the $240 level, saw the RSI fail to get above the overbought threshold.
In a healthy bullish trend, we would expect higher price highs to be supported by strong momentum readings, indicating an influx of buying power and investor optimism. When new highs are matched with lower RSI levels, that suggests a lack of buying power and evaporating investor optimism.
Once a bearish momentum divergence is confirmed, we can monitor the most recent swing low to confirm a potential breakdown as the price follows through after the divergence. After reaching that support level around $215 last Friday, we have seen AMZN push below this support level during the trading day on Monday. A confirmed close below this support level could represent a meaningful breakdown and a "change of character" for one of the top weights in the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY).
Any time I see a potential pattern on the daily chart, I remember the classic market maxim, "When in doubt, zoom out!" The weekly chart shows how the most significant pullbacks in 2023-2024 were marked by a sell signal from the weekly PPO indicator.
Over the last two weeks, we've recognized a similar bearish pattern to those previous pullbacks, both of which ended with AMZN finding support at the 40-week moving average. That would align closely with the 200-day moving average on the daily chart, which currently sits just below the $200 level.
When I see a bearish momentum divergence appear on a chart like Amazon, I've learned to put that chart on a ChartList of potential reversal names, and monitor those tickers for signs of a breakdown of support. Based on our analysis of the daily and weekly charts of AMZN, this leading internet retailer could be signaling a key breakdown going into March.
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