Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) 옵션

WY is a beneficiary of Canada—>US tariffs:

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-03-03-2025/card/weyerhaeuser-emerging-as-a-tariff-winner-CvaSHnqnYlkzJZq6lYSV Investors are betting that lumber producer Weyerhaeuser will benefit from 25% tariffs placed on its competition from Canada, bidding up the Seattle firm's shares amid a broad selloff.

The idea is that Weyerhaeuser…will fetch higher prices for the lumber and wood panels it makes in the U.S. without having to pay the tariffs that add to the cost of wood crossing the border.

About 80% of Weyerhaeuser's lumber milling capacity is in the U.S., and it sells most of what it makes in Canada in that country…

…The tariffs are expected to be layered on top of existing duties on softwood lumber imports from Canada, which are set to rise sharply this summer from the current average rate of 14.4%. I consider WY to be a bond proxy. I have a modest long position.

WY 4Q24 CC transcript:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/q4-2024-weyerhaeuser-co-earnings-060232098.html

WY reports 4Q24 results:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/weyerhaeuser-reports-fourth-quarter-full-212100502.html

CC tomorrow at 10am ET.

WY 3Q24 results…

PR:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WY+Q3+2024+Earnings+Release_FINAL.pdf

CC slides:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WY+Q3+2024+Earnings+Web+Slides.pdf

WY independent director bought ~$1M of stock on the open market on 8/26/24, roughly doubling his position size:

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/106535/000095017024101126/xslF345X05/ownership.xml

WY acquires ~84K acres of Alabama timberland for $244M (~$2900/acre):

https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/2024-07-25-Weyerhaeuser-Acquiring-High-Quality-Timberlands-in-Alabama
• Located in one of the strongest inland sawlog and fiber markets in the U.S. South

• Fee ownership with 74 percent planted pine acreage and strong site productivity

• Mature planted pine age class expected to produce an average harvest of 6.4 tons per acre (or 540,000 tons) annually over the first 10 years

• Expected average Adjusted EBITDA of approximately $150 per acre (or $12.5 million) annually from timber operations over the first 10 years “Including [the above] transactions, we will have completed approximately $775 million against our target to grow our Timberlands portfolio through $1 billion of disciplined investments by the end of 2025,” said CEO, Devin Stockfish.

WY reports 2Q24 results…

PR:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WYQ22024EarningsFullRelease_FINAL.pdf

CC slides:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WY+Q2+2024+Earnings+Web+Slides.pdf

WY 1Q24 CC transcript:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/q1-2024-weyerhaeuser-co-earnings-043100673.html

WY 1Q24 results…

PR:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WYQ12024EarningsFullRelease_FINAL.pdf

CC slides:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WY+Q1+2024+Earnings+Web+Slides.pdf

Great short time! PT $25! Terrible earnings and worse outlook! Sad to sell but it shows where we’re going!

WY 4Q23 results…

PR:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/2024-01-25-Weyerhaeuser-Reports-Fourth-Quarter,-Full-Year-Results

CC slides:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WY+Q4+2023+Earnings+Web+Slides.pdf

WY 3Q23 CC transcript:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/q3-2023-weyerhaeuser-co-earnings-082549627.html

WY reports 3Q23 results:

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/106535/000095017023055646/wy-ex99_1.htm

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/106535/000095017023055646/wy-ex99_2.htm

WY 2Q23 CC transcript:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/q2-2023-weyerhaeuser-co-earnings-042659844.html

WY 2Q23 results…

PR:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/2023-07-27-Weyerhaeuser-Reports-Second-Quarter-Results

CC slides:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WY+Q2+2023+Earnings+web+slides.pdf

WY 1Q23 results…

PR:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/2023-04-27-Weyerhaeuser-Reports-First-Quarter-Results

CC slides:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WY+Q1+2023+Earnings+Web+Slides.pdf

WY expects $100M annual_revenue_from_selling carbon offsets, starting in 2025:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/weyerhaeuser-logging-carbon-emissions-offset-market-environment-76850c01 According to the company’s latest tally for investors, Weyerhaeuser’s trees and wood products removed 35 million metric tons of carbon from the atmosphere in 2021. It said that was more than four times the 7.4 million metric tons emitted running its mills and logging equipment, fertilizing, distributing wood products and down the supply chain to home builders. Industry critics are not happy with this.

WY 4Q22 CC slides:

https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WY+Q4+2022+Earnings+web+slides.pdf

WY reports 4Q22 results—issues 1Q23 guidance:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/weyerhaeuser-reports-fourth-quarter-full-214500048.html

WY pre-announced in October that 4Q22 would be a rough quarter (#msg-170308481).

WY declares $0.90/sh supplemental dividend—bringing total 2022-related dividend payouts to $1.62 ($0.90 + 4x$0.18):

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/weyerhaeuser-company-declares-supplemental-dividend-220000320.html

At the current share price ($33.95), the $1.62 payout is a yield of 4.8%.

The $1.62 figure is a sharp decline from the $2.63 WY paid out for 2021-related dividends (#msg-167671544). The lower payout reflects the company’s weaker profits in 2022 vs 2021, especially in the fourth quarter (#msg-171046615).

WY expects a rough 4Q22:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/weyerhaeuser-reports-third-quarter-results-201500408.html [Timberlands Segment] Q4 2022 Outlook –Weyerhaeuser anticipates fourth quarter earnings and Adjusted EBITDA will be significantly lower than third quarter 2022.

…[Wood Products Segment] Q4 2022 Outlook –Weyerhaeuser anticipates fourth quarter earnings and Adjusted EBITDA will be lower than third quarter 2022, excluding the effect of changes in average sales realizations for lumber and oriented strand board. 3Q22 CC slides:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WY+Q32022+Earnings+web+slides.pdf

WY 2Q22 results:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/weyerhaeuser-reports-second-quarter-results-070500719.html

WY is no PCL:

PCL, which was a pure-play timberlands company, was a fine inflation hedge. On the other hand, WY (which acquired PCL in an all-stock deal in 2015) is no such thing. In 1Q22, only 15% of WY’s EBITDA came from its timberlands segment. The remaining 85% of 1Q22 EBITDA came from: lumber and other manufactured wood products (77%); and real-estate/energy (7%).

For the trailing four quarters (i.e. 2Q21-1Q22), the EBITDA breakdown was essentially the same as in 1Q22: timberlands 16%; lumber and manufactured wood products (77%); and real-estate/energy (7%).

See slide #23 at: https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WY+Q1+2022+Earnings+web+slides.pdf

All told, WY is a essentially a taxable manufacturing company that is structured as an REIT at the parent-company level. As such, it’s more of a bet on the US housing market than a timber-based inflation hedge.

WY 1Q22 results…

PR:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/2022-04-29-Weyerhaeuser-reports-first-quarter-results

CC slides:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WY+Q1+2022+Earnings+web+slides.pdf

WY declares supplemental dividend of $1.45—bringing 12-month cumulative dividend to $2.63:

https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/2022-01-28-Weyerhaeuser-Company-Declares-Supplemental-Dividend-on-Common-Shares

--
4Q21 PR:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/2022-01-28-Weyerhaeuser-Reports-Fourth-Quarter,-Record-Full-Year-Results

CC slides:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WY+Q4+2021+Earnings+Web+Slides.pdf

You might want to consider real money!

WY new corporate slide set:

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0000106535/000156459021060591/wy-ex991_33.htm

That be a head and shoulders!
https://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=LB&p=m1

Big haircut coming to housing! Buy some scuba gear!

Short the homebuilders!

WY 3Q21 PR and CC slides:

https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/2021-10-29-Weyerhaeuser-Reports-Third-Quarter-Results

https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WY+Q3+2021+Earnings+web+slides.pdf

Lumber prices have risen 50% since August, and 2 experts say the resurgence will continue through early 2022

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/lumber-price-outlook-renovation-home-wood-supply-canadian-log-wood-2021-10

WY Investor Day slides:

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/106535/000156459021048527/wy-ex991_19.htm

WY 2Q21 items…

PR:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/2021-07-30-Weyerhaeuser-reports-record-second-quarter-results

CC slides:
https://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WY+Q2+2021+Earnings+web+slides.pdf

WY 1Q21 items…

PR:
http://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WYQ12021EarningsFullRelease.pdf

CC slides:
http://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WY+Q1+2021+Earnings+web+slides.pdf

Lumber prices are up 395% from their pandemic lows:

Red-hot lumber prices may cool housing boom:
https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/lumber-prices-housing-market-impact

Gordon Gekko forgot to add Lumber and Farmland to his portfolio:

$WY glad i did :)

adding WY to my "safe as cash" stock portfolio

WY 3Q20 items—reinstates_dividend_at_(lower)_annualized rate of $0.68…

The previously announced (non-cash) charge against earnings for damage from Oregon wildfires was $80M pre-tax.

PR:
http://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/2020-10-30-Weyerhaeuser-Reports-Third-Quarter-Results

CC slides:
http://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WY+Q3+2020+Earnings+Web+Slides.pdf

WY will take an unspecified charge against 3Q20 earnings for wildfire damage to the company’s Oregon timberlands:

https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/106535/000156459020046154/wy-8k_20201009.htm

Dividend suspended (eom).

WY 1Q20 items…

PR:
http://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/2020-05-01-Weyerhaeuser-reports-first-quarter-results

CC slides:
http://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WY+Q1+2020+Earnings+Slides.pdf

Hi everyone, I just opened a position in WY this week, here's hoping everything goes smoothly here for all us long into the future.

WY implements COVID-19-related cutbacks to manufacturing operations—timberland operations are little changed:

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/106535/000156459020014260/wy-ex991_22.htm In response to recent changes in customer sentiment and order flow, Weyerhaeuser is dynamically adjusting operating capacity at certain of its manufacturing facilities. For the month of April, the company expects to reduce operating capacity by approximately 20 percent for lumber, 15 percent for oriented strand board, and 15 to 25 percent for engineered wood products through a combination of temporary mill curtailments and reduced shift postures.

…The U.S. Department of Homeland Security has designated the forest products industry as an “essential critical infrastructure workforce.” This designation recognizes the importance of timber and wood products operations in supporting critical infrastructure and construction projects and the manufacture of important personal hygiene items. I.e., wood pulp feedstock for toilet paper and diapers.

WY issues $750M of 10-year notes @4.19% (YTM):

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/106535/000119312520087011/d905069dfwp.htm

WY new corporate slide set:

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/106535/000156459020007942/wy-ex991_35.htm

WY update: #msg-153871482.

WY 4Q19 items…

PR:
http://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WYQ42019EarningsFullRelease.pdf

CC slides:
http://investor.weyerhaeuser.com/download/WY+Q4+2019+Earnings+Slides.pdf

Note: These items were released on 1/31/20.

Clearly, it's not prime acreage.

$600 / AC ?

Toofuzzy

WY monetizes Michigan acreage for $300M:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/weyerhaeuser-sell-michigan-timberlands-120000726.html

This gives WY more cash to cover the dividend in the near term, which some investors have had angst about.

The 555K acres sold today were about 4.5% of WY’s total timberland holdings.