SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) 옵션

Its gonna be fun watching this unfold Mr. Confident!... We see the Triple Dearth Cross Unfolding...
Why is it fun for me? (Because your stealing from me in the name of tariffs)...



If you can't control fate, let the market tell you what it wants and do tell? "Sorry, you chose the wrong day, Living in a dictatorship are we or practicing too?"... "No, we will never give up the FED to presidential authority".

Gambling on ones man word alone VS reality is a "dangerous game to be playing", plus, he shouldn't be doing it...

Doesn't matter, those countries already boycotting, the damage is already DONE!

Next event scheduled soon, stay tuned!

One thing for sure...

Where in a bear market

typical whipsaws

new highs based off what?

the global economy and US economy was and is already slowing before TRUMP TARIFF EVENT

at 6100 on SP 500, it already priced in the BEST CASE scenarios for growth for 2025 and possibly half of 2026 if not all of 2026.

todays rally was mostly ALGOS and bear/short hedges that either got too long in the tooth or needed to be UNWOUND ASAP, 85-90% of the market is ALGOS, so that includes the sell off as well, but i do not see the market making new highs anytime soon.

SP rallied 400 points and its still well below 5600-5800 range, you WILL NOT SEE another rally like this all year, shit, you might not see another move like today for the next 10 years, in addition, SMART MONEY will see this rally the rest of the week.

AS for CHINA, this rally was based off reciprocal tariffs for many countries being rescinded/scaled back to 10% whereas the TARIFFS on CHINA went over 100%.

THE US and CHINA are the TWO BIGGEST ECONOMIES (the EURO is huge as well but thats several countries) so the real TRADE WAR is only beginning

CHINA can continue to DUMP US treasuries, devalue their currency and cause plenty of damage to the US.

what if CHINA bans all APPLE PRODUCTS 100%? what is they BAN all TSLA cars?

sure, the market would have a nice bear market rally, but today's bounce was most UNWINDING of positions at a moments notice, i was actually suprised it closed at the highs of the day but it did

the SP 500 did drop from 6100 to 4800s very fast so no surprise of a violent bear market rally, right to the middle of the KELTNER channel zone, even after todays rally, the market is still bearish and likely heading into a recession, definitely an earnings recession.

the FED cannot cut rates and after todays rally, those ODDS TANKED

TRUMP might be playing chess and other countries playing checkers, but CHINA can do some damage and todays rally completely ignored what CHINA did, can do and will likely do as this continues to escalate.

my call of 3900-4100 is still possible but those odds also went down today (which is a positive overall) but people cannot overlook the fact that the stock market is still expensive, in fact, it might have just gotten a LOT MORE EXPENSIVE after today 3000 point DOW rally and 400 point SP 500 rally in terms of future earnings being discounted.

even without tariffs, if the US has a mild recession, 5400 is still too high, 4400-4700 is probably fair value

China's odds of invading Taiwan just to FK with the world just increases as well and that is likely to happen anyways, tariffs or no tariffs

so to conclude, todays rally used up a ton of fire power after a major sell off, this will not be a V shaped recovery, its too late in the market cycle and ELLIOT WAVE still suggests that there could be one more big leg down before its all said and done even if this is all CORRECTIVE, if its a true bear market, then there is plenty more downside and volatility, i think we are in for a 12-18 month SLOGGG of headline driven markets and a market that might be flat when all is said and done by 2027, if you are right one day and the markets see 6700-7000, SHORT EVERYTHING WITH EVERYTHING YOU GOT

Interesting. My Schwab afterhours for SPY show it is off 0.36%, same as yahoo afterhours. But Bloomberg shows S&P500 Futures up 0.5%, so I will go with their terminal. Things are volatile, that's for damn sure.

I see 481.80 low Monday as the low for the year now! New target 744.66 after we make new highs this year around 650

I see Weekly Reversal week along with weekly and daily stochastics buy signals!

Hilarious! You have been wrong so many times. Your signal yesterday was worthless. Charts don't work, especially your charting. The whole move happened today because of Trump's hold on tariffs. Look where the market was before the statement came out. I have never seen someone wrong so much. Events control everything. Take out early 2021 when we all made OTC money and you are down in the OTC big time throughout the years. Funny as hell.

Aha I stand corrected then - Thanks
Quite a misread indeed.

I think you are confused. THere was not going to be any FOMC rate announcement. LOL.

Just the "Minutes of Fed's March FOMC meeting" was released at 2pm.

It's all in Da VIX ! Easy Trade $$$$ !!!

All I know is when the president tells you to buy....you buy!!!!Hell of a fking rip!!!

Just follow the targets , lol

Trump pauses tariffs 30 minutes prior to FOMC rate announcement....???




Holy doodle.......Keep yer grubby corrupt little paws off of the markets there man !

THE LIBTARDS ARE SUICIDAL RIGHT NOW!!! SPY CALLS WERE EASY $$$$ WEEEEEEEEE

Liquidating T-Notes into the Crypto's----Don't have to worry about participation at the Sales Desk anymore----Problem solved !! Ponzi to Ponzi ???

Rule of 3 ???

I see a Wedge 23--24 tops Upper T/L-----Wedge B/O--Mkt Goes Opposite Direction --- Last rate cut 10 Yr stalled----Looks like Mkt Thinks rate cut!---Lets See ???

VIX Fib at 35.47 Now LITS ???

VIX--There it is! ---VIX Drops Sub 15 min Red Line---Bears Above////Bulls Below !!! Simple as That !!!

Indeed. Did you see the morning post by Trump that said be cool, buy stocks in the u.S!!! He meant what he said in his doing 90 day freeze on all countries that did not do retaliatory tariffs on the u.S. just minutes ago. China loses.

Trump has kept his word one hundred percent!

Wow! Look at that rally, got it right again!

Yeah true, you can only kick the can so far down the road until SHTF

I see stochastics buy signal yesterday here, and you should be lyao cuz after a full year of being bearish and wrong, you finally got one right! Congrats! Hope you took ur short profits cuz market is about to snap back imo

Unpopular opinion....it's not about tariffs but refinancing the debt;)

4500 coming for a 3rd leg down then maybe a retrace of some sort, this tariff thing is worse than I thought.

It broke the trendVix is stalled and I think it drops, but I'm usually like 50/50....maybe more like 40/60 lol

FOMC 10 yr tariffs yield

FOMC

Ohhh, what a surprise, the algo went directly for our shorts target

Come on!!! Somebody hit it with the stick 

Vix highDip and rip for open

Don't panic, here is your map

So, are u ready? Do you have a map to navigate prices? are there more shorts than long targets? where are they?
where are the algo limits? what is the average price of the algo?

if you don't know, sorry, you are not ready.

Pivot Calcs: SPX Pivot--5053----R1--5196----S1--4840-----SPY Pivot--503----R1--517----S1--481-----ES Pivot--5017-----VIX Pivot--48.33 ! !!LOL!!

i see 4800s overnight ;)



hows that BUY SIGNAL working out?




https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=175968864

OOOOPSY!!!!!!!!!!!!

now the bullish people on wall street are hoping for 5500!! LOL and it will be another great place to DUMP, if it even GETS THERE

i just want to take a moment and LAUGH MY ASS OFF!!!!!!



on its way to 4500 pretty quickly, might get another bear market rally soon or another head fake like today, then SELL IT again down to 4100
other countries are now selling US treasuries, RATES UP, STOCKS down, FED CAUGHT with its pants DOWN.

no rate cuts and any rate cuts now will be seen as PANIC

Bitcoin almost to my target 72k before it takes off, s&p to follow with 2B a day coming in from tariffs good for major tax cuts coming. Or it’s the EOW crash and all hell breaks loose we’ll see. God be with us.

I'm feeling dip and rip for tomorrow 

VIX Possible Double Top Area 55--60 ??? ---VIX 15 min Red Line----Bears Above////Bulls Below !!!! --- ( 7:45 VIX Bounced Off Da 15 min Red Line--35.96----Mkt Down Rest of Day ! )

ES 5 min Failed to Hold at 5 min Red Line & Pivot ! ---- VIX Breaking Above It's 5 min Red Line --Intraday Bearish !

Out 488P 1.35! Out on SPX 5 min By/Sig on CCI ! Good Daily Double !!

Not Done Cookin Yet ! Still Ridin 488P from .66 ! ( Short From VIX Pivot Break)

Booom! Another day, another map that serves us well

... and what did happen to those longs within algo range?

What can I say? it always works...

major recession you get down to 3900-4100 Let's watch and see if UR right

my accuracy appears to be better than yours Ummm....Not seeing it Neb, Sorry! Did U miss this?

Aug 7: SPY high was 565.16, minus the recent low of 510.27 equals 54.89, add to the 565.16 high equals 620.05 projection, possibly by year end imo
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=174882021

Aug 10: Plus the daily stochastics bullish divergence and weekly stochastics are oversold and bout to turn higher says to me Monday was the Low of the month, and prob holds the low for the year imo
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=174898504

Aug 13: My calculator says 620 by eoy, which is close to my 610 prediction at the start of this year! We have the volatility, just need to know which way this will rip, and I think up!
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=174915959

Relief rally Earnings come out and it's diarrhea city all over again:(

What can I say? the map...

Well I guess that time spent around 41 plus yeah the volume bar(s) tell a story



Can see that most vol s were the opening bells

.