SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) 옵션

The narrative truly helps understand the technical’s in the 1st 2nd quarter range, will add these thoughts into the Book of Days, I was able to discern going long at 378 in the DIA mid term till the date of 5/2 but sold it off early into strength at 398, a few reasons I sold it off early were more personal do to fate and none of them technical. Today, 4/25, we are now headed into 4 days up since Liberation Day, I'm back into the 5/2 trade ATM NTC, I'm still focused on a 2009 Market Correction then to new highs by the end of 2026 to meet the Benner Fib Ratio, "sentiment might change", and, do see lower prices ahead from a technical POV by the end of the 2nd quarter range of 2025 IE 6/30 black Monday, were after;

The updated Benner Fib ratio suggests we won't head to fair value until it's next cycle which is a few years away yet, I will post scenario soon showing the positions ahead.

This MACD trend still has to be solved, it’s in the Long Term Cycle, not mid term, therefore it wouldn't/doesn't appear to be to this year in the Benner Cycle Ratio;



But we will see wild swings; in these ranges;



IMCO, buying BTC isn't a value play, GOLD, XRP would be value plays till the year 2030
If I was a big player so to speak with BTC, I would require each BTC to be registered, this way, if its stolen, it can't be used and easily available for the FDIC to insure it, in fact, I would require all existing BTC to be registered, if it AIN'T, it's not trade able...

Pivot Calcs: SPX Pivot--5448----R1--5525----S1--5406----SPY Pivot 542-----ES Pivot 5478-----VIX Pivot 27.48 ----S1 25.31 !!LOL!!

/GC----Gold--3352---Scratch That---3360----1st Support Now 3200!----Target 3500!---GDX Hi 53----GDXJ 62 so far---Taken a Rest !!

What is "Going back up to 3352" number referring to (index, etc)? Thx

SPX is breaking above the short term trend line, taking out the 21 day moving average today. We haven't had a "proper" close above it since the sell off started in late March. 5500 is the big short term resistance to watch. A close above it and things risk becoming frustrating for the many shorts...

NASDAQ closing above the negative trend line that has been in place since ATHs, trading "well" above the 21 day. Next bigger resistance at the 50 day, currently around 19,860.

VIX has not closed here or lower since Liberation Day.

GS weighs in: "With signs of trade war de-escalation starting to emerge, light positioning (US L/S net leverage remains near 5-year lows), and market technicals improving , the case for playing for an equity market rally is getting stronger tactically". Chart shows US Fundamental L/S Net leverage and aggregate long/short ratio near their respective five-year lows in the 0th percentile."

Positioning is extremely bearish. Goldman's Lin: "Info Tech is among the most net sold US sectors in April MTD, driven by short sales outpacing long buys. Net exposure in Mag7 is now at 2-year lows and well below 5-year average in the 25th percentile, while the group’s aggregate ratio has fallen to the lowest level in more than 9 years".

Sell low, buy high dynamics in full play among the net short gamma crowd.


The MarketEar

ie---VIX 10:50---20/50 X ++ Fell below 1 min Red Line ---Bull Below !!

Wagged 546P .44 into the close -- Zip .48---Coiled Out ! Huggy at 26.50 !---(G Back Up 3352 )---She Stays Alive for Another Day !!LOL!!

Hah, what a hell of a VIX headfake from 26.9 to 27.8! Now at 26.58. 🤣

https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.VIX

They have to pay to Refi the 9 Trill----That will soak up the $$$---No buyers for T-Notes ---Busto!! ----Gold Up Up Up!!--- Down Goes the Mkt ??

How are they going to get markets back to be safe for investing again? The hugely overvalued markets are expecting injections into the economy and market of $2.4 trillion per year by debt increases. Deficit is now improving but small improvement is causing much instability. A huge crash coming.

2 + 2 = 4

"We just didn't want ANYONE "knowing about" this (our secret Wall Street meetings)......
* Except for our invited friends from J.P. Morgan

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s talk at an off-the-record and invitation-only event sponsored by JPMorgan Chase & Co. has drawn scrutiny this week from those who think the Trump administration should take greater care about making market-moving comments.




So THAT doesn't look at all scandalous eh ?




Hey, excellent market timing dudes !




2 + 2 = 4


Why, THIS administration is EXTREMELY Corrupt !


China Mocks Trump Over Tariff Walkback




.

He isn't as aggressive talking as he used to be, must be the medication from India he buys from Cuba'n from the over priced AMZN delivered by Musketeers...

SPX 5 min CCI Turning Back Up --Leading Indicator---Mkt Must Follow! Try Latter for EOD !!

VIX 5 min 50 EMA 27.50 LITS ?? Coiling Again ??

Out 540P .63! Turning Back Down--Not Yet !!

Wagg 540P .55! Take a Shot ??

VIX --5 min Red Line Around 28.50----Pivot 28.61 ? Coiling 1 Min Red Line ? 5 min 20/50----Riding The 50 Down Again --or a Dump ??

$SPY: Vladamir STOP !!!!!!!!!!!!

Does anyone really care what this Obeses TURD says to anyone any more ???

He's just a blithering idiot.............. Trump is a LAUGHING STOCK !


GO $SPY

A close at or above 405ish in the DIA would indicate higher prices and consistent with the 666 .87 correlation in what year?

Just released via CNBC: Amazon and Nvidia say AI data center demand is not slowing down

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/24/amazon-and-nvidia-say-ai-data-center-demand-is-not-slowing-down-.html

VIX 1 Min Red Line around 27.50---Intraday Bear/Bull Line ??

VIX 26.94 vs Fib 27.26 ?? Coiling ??

Scalped Out 548C .86! 50% Take It at Resistance !!

VIX S1 algos are fighting the SPY and large cap tape. Who will win!?😁

Scalped 1/2 548C .87! 50% Take It !!

Riddin 548C .56! Off Support !

Charts: SPX Resistance---Weds HOD 5469----Fib at 5485 ---Support R1 5444 !

Red Lines----SPX--Retake 60 min !! (233 EMA )---Got Um All !!

VIX--S1 at 26.94 ?? ( Weds--VIX LOD 27.11)

Very Nice Call Long to 5/2 !!

4/24/2025 11:25 39,858 Spot on or lets see what you got!

Gap at 529.31 prob fills then it's back up up up! 520 is now solid support, I trade the chart we have, NOT the chart I want...ur too bearish at the bottom imo

Yeap, back to firing powel, and beam mu up scotty is breaking up, the message isn't clear?

335ish next?

It's in the stars!

if we just saw 40ish in the chart again, its reasonable tu suggest well see 365ish again or lower next...



What a perfect playbook so far eh?

Don't beat yourself up just yet... Already said all that before it happened;

https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=176099771

Pivot Calcs: SPX Pivot--5400----R1--5444----S1--5330----SPY Pivot--538---VIX Pivot--28.61 !!LOL!!

markets dont give back 700 points in bull markets

today was a GAP n TRAP on a non event

even if the "bottom" were to be in, there's no logical reason for stocks to make new highs in 2025

rallies are being sold, paradigm shift from the past 2 years

anyways, lol at IBM

even funnier was the $15 "bounce" in TSLA

that stock was $470 in January

Info: Traded That on The VIX 1 Min Macd Xover Down EOD---Half Luck ! The Bots Seem to Like Pulling the Trigger Last 10 Mins! Weird Shite !! !!LOL!!

Tks-----Charts ---VIX Closed Below It's 5 min Red Line---Closed Bullish Intraday! Pretty Sluggish Though!---Main Watch 15 min Red Line Bears Above///Bulls Below !! ---SPX Closed Above 5,15 & 30 min Min Red Lines ---Thats Where The Price is At ! ---What can U Say !!--- !!LOL!!

nice double on the EOD scalp!

Out 537C .71! Daily Double! EOD VIX Flipper !! Take It !!

Waggin 537C .34? EOD ?

stopped out of
SPY Apr 23 '25 $530 Put @ 0.05 from 0.21
for a loss.
534 S from prior LOD @ 12:26 ET
proved stronger than expected.

SPY new LOD...
not much time left.
let's see what they do into the close...

SPY just dipped under 535 again.
time will tell...

Saw a post on X
about how during the past month, retail money has poured into this market
at a very high rate - I don't think the 'tutes are buying here -
we'll see -

If we fade down to 534 on the SPY today, then just about every buyer will be in the red -
could be a NASTY rug pull

Small caps getting some love

Start your electric journey......







Hit a high of 545.......Recouped 50% of The Plunge

Right here and now,
SPY up 10 bucks -
537.07
IF it starts dropping here, many, MANY stuck above...
check the 5 minute candle chart -
still no confidence in this market and after a 2 day blast upward,
Profit taking for the last 60 minutes would not be shocking.
TSLA report was pathetic, and everyone knows it -
Everyone knows we're contracting and sentiment is crap -
we've lost the consumer.

we are still solidly below the 50 and 200 day, so this bounce is logical,
but with the amount of overhead resistance we have, WHEN
we turn back downward, it'll drop hard

sometimes it's good to think in terms of fear and greed -
and the herd mentality.

See If can get Back Catch EOD !