Macau Property Opportunities
Fund Limited
("MPO" or the
"Company")
Investor Update H1
2024
KEY
DATA
Inception date
|
5 June 2006
|
|
Exchange
|
London Stock Exchange
|
|
Domicile
|
Guernsey
|
|
Market capitalisation
|
£22 million
|
|
Portfolio valuation
|
US$173.6 million1
|
-2.7%
(vs 31 December 2023)
|
Adjusted NAV
|
US$75.3 million1
|
|
Adjusted NAV per share
|
US$1.22 1/ 96 p2
|
-7.8%
(vs 31 December 2023)
|
Share price
|
35.6 p
|
-12.3%
(vs 31 December 2023)
|
Discount to Adjusted NAV
|
62.9%
|
62.8%
(as at 31 December 2023)
|
Cash balance
|
US$1.4 million1
|
|
Total debt
|
US$89 million1
|
|
Loan-to-value
ratio
|
50.8 %1
|
|
[1] As at 31
March 2024.
2 Based on a US$/£ exchange rate of
1.264679 as at 30 June 2024.
All other data are as at 30 June
2024.
Opening Paragraph
The Company secured further sales at
The Waterside during the past six months, bringing the total number
of units sold to 24, or 40% of the tower's stock. All debt
obligations due in the first half have been met. The Macau
government's abolition of real estate anti-speculation measures has
been met positively by industry players; however, this policy
adjustment will take time to have a meaningful impact on the luxury
residential property segment.
Portfolio
The
Waterside
The Company sold five units at The
Waterside - four standard units and a duplex - during the period
for a total gross value of US$15.4m. A total of 24 units among the
tower's 59 units have now been sold since the divestment programme
began, generating gross sales proceeds of approximately US$67.1
million. Sales of several other units are in early-stage
negotiations.
The Company has applied 75% of the
sales proceeds towards repaying a HK$75 million tranche that was
due in March 2024, as well as other upcoming debt repayment
obligations. The Company's outstanding debt is expected to be
reduced from US$96.5 million as of December to US$79 million in
July while loan-to-value (LTV) ratio is estimated to drop to
approximately 47.4% using 31 March 2024 valuations.
With more than 40% of available units
at The Waterside sold, the Company has terminated the leasing
programme at the development as it focuses on divesting the
remaining units. At the end of H1 2024, the occupancy rate at The
Waterside stood at 65%, based on the building's leasable
area.
The
Fountainside
At The Fountainside, four villas, three
reconfigured apartments and two car-parking spaces remain available
for sale. The three reconfigured apartments were modified from two
original duplexes, and although the renovation was completed in
2022, Macau authorities requested additional alterations at a very
late stage, following which additional on-site works began in late
2023 and were completed in Q1 2024. The alterations are currently
under inspection by the authorities pending the issuance of
occupancy permits. The Company is deploying numerous sales and
marketing strategies to divest the remaining assets at The
Fountainside.
Penha Heights
Penha Heights, positioned atop the
exclusive and historic Penha Hill, offers world-class views. While
the number of inquiries and viewings increased in the first half of
the year, they remain limited, and identifying the right buyer will
take time given the property's high value and unique nature as a
rare large, detached mansion in Macau. The Company has been
exploring various marketing avenues, including hosting high-end
events in collaboration with exclusive brands to showcase the
property to ultra-high-net-worth individuals. The Manager will
further enhance marketing efforts in the second half of the year to
capitalise on an anticipated recovery in market
sentiment.
Property
In April, Macau's government
announced unprecedented property market relaxation measures that
reversed its decade-old anti-speculation policies. These measures,
which followed a similar move by the Hong Kong government in
February, included removing prevailing special stamp duty
requirements and improving the LTV ratio ceiling for mortgage loans
for foreign buyers from approximately 40% to 70%. Among the
prohibitive measures removed were:
·
Stamp duty levied on properties resold within 24
months after purchase;
·
An extra 10% duty imposed on foreign
buyers;
·
A 5% extra duty on additional
ownership.
Macau's rollback of its
anti-speculation measures has rekindled buyer interest in the local
property market, with developers seizing the opportunity to offload
inventory, albeit at generous discounts. In the secondary market,
it is too early to see a rise in demand, as the focus is currently
on developer inventory. However, we expect to see a near-term
increase in interest among foreign buyers and a corresponding rise
in transactions, with prices recovering over the longer
term.
Macau's overall residential property
liquidity and price indices have trended downward since 2020.
Although the number of transactions stabilised to 2,879 units in
2023 on a year on year (YoY) basis, it remained down by around 65%
from 2019. In Q1 2024, the property market saw only 573
transactions, a YoY drop of 32%. Transaction prices also dropped by
3.8% between 2022 and 2023, a trend that continued in Q1 2024 with
a further decline of some 9% YoY. In the luxury residential
segment, in which the Company operates, only 43 units larger than
150 square metres were transacted in Q1 2024, a YoY drop of
10%.
Macau
Economy
Overall, Macau's economy has enjoyed
a robust recovery following the COVID-19 pandemic. In 2023, it
expanded 80.5% YoY to approximately 80% of its 2019 pre-pandemic
size. This positive trend continued into Q1 2024, with GDP growing
by 25.7% YoY, achieving 87% of pre-pandemic levels. This growth has
been driven mainly by the territory's twin economic engines -
tourism and gaming. However, other sectors that have not benefited
from spillover from these two growth drivers - such as small and
medium-sized enterprises and local retail stores - have struggled
to recover from the impact of the pandemic.
Tourism and gaming
Macau's visitor arrivals for 2024
continued to show strong growth with close over 14 million arrivals
as of end-May, which was 50% higher YoY and c.83% of Q1 2019's
figures Mainland Chinese continued to account for the vast majority
of visitors, making up 70% of the total. Travellers from outside
Greater China accounted for almost 7% of all visitors,
approximately 67% of 2019's pre-pandemic level.
Peak period tourist arrivals were
mixed, with Chinese New Year visitor numbers exceeding expectations
to reach 99% of 2019's levels. However, May Golden Week arrivals
were affected by inclement weather, with rainfall and flooding
across Hong Kong and southern China. Visitor arrivals during the
holidays were approximately 8% below the numbers forecast by the
Macao Government Tourism Office.
In H1 2024, eight cities were added
to the list of locations from which mainland Chinese residents can
apply for Individual Visit Scheme (IVS) exit visas to travel to
Macau, taking the number of IVS-eligible cities to 59.
By the end of 2023, Macau had
recaptured its lead over Las Vegas as the world's biggest gaming
hub, regaining ground lost during the pandemic. Gross gaming
revenue (GGR) for the period January to June 2024 stood at MOP113.8
billion (US$14.2 billion), approximately 76% of its 2019 level.
Notably, casino operator MGM China reported triple-digit net
revenue growth in Q1 quarterly announcements compared to its
pre-COVID revenue.
Outlook
Macau's economic outlook remains
positive, with GDP growth projections for full-year 2024 ranging
from 14% to 17%. This corresponds to approximately 90-95% of the
2019 level, placing the territory's economy on a trajectory to
reach its pre-pandemic size by 2025.
Although 2024 remains challenging,
Macau's tourism and gaming sectors are performing strongly, and
investor sentiment is increasingly positive. We believe sentiment
and pricing in the residential property market will gradually start
to reflect these trends following the recent property market policy
easing. The Company remains committed to continuing its
divestment programme to meet its debt repayment schedule and return
capital to shareholders.
For further information:
Manager
Sniper Capital Limited
Group Communications
Tel: +853 2870 5151
Email:
info@snipercapital.com
Corporate Broker
Liberum Capital
Darren Vickers
Tel: +44 20 3100 2222
Company Secretary &
Administrator
Ocorian Administration (Guernsey)
Limited
Kevin Smith
Tel: +44 14 8174 2742
About Macau Property Opportunities
Fund
Premium listed on the London Stock
Exchange, Macau Property Opportunities Fund Limited is a closed-end
investment company registered in Guernsey and is the only quoted
property fund dedicated to investing in Macau, the world's largest
gaming market and the only city in China where gaming is
legalised.
Launched in 2006, the Company targets
strategic property investment and development opportunities in
Macau. Its current portfolio comprises prime residential property
assets.
The Company is managed by Sniper
Capital Limited, an Asia-based property investment manager with an
established track record in fund management and investment
advisory.