EARNINGS PREVIEW: Philips To Post 3Q Loss, Sparse Guidance
09 10월 2009 - 7:33PM
Dow Jones News
Royal Philips Electronics NV (PHG) is expected to swing to a net
loss when it releases third quarter results Monday on higher than
expected restructuring costs and after last year's earnings were
boosted by an asset sale.
The overall weak global economy has also hurt demand for the
company's products, which include televisions, shavers, lighting
and healthcare equipment.
The Dutch electronics maker is expected to post a EUR45 million
net loss, compared with a EUR357 million net profit a year ago,
according to eight analysts surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires.
Third quarter earnings last year were lifted by a gain of EUR302
million on the sale of the the company's final stake in Taiwanese
chipmaker TSMC, but analysts also expect Philips' sales to fall
15.1% to EUR5.38 billion due to the sluggish economy in Europe and
the U.S.
Still, emerging markets like Brazil and China will likely show
some improvement, analsyts said. Philips recently set a goal to
generate half of its revenue from emerging countries, up from less
than a third now.
"Unknown is what the effect of product pruning at consumer
lifestyle will be in the third quarter, but in the second period
sales came in much lower than consensus estimates because of this
effect," said Fortis Bank Netherlands analyst Rene Verhoef, who
rates Philips at hold.
Lighting has benefited from increased car sales in many
countries as a result of scrappage programs that stimulate the sale
of new cars. Philips is the world's largest suppliers of lamps to
the automotive industry, representing 7% of total lighting sales in
the twelve months to June 2009.
Philips stated in July that the sector will start to benefit
from a number of government stimulus programs. However, analysts
note that lighting is still hurt by continuing weakness in the
construction sector.
In its consumer lifestyle division, sales declines are expected
to have moderated compared with the second quarter, said Deutsche
Bank analyst Martin Wilkie.
"Improving commentary from consumer electronics peers and a pick
up in U.S./European consumer confidence leads us to believe the
worst declines in Consumer Lifestyle are now done," he said. Wilkie
rates Philips at hold.
Philips' loss-making television manufacturing business, also
part of the consumer lifestyle division, will be closely
scrutinized as it contributes a large amount to overall sales at
the unit. Last year, Philips abandoned the North American TV
market, and has agreed a number of license deals with peers for the
manufacture of Philips-branded TVs in other countries as it looks
for ways to make the business profitable.
Meanwhile, cost savings at Philips' healthcare division have
driven margins up, said UniCredit analyst Guenter Hollfelder. He
expects a margin on earnings before interest, taxes and
amortization, or EBITA, excluding restructuring costs, of 10%, up
from 9.5% in the second quarter.
German peer Siemens AG (SI) recently noted that the outcome of
U.S. healthcare reform will have a significant impact on that part
of its business and warned that the market for imaging systems will
remain difficult. Imaging systems, such as CT and MRI scanners,
make up about a third of revenue at Philips' healthcare
division.
Philips also competes with General Electric Co. (GE) in the
medical imaging segment.
Restucturing costs, meanwhile, are expected to have exceeded
Philips guidance of EUR145 million in the third quarter.
Philips isn't expected to provide any detailed guidance for the
fourth quarter, but some analysts expect the company to reiterate
that "comparative performance will be better in the second half of
2009 than in the first half of the year" due to the increasing
impact of cost savings.
Philips may also raise its cost savings target for 2010 again,
from the current goal of EUR600 million, analysts said.
Philips shares gained 35.6% in the last three months,
outperfoming the AEX which gained 28.7% in the same period, as
cyclicals outperformed defensive stocks and many analysts upgraded
Philips' rating and target price. At 1130 GMT Friday Philips shares
were up 0.3% at EUR17.11.
By Harm Luttikhedde; Dow Jones Newswires; +31-20-571-52-01;
harm.luttikhedde@dowjones.com