Western Union Posts Mixed Quarter - Analyst Blog
24 7월 2012 - 9:19PM
Zacks
The world’s leading money transfer company, Western
Union Co. (WU), reported second quarter operating earnings
of 46 cents per share, up 2.2% year over year and 3 cents ahead of
the Zacks Consensus Estimate.
Including Travelex Global Business Payments (“TGBP”) integration
expenses, the company reported net income of 44 cents, up from 41
cents earned in the year-ago quarter.
Operational Update
Western Union’s revenues for the quarter were $1.4 billion, up 4%
year over year but down 1.5% from the Zacks Consensus Estimate. The
year-over-year upside in revenue was attributable to a 26% surge in
foreign exchange revenues and a 3% increase in other revenues.
Total expenses for the quarter increased 6% year over year to $1.1
billion, due to a 12% surge in selling, general and administrative
expense and a 4% jump in cost of services. Consolidated operating
margin stood at 24.3% compared with 25.7% in the comparable period
last year.
Western Union expanded its retail agent location count to 510,000
from 495,000 in the prior quarter. The company remains focused on
further adding to its agent location count, and aims to reach the 1
million mark going forward. This is expected to be beneficial for
the company with respect to long-term demographic trends, which
would support migrant flows and remittance growth over time.
Segment Details
The Consumer-to-Consumer (C2C) segment, which accounts for 81% of
the company’s revenues, reported revenues of $1.16 billion, flat
year over year. The revenue upside was based on a respective 3%,
4%, and 5% growth in Middle East and Africa, in Asia-Pacific and in
Latin America and Carribean regions.
However, Europe and the CIS region saw an 8% revenue decline.
North America region revenue remained flat on a year-over-year
basis. Operating margin declined 10 basis points year over year to
28.5%.
The Consumer-to-Business (C2B) segment, which accounts for 11% of
the company’s revenues, witnessed a 3% year-over-year revenue
decline to $149.4 million. Operating margin contracted 220 basis
points to 22.4% in the quarter under review.
Business Solutions (B2B) segment revenue increased nearly
threefold year over year to $92.5 million in the second
quarter.
Electronic channels revenue, representing 6% of company’s revenue,
improved 26% year over year.
Prepaid revenue increased 6% year over year and represents 1% of
the company’s revenue.
Financial Update
Western Union exited the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of
1.4 billion, up from $1.37 billion at 2011 end.
Borrowings increased to $3.67 billion at quarter end from $3.58
billion at 2011 end.
Cash from operations in the first half lowered to $445.7 million
from $506.3 million in the year-ago period.
Capital expenditure increased to $27.4 million in the first half
from $26.6 million in the year-ago period.
Share Repurchases and Dividends
Western Union bought back 10 million shares for $163 million and
also declared a dividend of 10 cents per share, amounting to $61
million in the quarter.
Outlook for 2012
Management affirmed its full-year revenue guidance. The guidance
included constant currency revenue growth in the range of
6%–8%.
Business Solutions pro forma constant currency revenue is expected
to increase in mid-single digits.
The company lowered its operating margin expectation to 25.5% from
26%. GAAP operating margin is lowered to 25.4% from 25%. The
lowered expectation reflects increased compliance related
costs.
EBITDA margin, excluding TGBP integration costs, is expected to be
30%.
Proforma EPS is expected to be in the $1.73 to $1.77 range, up from
the prior guidance of $1.70 to $1.75, while GAAP EPS is estimated
to be between $1.68 and $1.72, up from the previous guidance of
$1.65 to $1.70. The increased guidance reflects tax benefit
recorded in the second quarter.
Cash flow from operations is guided in the range of $1.1 billion to
$1.2 billion.
Our Take
We expect the company to remain well positioned given the vigor
with which it is developing its business. Western Union is
primarily intent on developing three main areas. These include
expanding the existing network and increasing focus on retaining
and adding new customers for the consumer money transfer business;
developing a digital infrastructure to drive its electronic
channels business and creating the B2B segment apart from ensuring
successful integration of the Travelex business.
Given the company’s acquisition spree, agent network expansion and
new products and services roll out, we expect the company to evolve
from a transaction-based to a truly customer-centric organization
within a short span, thus offering added convenience and more
choice to its consumers.
However, rapid growth of other cheaper money transfer options may
lead to competitive pressures.
We retain our Neutral recommendation on Western Union over the long
term. The quantitative Zacks #3 Rank (short-term Hold rating) for
the company indicates no clear directional pressure on the stock
over the near term.
The company closely competes with MoneyGram International
Inc. (MGI), which is scheduled to release its second
quarter earnings on July 26, before the bell.
MONEYGRAM INTL (MGI): Free Stock Analysis Report
WESTERN UNION (WU): Free Stock Analysis Report
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