UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d)

of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 28, 2014

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

Ohio   1-13653   31-1544320

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation)

 

(Commission

File Number)

 

(IRS Employer

Identification No.)

 

301 East Fourth Street, Cincinnati, OH   45202
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code 513-579-2121

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

 

¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

¨ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))


Section 2 - Financial Information

 

Item 2.02 Results Of Operations And Financial Condition.

Reference is made to the press release of American Financial Group, Inc. (the “Company”) relating to the announcement of the Company’s results of operations for the third quarter of 2014 and the availability of the Investor Supplement on the Company’s website. The press release was issued on October 28, 2014. A copy of the press release is attached to this Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 and a copy of the Investor Supplement is attached as Exhibit 99.2 and are incorporated herein by reference.

The information contained herein shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended (the “Exchange Act), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act.

Section 9 - Financial Statements and Exhibits

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

 

  (a) Financial statements of business acquired. Not applicable.

 

  (b) Pro forma financial information. Not applicable.

 

  (c) Shell company transactions. Not applicable

 

  (d) Exhibits

 

Exhibit
No.

  

Description

99.1    Earnings Release dated October 28, 2014, reporting American Financial Group Inc. results for the quarter ended September 30, 2014.
99.2    Investor Supplement – Third Quarter 2014

 

2


SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

Date: October 29, 2014

     
    By:  

/s/ Karl J. Grafe

      Karl J. Grafe
      Vice President

 

3



Exhibit 99.1

 

 

LOGO

 

American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Record Third Quarter Core Net Operating Earnings Per Share

 

  Record third quarter core net operating earnings of $1.40 per share; up 32% from the prior year period

 

  Net earnings of $1.28 per share include A&E reserve strengthening and realized gains

 

  Adjusted book value per share of $48.59; up 6% year-to-date

 

  Full year 2014 core net operating earnings guidance unchanged at $4.50 - $4.90 per share

Cincinnati, Ohio – October 28, 2014 – American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE/NASDAQ: AFG) today reported 2014 third quarter net earnings attributable to shareholders of $116 million ($1.28 per share) compared to $83 million ($0.92 per share) for the 2013 third quarter. AFG’s 2014 third quarter results include an after-tax charge of $19 million ($0.21 per share) to strengthen the Company’s asbestos and environmental (“A&E”) reserves and $8 million ($0.09 per share) in after-tax realized gains. Book value per share, excluding appropriated retained earnings and unrealized gains on fixed maturities, increased by $0.64, or 1%, to $48.59 per share during the third quarter of 2014. Including AFG’s quarterly dividend, total value creation measured as growth in book value plus dividends was $3.35 per share, or 7%, for the first nine months of the year. Annualized return on equity was 11.1% and 8.6% for the third quarters of 2014 and 2013, respectively.

Core net operating earnings were $127 million ($1.40 per share) for the 2014 third quarter, compared to $97 million ($1.06 per share) in the 2013 third quarter. Higher underwriting profit and net investment income in our Specialty Property and Casualty (“P&C”) insurance operations and higher core operating earnings in our Annuity segment contributed to these results. Core net operating earnings for the third quarters of 2014 and 2013 generated annualized core returns on equity of 12.3% and 10.0%, respectively.

During the third quarter of 2014, AFG repurchased approximately 1.4 million shares of common stock for $83 million (average price per share of $57.37).

AFG’s net earnings attributable to shareholders, determined in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”), include certain items that may not be indicative of its ongoing core operations. The following table identifies such items and reconciles net earnings attributable to shareholders to core net operating earnings, a non-GAAP financial measure that AFG believes is a useful tool for investors and analysts in analyzing ongoing operating trends.

 

In millions, except per share amounts    Three months ended
September 30,
    Nine months ended
September 30,
 
     2014     2013     2014     2013  

Components of net earnings attributable to shareholders:

        

Core net operating earnings(a)

   $ 127      $ 97      $ 317      $ 268   

Non-Core Items:

        

Realized gains

     8        35        27        97   

Special A&E charges(b)

     (19     (49     (19     (49

ELNY guaranty fund assessments

     —          —          —          (3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 116      $ 83      $ 325      $ 313   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Components of Earnings per Share:

        

Core net operating earnings(a)

   $ 1.40      $ 1.06      $ 3.47      $ 2.94   

Non-Core Items:

        

Realized gains

     0.09        0.40        0.30        1.08   

Special A&E charges(b)

     (0.21     (0.54     (0.21     (0.54

ELNY guaranty fund assessments

     —          —          —          (0.04
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Diluted Earnings Per Share

   $ 1.28      $ 0.92      $ 3.56      $ 3.44   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Footnote (a) and (b) are contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

 

Page 1


S. Craig Lindner and Carl H. Lindner III, AFG’s Co-Chief Executive Officers, issued this statement: “A 32% increase in third quarter core net operating earnings per share established new AFG records for the third quarter and nine month periods. We are pleased to see higher year-over-year core earnings in both our Specialty P&C Group and our Annuity Segment and strong growth in net written premiums in our Specialty P&C businesses.

“AFG had approximately $920 million of excess capital (including parent company cash of approximately $350 million) at September 30, 2014. Our strong financial position provides the flexibility to act on strategic business opportunities. We will continue to invest excess capital when we see potential for profitable organic growth and return value to our shareholders through opportunistic share repurchases and dividends.

“We continue to expect core net operating earnings in 2014 to be between $4.50 and $4.90 per share. We are pleased with our results through nine months, which reflect strong performance across most of our business units. Looking ahead to the fourth quarter of 2014, the midpoint of our earnings guidance assumes a break-even result in our crop insurance business. We are also mindful of the recent changes in interest rates and the impact on fair value accounting for fixed-indexed annuities (“FIAs”) in our Annuity Segment. Our core earnings per share guidance excludes non-core items such as realized gains and losses, as well as other significant items, that may not be indicative of ongoing operations.”

Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance Operations

The P&C specialty insurance operations generated an underwriting profit of $70 million in the 2014 third quarter, compared to $62 million in the third quarter of 2013. Losses from catastrophes were negligible in the 2014 and 2013 third quarters. Results for the 2014 third quarter include $11 million (1.0 point) in favorable reserve development. By comparison, favorable reserve development in the third quarter of 2013 was $13 million (1.4 points).

Gross and net written premiums were up 5% and 16%, respectively, for the third quarter of 2014, as compared to the same period in 2013. The 2014 results include premiums from Summit, AFG’s specialty workers’ compensation subsidiary, from the date of acquisition on April 1, 2014. Excluding Summit premiums, gross written premiums declined by 3% year-over-year and net written premiums increased by 4%. Strong growth in our specialty casualty group was partially offset by premium declines in our property and transportation group that resulted from the timing of premium recognition in our agricultural

 

Page 2


operations during the 2013 third quarter. Excluding Summit and crop premiums, gross and net written premiums grew by 14% and 12%, respectively, during the third quarter of 2014. Further details of AFG’s Specialty P&C operations may be found in the accompanying schedules.

The Property and Transportation Group reported an underwriting profit of $11 million in the third quarter of 2014, compared to an underwriting profit of $16 million in the prior year period. This decrease is primarily attributable to lower profitability in our agricultural operations partially offset by higher profitability in our property and inland marine and transportation businesses. Catastrophe losses for this group were negligible in the third quarters of 2014 and 2013.

Gross and net written premiums for the third quarter of 2014 were 13% and 6% lower, respectively, than the comparable 2013 period. The decreases in gross and net written premiums were due primarily to lower 2014 commodity prices impacting our crop operations, coupled with the higher than average crop premiums reported in the third quarter of 2013 due to delayed acreage reporting from insureds as a result of excess moisture and late planting of corn and soybean crops. These decreases were partially offset by growth in our transportation businesses, primarily the result of rate increases. Excluding our crop insurance business, gross written premiums increased by 6% and net written premiums increased by 4%. Pricing in this group was up approximately 5% on average for the quarter, and includes a 9% increase in National Interstate’s renewal rates.

The Specialty Casualty Group reported third quarter underwriting profit of $32 million compared to an underwriting profit of $19 million in the third quarter of 2013. This increase was due primarily to higher profitability in our workers’ compensation and alternative markets businesses, offset by lower profitability in our general liability lines of business, primarily the result of adverse prior year reserve development. Most businesses in this group produced strong underwriting profit margins through the first nine months of 2014.

Gross and net written premiums were up 53% and 65%, respectively, for the third quarter of 2014 when compared to the same prior year period and include Summit’s results since April 1, 2014. Excluding premiums from Summit, gross and net premiums each grew by 24%. While all businesses in this group reported growth, the successful renewal of a recently acquired block of public sector business, along with growth in our workers’ compensation, excess and surplus lines and non-profit social services businesses were primary drivers of the higher premiums. New business opportunities and increased exposures on existing accounts have driven the growth in our workers’ compensation businesses. Organic growth, coupled with the benefit from rate increases over multiple quarters have contributed to higher premiums in our excess and surplus businesses. Pricing in this group was up approximately 1% on average for the quarter.

The Specialty Financial Group reported an underwriting profit of $21 million in the third quarter of 2014, compared to an underwriting profit of $22 million in the third quarter of 2013. Nearly all of the businesses in this group achieved excellent underwriting margins during the third quarter of 2014.

Gross and net written premiums were both 2% lower in the 2014 third quarter when compared to the same 2013 period. Growth in gross written premiums was tempered by the October 2013 sale of a service contract business, which ceded all of its premiums under reinsurance contracts. Renewal pricing in this group was down approximately 2% for the third quarter.

Carl Lindner III stated: “Underwriting results across most of our 30 specialty P&C businesses were strong during the third quarter. I am especially pleased with the performance of our specialty casualty group; we have successfully grown nearly all of these businesses either organically or through acquisition. In addition, results in our specialty financial group continue to be excellent. We were successful in achieving pricing increases in nearly all of the businesses in our property and transportation group during the third quarter and continue to focus on pricing across our entire P&C group.

 

Page 3


“Based on premium growth across our P&C book of business during the first nine months of 2014, we now expect net written premium growth for the full year of 2014 to be between 18% and 21%. This guidance reflects the inclusion of nine months of Summit premiums. Overall renewal pricing was up about 2% during the quarter.”

Annuity Segment

AFG’s annuity operations contributed $86 million in pretax core earnings in the third quarter of 2014 compared to $78 million in the third quarter of 2013, an increase of $8 million or 10%. AFG’s 2014 earnings continue to benefit from growth in annuity assets. AFG’s quarterly average annuity investments have grown 16% year-over-year. The impact of this growth was partially offset by the runoff of higher yielding investments.

Interest rate and stock market fluctuations have an impact on the accounting for FIAs; these accounting adjustments are recognized through AFG’s core earnings. While these fluctuations had a minor impact on operating earnings in the third quarters of both 2014 and 2013, they had a much bigger impact in the year-to-date results of each year. See the accompanying schedules for additional information about spreads for AFG’s fixed annuity operations.

The annuity operations reported quarterly statutory premiums of $809 million in the third quarter of 2014, a 31% decrease from the comparable prior year period. The Company’s disciplined approach to product pricing in a declining interest rate environment along with increased levels of competition resulted in lower premiums across all single premium product lines during the 2014 third quarter. In contrast, a rising interest rate environment in 2013 resulted in record annuity premium production in the 2013 third quarter. Statutory premiums of $2.7 billion for the first nine months of 2014 were up 3% from the comparable 2013 period.

Craig Lindner stated, “I am pleased with our strong core annuity earnings in the third quarter and first nine months of this year. Looking ahead, we believe that the decrease in interest rates in October is likely to put downward pressure on core annuity earnings in the fourth quarter due to fair value accounting for FIAs. As a result, we expect that the full year 2014 core pretax annuity operating earnings will be $315 to $325 million, compared to the $328 million reported for the full year of 2013. This estimate does not reflect any positive or negative impact from our annual fourth quarter review (“unlocking”) of the Company’s major actuarial assumptions in its fixed annuity business. Significant changes in interest rates and/or the stock market from today’s level could lead to additional positive or negative impacts on the Annuity segment’s results.

“We remain committed to our disciplined product pricing strategy, which means that our focus is on growing our business when we can achieve desired long-term returns. The decreasing interest rate environment in 2014 has slowed the pace of our annuity sales, especially when compared to the record level of sales we achieved in the second half of 2013. As a result, based on information currently available, we now expect that premiums for the full year of 2014 will be approximately $3.6 billion, which would be the second highest level of annuity sales in AFG’s history.”

Run-off Long-Term Care and Life Segment

AFG’s run-off long-term care and life segment reported pretax core operating earnings of $1 million in the third quarter of 2014, compared to a loss of $4 million in the comparable prior year period. This business incurred a core pretax operating loss of $3 million for the first nine months of 2014. In the fourth quarter, AFG will complete its periodic review (“loss recognition testing”) of the major actuarial assumptions for its run-off long-term care business. While AFG had a loss recognition margin of $64 million in its long-term care operations as of December 31, 2013, further continuation of the recent low interest rate environment, including the drop in interest rates during October 2014, will reduce that margin. In addition,

 

Page 4


with the assistance of an external actuarial consulting firm, AFG is analyzing other assumptions that could have an impact on its loss recognition margin, including projected long-term care claims and persistency. In the event that the updated loss recognition testing assumptions result in a cumulative adverse impact in excess of $64 million, AFG would record a loss recognition charge equal to that excess amount.

A&E Reserves

During the third quarter of 2014, AFG completed an internal review of its asbestos and environmental exposures relating to the run-off operations of its P&C group and its exposures related to former railroad and manufacturing operations and sites. The review was undertaken with the aid of a specialty consultant and outside counsel. This year’s review resulted in a non-core after-tax special charge of $19 million ($30 million pretax) to increase AFG’s A&E reserves.

The P&C group’s asbestos reserves were increased by $4 million (net of reinsurance) and its environmental reserves were increased by $20 million (net of reinsurance). At September 30, 2014, the P&C group’s insurance reserves include A&E reserves of $300 million, net of reinsurance recoverables. At September 30, 2014, AFG’s three year survival ratios, excluding amounts associated with the settlements of two large asbestos claims, were 14.4x paid losses for asbestos reserves, 6.1x paid losses for environmental reserves and 9.9x paid losses for the total A&E reserves. These ratios compare favorably with industry statutory data published by SNL Financial LC, which indicate that industry A&E survival ratios were 10.5x paid losses for asbestos reserves, 6.1x paid losses for environmental reserves, and 9.2x paid losses for total A&E reserves at December 31, 2013.

As the overall industry exposure to asbestos has matured, the focus of litigation has shifted to smaller companies and companies with ancillary exposures. AFG’s insureds with these exposures have been the driver of our P&C asbestos reserve increases in recent years. The increase in P&C environmental reserves was attributed primarily to AFG’s increased defense costs and a number of claims where the estimated costs of remediation have increased. There were no new or emerging broad industry trends that were identified in this review.

In addition, the review encompassed reserves for asbestos and environmental exposures of our former railroad and manufacturing operations. As a result of the review, AFG increased its reserve for environmental exposures by $6 million due primarily to slightly higher estimated operation and maintenance costs at sites where remediation is underway, coupled with higher estimated cleanup costs at a limited number of sites.

Investments

AFG recorded third quarter 2014 net realized gains on securities of $8 million after tax and after deferred acquisition costs (DAC), compared to $35 million in the comparable prior year period. Unrealized gains on fixed maturities were $602 million, after tax, after DAC at September 30, 2014, an increase of $161 million since year-end. Our portfolio continues to be high quality, with 86% of our fixed maturity portfolio rated investment grade and 97% with a National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ designation of NAIC 1 or 2, its highest two categories.

Third quarter 2014 P&C net investment income was approximately 17% higher than the comparable 2013 period, reflecting the investment of cash received in connection with the Summit acquisition.

More information about the components of our investment portfolio may be found in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.

 

Page 5


About American Financial Group, Inc.

American Financial Group is an insurance holding company, based in Cincinnati, Ohio with assets of approximately $45 billion. Through the operations of Great American Insurance Group, AFG is engaged primarily in property and casualty insurance, focusing on specialized commercial products for businesses, and in the sale of fixed and fixed-indexed annuities in the retail, financial institutions and education markets. Great American Insurance Group’s roots go back to 1872 with the founding of its flagship company, Great American Insurance Company.

Forward Looking Statements

This press release contains certain statements that may be deemed to be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements in this press release not dealing with historical results are forward-looking and are based on estimates, assumptions and projections. Examples of such forward-looking statements include statements relating to: the Company’s expectations concerning market and other conditions and their effect on future premiums, revenues, earnings and investment activities; recoverability of asset values; expected losses and the adequacy of reserves for long-term care, asbestos, environmental pollution and mass tort claims; rate changes; and improved loss experience.

Actual results and/or financial condition could differ materially from those contained in or implied by such forward-looking statements for a variety of reasons including but not limited to: changes in financial, political and economic conditions, including changes in interest and inflation rates, currency fluctuations and extended economic recessions or expansions in the U.S. and/or abroad; performance of securities markets; AFG’s ability to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of any losses in connection with investments in the non-agency residential mortgage market; new legislation or declines in credit quality or credit ratings that could have a material impact on the valuation of securities in AFG’s investment portfolio; the availability of capital; regulatory actions (including changes in statutory accounting rules); changes in the legal environment affecting AFG or its customers; tax law and accounting changes; levels of natural catastrophes and severe weather, terrorist activities (including any nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events), incidents of war or losses resulting from civil unrest and other major losses; development of insurance loss reserves and establishment of other reserves, particularly with respect to amounts associated with asbestos and environmental claims and AFG’s run-off long-term care business; availability of reinsurance and ability of reinsurers to pay their obligations; trends in persistency, mortality and morbidity; competitive pressures, including those in the annuity distribution channels, the ability to obtain adequate rates and policy terms; changes in AFG’s credit ratings or the financial strength ratings assigned by major ratings agencies to our operating subsidiaries; and other factors identified in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The forward-looking statements herein are made only as of the date of this press release. The Company assumes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements.

Conference Call

The Company will hold a conference call to discuss 2014 third quarter results at 11:30 a.m. (ET) tomorrow, Wednesday, October 29, 2014. Toll-free telephone access will be available by dialing 1-877-459-8719 (international dial-in 424-276-6843). The conference ID for the live call is 11632336. Please dial in five to ten minutes prior to the scheduled start time of the call.

A replay will be available two hours following the completion of the call and will remain available until 11:59 p.m. (ET) on November 5, 2014. To listen to the replay, dial 1-855-859-2056 (international dial-in 404-537-3406) and provide the conference ID 11632336.

 

Page 6


The conference call and accompanying webcast slides will also be broadcast live over the Internet. To listen to the call via the Internet, go to the Investor Relations page on AFG’s website, www.AFGinc.com, and follow the instructions at the Webcasts and Presentations link.

The archived webcast will be available immediately after the call via the same link on the Investor Relations page until November 5, 2014 at 11:59 p.m. (ET). An archived audio MP3 file will be available within 24 hours of the call.

Contact:

Diane P. Weidner

Asst. Vice President – Investor Relations

(513) 369-5713

Websites:

www.AFGinc.com

www.GreatAmericanInsuranceGroup.com

# # #

(Financial summaries follow)

This earnings release and AFG’s Quarterly Investor Supplement are available in the Investor Relations section of AFG’s website: www.AFGinc.com.

AFG14-21

 

Page 7


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUMMARY OF EARNINGS AND SELECTED BALANCE SHEET DATA

(In Millions, Except Per Share Data)

 

     Three months ended
September 30,
     Nine months ended
September 30,
 
     2014     2013      2014     2013  

Revenues

         

P&C insurance net earned premiums

   $ 1,132      $ 949       $ 2,817      $ 2,345   

Life, accident & health net earned premiums

     27        29         82        87   

Net investment income

     377        338         1,117        996   

Realized gains

     13        56         44        154   

Income (loss) of managed investment entities:

         

Investment income

     29        32         84        98   

Gain (loss) on change in fair value of assets/liabilities

     (25     15         (35     (21

Other income

     28        24         75        71   
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total revenues

     1,581        1,443         4,184        3,730   
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Costs and expenses

         

P&C insurance losses & expenses

     1,086        941         2,684        2,275   

Annuity, life, accident & health benefits & expenses

     240        222         732        642   

Interest charges on borrowed money

     18        18         53        54   

Expenses of managed investment entities

     19        22         60        68   

Other expenses

     73        98         219        248   
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total costs and expenses

     1,436        1,301         3,748        3,287   
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes

     145        142         436        443   

Provision for income taxes(c)

     54        44         155        155   
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings including noncontrolling interests

     91        98         281        288   

Less: Net earnings (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interests

     (25     15         (44     (25
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 116      $ 83       $ 325      $ 313   
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Diluted Earnings per Common Share

   $ 1.28      $ 0.92       $ 3.56      $ 3.44   
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average number of diluted shares

     90.9        91.0         91.4        91.2   

 

Selected Balance Sheet Data:

   September 30,
2014
     December 31,
2013
 

Total cash and investments

   $ 35,151       $ 31,313   

Long-term debt

   $ 1,062       $ 913   

Shareholders’ equity(d)

   $ 4,904       $ 4,599   

Shareholders’ equity (excluding appropriated retained earnings and unrealized gains/losses on fixed maturities)(d)

   $ 4,300       $ 4,109   

Book Value Per Share:

     

Excluding appropriated retained earnings

   $ 55.39       $ 50.83   

Excluding appropriated retained earnings and unrealized gains/losses on fixed maturities

   $ 48.59       $ 45.90   

Common Shares Outstanding

     88.5         89.5   

Footnotes (c) and (d) are contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

 

Page 8


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

SPECIALTY P&C OPERATIONS

(Dollars in Millions)

 

     Three months ended
Sept 30,
    Pct.
Change
    Nine months ended
Sept 30,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2014     2013           2014     2013        

Gross written premiums

   $ 1,859      $ 1,768        5   $ 4,174      $ 3,734        12
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Net written premiums

   $ 1,242      $ 1,067        16   $ 2,995      $ 2,520        19
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Ratios (GAAP):

            

Loss & LAE ratio

     67.1     66.1       63.6     61.5  

Underwriting expense ratio

     26.7     27.4       30.8     32.9  
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Specialty Combined Ratio

     93.8     93.5       94.4     94.4  
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Combined Ratio (Including A&E)

     96.0     99.1       95.2     97.0  
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Supplemental Information:(e)

            

Gross Written Premiums:

            

Property & Transportation

   $ 995      $ 1,147        (13 %)    $ 1,860      $ 1,945        (4 %) 

Specialty Casualty

     707        461        53     1,869        1,331        40

Specialty Financial

     157        160        (2 %)      445        458        (3 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
   $ 1,859      $ 1,768        5   $ 4.174      $ 3,734        12
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Net Written Premiums:

            

Property & Transportation

   $ 556      $ 594        (6 %)    $ 1,193      $ 1,198        —     

Specialty Casualty

     536        325        65     1,366        903        51

Specialty Financial

     121        124        (2 %)      357        354        1

Other

     29        24        21     79        65        22
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
   $ 1,242      $ 1,067        16   $ 2,995      $ 2,520        19
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Combined Ratio (GAAP):

            

Property & Transportation

     97.8     97.1       100.1     100.4  

Specialty Casualty

     93.3     93.4       92.1     91.5  

Specialty Financial

     81.6     82.3       86.7     85.8  

Aggregate Specialty Group

     93.8     93.5       94.4     94.4  

 

     Three months ended
Sept 30,
    Nine months ended
Sept 30,
 
     2014     2013     2014     2013  

Reserve Development (Favorable)/Adverse:

        

Property & Transportation

   $ (5   $ (1   $ 13      $ (4

Specialty Casualty

     7        (4     (21     (42

Specialty Financial

     (10     (4     (13     (10

Other

     (3     (4     (8     (14
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Aggregate Specialty Group Excluding A&E

     (11     (13     (29     (70

Special A&E Reserve Charge - P&C Run-off

     24        54        24        54   

Other

     —          (1     1        6   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Reserve Development Including A&E

   $ 13      $ 40      $ (4   $ (10
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Points on Combined Ratio:

        

Property & Transportation

     (0.9     (0.2     1.2        (0.4

Specialty Casualty

     1.3        (1.2     (1.7     (5.0

Specialty Financial

     (9.0     (3.2     (3.9     (2.9

Aggregate Specialty Group

     (1.0     (1.4     (1.0     (3.1

Footnote (e) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

 

Page 9


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

ANNUITY SEGMENT

(Dollars in Millions)

Components of Statutory Premiums

 

     Three months ended
Sept 30,
     Pct.
Change
    Nine months ended
Sept 30,
     Pct.
Change
 
     2014      2013            2014      2013         

Annuity Premiums:

                

Retail Single Premium

   $ 357       $ 557         (36 %)    $ 1,210       $ 1,426         (15 %) 

Financial Institutions

                

Single Premium

     395         550         (28 %)      1,334         1,031         29

Education Market - 403(b)

     46         49         (6 %)      145         156         (7 %) 

Variable Annuities

     11         11         —          36         39         (8 %) 
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

Total Annuity Premiums

   $ 809       $ 1,167         (31 %)    $ 2,725       $ 2,652         3
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

Components of Core Operating Earnings Before Income Taxes

 

     Three months ended
Sept 30,
     Pct.
Change
    Nine months
ended Sept 30,
     Pct.
Change
 
     2014      2013            2014      2013         

Revenues:

                

Net investment income

   $ 287       $ 259         11   $ 851       $ 764         11

Other income

     20         17         18     57         46         24
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

Total revenues

     307         276         11     908         810         12

Costs and Expenses:

                

Annuity benefits

     157         140         12     491         394         25

Acquisition expenses

     41         35         17     109         114         (4 %) 

Other expenses

     23         23         —          65         66         (2 %) 
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

Total costs and expenses

     221         198         12     665         574         16
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

Core operating earnings before income taxes

   $ 86       $ 78         10   $ 243       $ 236         3
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

Supplemental Fixed Annuity Information

 

     Three months ended
Sept 30,
    Pct.
Change
    Nine months ended
Sept 30,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2014     2013           2014     2013        

Core Operating Earnings Before impact of fair value accounting on FIAs

   $ 87      $ 78        12   $ 269      $ 227        19

Impact of Fair Value Accounting

     (1     —          na        (26     9        na   
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Core operating earnings before income taxes

   $ 86      $ 78        10   $ 243      $ 236        3
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Average Fixed Annuity Reserves*

   $ 22,475      $ 19,035        18   $ 21,790      $ 18,231        20

Net Interest Spread*

     2.77     2.89       2.83     2.97  

Net Spread Earned Before Impact of Fair Value Accounting*

     1.50     1.50       1.57     1.51  

Net Spread Earned After Impact of Fair Value Accounting*

     1.48     1.50       1.41     1.58  

 

* Excludes fixed annuity portion of variable annuity business.

 

Page 10


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

Notes to Financial Schedules

 

a) Components of core net operating earnings (in millions):

 

     Three months ended
Sept 30,
    Nine months ended
Sept 30,
 
     2014     2013     2014     2013  

Core Operating Earnings before Income Taxes:

        

P&C insurance segment

   $ 130      $ 113      $ 335      $ 291   

Annuity segment

     86        78        243        236   

Run-off long-term care and life segment

     1        (4     (3     (7

Interest & other corporate expense

     (30     (39     (108     (123
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core operating earnings before income taxes

     187        148        467        397   

Related income taxes

     60        51        150        129   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core net operating earnings

   $ 127      $ 97      $ 317      $ 268   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

b) Reflects the following effects of special A&E charges during the third quarter and first nine months of 2014 and 2013 (dollars in millions, except per share amounts):

 

     Pretax      After-tax      EPS  
     2014      2013      2014      2013      2014      2013  

A&E Charge:

                 

P&C insurance run-off operations

                 

Asbestos

   $ 4       $ 16       $ 3       $ 10         

Environmental

     20         38         12         25         
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 
   $ 24       $ 54       $ 15       $ 35       $ 0.17       $ 0.39   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Former railroad & manufacturing operations

                 

Asbestos

   $ —         $ 2       $ —         $ 1         

Environmental

     6         20         4         13         
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 
   $ 6       $ 22       $ 4       $ 14       $ 0.04       $ 0.15   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total A&E

   $ 30       $ 76       $ 19       $ 49       $ 0.21       $ 0.54   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

c) Earnings before income taxes include $29 million and $47 million in non-deductible losses attributable to noncontrolling interests related to managed investment entities in the third quarter and first nine months of 2014, respectively, and $12 million of non-taxable income and $30 million in non-deductible losses in the third quarter and first nine months of 2013, respectively.

 

d) Shareholders’ Equity at September 30, 2014 includes $602 million ($6.80 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities and $2 million ($0.02 per share) of retained earnings appropriated to managed investment entities. Shareholders’ Equity at December 31, 2013 includes $441 million ($4.93 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities and $49 million ($0.55 per share) of retained earnings appropriated to managed investment entities. The appropriated retained earnings will ultimately inure to the benefit of the debt holders of the investment entities managed by AFG.

 

Page 11


e) Supplemental Notes:

 

    Property & Transportation includes primarily physical damage and liability coverage for buses, trucks and recreational vehicles, inland and ocean marine, agricultural-related products and other property coverages.

 

    Specialty Casualty includes primarily excess and surplus, general liability, executive liability, professional liability, umbrella and excess liability, specialty coverages in targeted markets, customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses and workers’ compensation insurance.

 

    Specialty Financial includes risk management insurance programs for leasing and financing institutions (including collateral and lender-placed mortgage property insurance), surety and fidelity products and trade credit insurance.

 

    Other includes an internal reinsurance facility.

 

Page 12



Exhibit 99.2

 

LOGO     
     American Financial Group, Inc.
    

 

Investor Supplement - Third Quarter 2014

    

 

October 28, 2014

    

 

American Financial Group, Inc.

     Corporate Headquarters
     Great American Insurance Group Tower
     301 E Fourth Street
     Cincinnati, OH 45202
     513 579 6739


American Financial Group, Inc.

Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - Third Quarter 2014

   LOGO

 

Section

   Page  

Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - Third Quarter 2014

     2   

Financial Highlights

     3   

Summary of Earnings

     4   

Earnings Per Share Summary

     5   

Property and Casualty Insurance Segment

  

Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     6   

Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     7   

Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     8   

Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     9   

Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     10   

Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     11   

Annuity Segment

  

Annuity Earnings (GAAP)

     12   

Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense (GAAP)

     13   

Net Spread on Fixed Annuities (GAAP)

     14   

Annuity Premiums (Statutory)

     15   

Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP)

     16   

Consolidated Balance Sheet / Book Value / Debt

  

Consolidated Balance Sheet

     17   

Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary

     18   

Capitalization

     19   

Additional Supplemental Information

     20   

Consolidated Investment Supplement

  

Total Cash and Investments and Quarterly Net Investment Income

     21   

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated

     22   

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio

     23   

Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating and NAIC Designation

     24   

Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated

     25   

Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio

     26   

Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating and NAIC Designation

     27   

 

2


American Financial Group, Inc.

Financial Highlights

(in millions, except per share information)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     09/30/14     06/30/14     03/31/14     12/31/13     09/30/13     09/30/14     09/30/13  

Highlights

              

Core net operating earnings

   $ 127      $ 99      $ 91      $ 117      $ 97      $ 317      $ 268  

Net earnings

     116        106        103        158        83        325        313  

Total assets

     46,552        45,355        42,770        42,087        40,947        46,552        40,947  

Adjusted shareholders’ equity (a)

     4,300        4,298        4,191        4,109        4,048        4,300        4,048  

Property and Casualty net written premiums

     1,242        998        755        821        1,067        2,995        2,520  

Annuity statutory premiums

     809        949        967        1,381        1,167        2,725        2,652  

Per share data

              

Core net operating earnings per share

   $ 1.40      $ 1.07      $ 1.00      $ 1.28      $ 1.06      $ 3.47      $ 2.94  

Diluted earnings per share

     1.28        1.15        1.13        1.73        0.92        3.56        3.44  

Adjusted book value per share (a)

     48.59        47.95        46.79        45.90        45.36        48.59        45.36  

Cash dividends per common share

     0.220        0.220        0.220        1.220        0.195        0.660        0.585  

Financial ratios

              

Annualized core operating return on equity (b)

     12.3     9.6     9.1     11.8     10.0     10.3     9.4 %

Annualized return on equity (b)

     11.1     10.3     10.3     16.0     8.6     10.6     11.0 %

Property and Casualty combined ratio - Specialty:

              

Loss & LAE ratio

     67.1     64.6     56.9     62.4     66.1     63.6     61.5 %

Underwriting expense ratio

     26.7     32.3     35.3     28.9     27.4     30.8     32.9 %
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio - Specialty

     93.8     96.9     92.2     91.3     93.5     94.4     94.4 %
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread on fixed annuities:

              

Net interest spread

     2.77     2.92     2.81     2.86     2.89     2.83     2.97 %

Net spread earned:

              

Before impact of fair value accounting

     1.50     1.64     1.58     1.55     1.50     1.57     1.51 %

Impact of fair value accounting (c)

     (0.02 %)      (0.18 %)      (0.28 %)      0.12     0.00     (0.16 %)      0.07 %
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

After impact of fair value accounting

     1.48     1.46     1.30     1.67     1.50     1.41     1.58 %
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Excludes appropriated retained earnings and unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments.
(b) Excludes appropriated retained earnings and accumulated other comprehensive income.
(c) Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs.

 

3


American Financial Group, Inc.

Summary of Earnings

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     09/30/14     06/30/14     03/31/14     12/31/13     09/30/13     09/30/14     09/30/13  

Property and Casualty Insurance

              

Underwriting profit

   $ 70      $ 29      $ 58      $ 75      $ 62      $ 157      $ 124   

Net investment income

     76        76        67        67        65        219        196   

Other expense

     (16     (8     (17     (11     (14     (41     (29
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Property and Casualty Insurance operating earnings

     130        97        108        131        113        335        291   

Annuity earnings

     86        84        73        92        78        243        236   

Run-off Long-Term Care and Life losses

     1        (2     (2     (3     (4     (3     (7

Interest expense of parent holding companies

     (17     (16     (17     (17     (17     (50     (51

Other expense

     (13     (21     (24     (28     (22     (58     (72
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pre-tax core operating earnings

     187        142        138        175        148        467        397   

Income tax expense

     60        43        47        58        51        150        129   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core net operating earnings

     127        99        91        117        97        317        268   

Non-core items, net of tax:

              

Realized gains

     8        7        12        41        35        27        97   

Significant A&E charges:

              

Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations

     (15     —          —          —          (35     (15     (35

Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations

     (4     —          —          —          (14     (4     (14

ELNY guaranty fund assessments charge (a)

     —          —          —          —          —          —          (3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings

   $ 116      $ 106      $ 103      $ 158      $ 83      $ 325      $ 313   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) The ELNY guaranty fund assessments charge represent guaranty fund assessments in connection with the insolvency and liquidation of Executive Life Insurance Company of New York, an unaffiliated life insurance company.

 

4


American Financial Group, Inc.

Earnings Per Share Summary

(in millions, except per share information)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     09/30/14     06/30/14      03/31/14      12/31/13      09/30/13     09/30/14     09/30/13  

Core net operating earnings

   $ 127      $ 99       $ 91       $ 117       $ 97      $ 317      $ 268   
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings

   $ 116      $ 106       $ 103       $ 158       $ 83      $ 325      $ 313   
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average number of diluted shares

     90.873        91.593         91.621         91.438         91.014        91.360        91.176   

Diluted earnings per share:

                 

Core net operating earnings per share

   $ 1.40      $ 1.07       $ 1.00       $ 1.28       $ 1.06      $ 3.47      $ 2.94   

Realized gains

     0.09        0.08         0.13         0.45         0.40        0.30        1.08   

Significant A&E charges:

                 

Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations

     (0.17     —           —           —           (0.39     (0.17     (0.39

Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations

     (0.04     —           —           —           (0.15     (0.04     (0.15

ELNY guaranty fund assessments charge (a)

     —          —           —           —           —          —          (0.04
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Diluted earnings per share

   $ 1.28      $ 1.15       $ 1.13       $ 1.73       $ 0.92      $ 3.56      $ 3.44   
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) The ELNY guaranty fund assessments charge represent guaranty fund assessments in connection with the insolvency and liquidation of Executive Life Insurance Company of New York, an unaffiliated life insurance company.

 

5


American Financial Group, Inc.

Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     09/30/14     06/30/14     03/31/14     12/31/13     09/30/13     09/30/14     09/30/13  

Property and Transportation

   $ 11      $ (18   $ 6      $ 17      $ 16      $ (1   $ (5

Specialty Casualty

     32        30        38        32        19        100        70   

Specialty Financial

     21        15        10        17        22        46        50   

Other Specialty

     6        2        5        9        5        13        16   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit - Specialty

     70        29        59        75        62        158        131   

Other charges, included in loss and LAE

     —          —          1        —          —          1        7   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit - Core

     70        29        58        75        62        157        124   

Special A&E charges, included in loss and LAE

     (24     —          —          —          (54     (24     (54
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit - Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 46      $ 29      $ 58      $ 75      $ 8      $ 133      $ 70   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ (1   $ —        $ —     

Catastrophe loss

     3        10        12        1        2        25        30   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 3      $ 10      $ 12      $ 1      $ 1      $ 25      $ 30   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ 13      $ 14      $ (31   $ (5   $ 40      $ (4   $ (10
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Property and Transportation

     97.8     105.5     98.1     95.8     97.1     100.1     100.4

Specialty Casualty

     93.3     93.6     87.8     89.7     93.4     92.1     91.5

Specialty Financial

     81.6     87.6     91.0     85.2     82.3     86.7     85.8

Other Specialty

     78.0     89.0     79.9     60.4     70.7     82.1     71.9

Combined ratio - Specialty

     93.8     96.9     92.2     91.3     93.5     94.4     94.4

Other core charges

     0.1     0.0     0.0     0.1     (0.1 %)      0.0     0.3

Special A&E charges

     2.1     0.0     0.0     0.0     5.7     0.8     2.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     96.0     96.9     92.2     91.4     99.1     95.2     97.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     94.5     94.4     94.8     91.7     94.8     94.5     96.2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components - property and casualty insurance

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     67.8     62.1     59.4     62.8     67.4     63.7     63.3

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     1.2     1.4     (4.1 %)      (0.4 %)      4.2     (0.2 %)      (0.5 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     0.3     1.1     1.6     0.1     0.1     0.9     1.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     69.3     64.6     56.9     62.5     71.7     64.4     64.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

6


American Financial Group, Inc.

Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     09/30/14     06/30/14     03/31/14     12/31/13     09/30/13     09/30/14     09/30/13  

Gross written premiums

   $ 1,859      $ 1,291      $ 1,024      $ 1,071      $ 1,768      $ 4,174      $ 3,734   

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (617     (293     (269     (250     (701     (1,179     (1,214
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     1,242        998        755        821        1,067        2,995        2,520   

Change in unearned premiums

     (110     (67     (1     38        (118     (178     (175
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     1,132        931        754        859        949        2,817        2,345   

Loss and LAE

     760        602        428        537        626        1,790        1,442   

Underwriting expense

     302        300        267        247        261        869        772   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 70      $ 29      $ 59      $ 75      $ 62      $ 158      $ 131   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ (1   $ —        $ —     

Catastrophe loss

     3        10        12        1        2        25        30   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 3      $ 10      $ 12      $ 1      $ 1      $ 25      $ 30   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (11   $ 14      $ (32   $ (5   $ (13   $ (29   $ (70
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     67.1     64.6     56.9     62.4     66.1     63.6     61.5

Underwriting expense ratio

     26.7     32.3     35.3     28.9     27.4     30.8     32.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     93.8     96.9     92.2     91.3     93.5     94.4     94.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     94.5     94.4     94.8     91.7     94.8     94.5     96.2
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     67.8     62.1     59.5     62.8     67.4     63.7     63.3

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (1.0 %)      1.4     (4.2 %)      (0.5 %)      (1.4 %)      (1.0 %)      (3.1 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     0.3     1.1     1.6     0.1     0.1     0.9     1.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     67.1     64.6     56.9     62.4     66.1     63.6     61.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

7


American Financial Group, Inc.

Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     09/30/14     06/30/14     03/31/14     12/31/13     09/30/13     09/30/14     09/30/13  

Gross written premiums

   $ 995      $ 489      $ 376      $ 447      $ 1,147      $ 1,860      $ 1,945   

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (439     (136     (92     (98     (553     (667     (747
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     556        353        284        349        594        1,193        1,198   

Change in unearned premiums

     (52     (29     17        61        (77     (64     (87
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     504        324        301        410        517        1,129        1,111   

Loss and LAE

     407        248        201        307        407        856        835   

Underwriting expense

     86        94        94        86        94        274        281   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit (loss)

   $ 11      $ (18   $ 6      $ 17      $ 16      $ (1   $ (5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ (1   $ —        $ —     

Catastrophe loss

     1        8        9        —          —          18        27   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 1      $ 8      $ 9      $ —        $ (1   $ 18      $ 27   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (5   $ 22      $ (4   $ 3      $ (1   $ 13      $ (4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     80.7     76.4     67.0     74.9     78.8     75.8     75.1

Underwriting expense ratio

     17.1     29.1     31.1     20.9     18.3     24.3     25.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     97.8     105.5     98.1     95.8     97.1     100.1     100.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     98.5     96.2     96.4     95.0     97.4     97.3     98.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     81.4     67.1     65.3     74.1     79.1     73.0     73.1

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (0.9 %)      6.6     (1.1 %)      0.8     (0.2 %)      1.2     (0.4 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     0.2     2.7     2.8     0.0     (0.1 %)      1.6     2.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     80.7     76.4     67.0     74.9     78.8     75.8     75.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

8


American Financial Group, Inc.

Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     09/30/14     06/30/14     03/31/14     12/31/13     09/30/13     09/30/14     09/30/13  

Gross written premiums

   $ 707      $ 655      $ 507      $ 459      $ 461      $ 1,869      $ 1,331   

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (171     (156     (176     (138     (136     (503     (428
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     536        499        331        321        325        1,366        903   

Change in unearned premiums

     (50     (32     (18     (11     (36     (100     (78
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     486        467        313        310        289        1,266        825   

Loss and LAE

     310        300        172        183        174        782        470   

Underwriting expense

     144        137        103        95        96        384        285   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 32      $ 30      $ 38      $ 32      $ 19      $ 100      $ 70   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —     

Catastrophe loss

     1        1        1        —          1        3        1   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 1      $ 1      $ 1      $ —        $ 1      $ 3      $ 1   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ 7      $ (4   $ (24   $ 2      $ (4   $ (21   $ (42
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     63.7     64.3     55.0     59.0     60.3     61.8     57.1

Underwriting expense ratio

     29.6     29.3     32.8     30.7     33.1     30.3     34.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     93.3     93.6     87.8     89.7     93.4     92.1     91.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     91.6     94.3     95.1     89.2     94.5     93.5     96.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     62.0     65.0     62.3     58.5     61.4     63.2     62.0

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     1.3     (0.8 %)      (7.7 %)      0.5     (1.2 %)      (1.7 %)      (5.0 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     0.4     0.1     0.4     0.0     0.1     0.3     0.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     63.7     64.3     55.0     59.0     60.3     61.8     57.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

9


American Financial Group, Inc.

Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     09/30/14     06/30/14     03/31/14     12/31/13     09/30/13     09/30/14     09/30/13  

Gross written premiums

   $ 157      $ 147      $ 141      $ 164      $ 160      $ 445      $ 458   

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     (36     (27     (25     (32     (36     (88     (104
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     121        120        116        132        124        357        354   

Change in unearned premiums

     (6     (4     1        (13     (3     (9     (4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     115        116        117        119        121        348        350   

Loss and LAE

     32        40        45        42        37        117        116   

Underwriting expense

     62        61        62        60        62        185        184   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 21      $ 15      $ 10      $ 17      $ 22      $ 46      $ 50   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —     

Catastrophe loss

     —          1        2        1        1        3        2   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ —        $ 1      $ 2      $ 1      $ 1      $ 3      $ 2   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (10   $ (2   $ (1   $ (4   $ (4   $ (13   $ (10
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     27.7     35.3     37.9     34.2     31.2     33.6     33.3

Underwriting expense ratio

     53.9     52.3     53.1     51.0     51.1     53.1     52.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     81.6     87.6     91.0     85.2     82.3     86.7     85.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     90.3     88.6     90.2     87.7     84.8     89.7     88.1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

              

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

     36.4     36.3     37.1     36.7     33.7     36.6     35.6

Prior accident year loss reserve development

     (9.0 %)      (1.8 %)      (0.7 %)      (3.2 %)      (3.2 %)      (3.9 %)      (2.9 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

     0.3     0.8     1.5     0.7     0.7     0.9     0.6
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

     27.7     35.3     37.9     34.2     31.2     33.6     33.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

10


American Financial Group, Inc.

Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     09/30/14     06/30/14     03/31/14     12/31/13     09/30/13     09/30/14     09/30/13  

Gross written premiums

   $ —        $ —        $ —        $ 1      $ —        $ —        $ —     

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     29        26        24        18        24        79        65   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     29        26        24        19        24        79        65   

Change in unearned premiums

     (2     (2     (1     1        (2     (5     (6
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     27        24        23        20        22        74        59   

Loss and LAE

     11        14        10        5        8        35        21   

Underwriting expense

     10        8        8        6        9        26        22   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 6      $ 2      $ 5      $ 9      $ 5      $ 13      $ 16   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —     

Catastrophe loss

     1        —          —          —          —          1        —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ 1      $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ 1      $ —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (3   $ (2   $ (3   $ (6   $ (4   $ (8   $ (14
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     43.4     53.2     45.8     28.3     35.0     47.3     34.6

Underwriting expense ratio

     34.6     35.8     34.1     32.1     35.7     34.8     37.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     78.0     89.0     79.9     60.4     70.7     82.1     71.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     85.6     97.1     91.4     87.5     90.1     91.1     95.8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

11


American Financial Group, Inc.

Annuity Earnings (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended      Nine Months Ended  
     09/30/14     06/30/14     03/31/14     12/31/13      09/30/13      09/30/14     09/30/13  

Net investment income

   $ 287      $ 289      $ 275      $ 270       $ 259       $ 851      $ 764   

Guaranteed withdrawal benefit fees

     9        8        8        7         7         25        18   

Policy charges and other miscellaneous income

     11        11        10        14         10         32        28   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total revenues

     307        308        293        291         276         908        810   

Annuity benefits expense

     157        166        168        137         140         491        394   

Acquisition expenses

     41        37        31        35         35         109        114   

Other expenses

     23        21        21        27         23         65        66   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total costs and expenses

     221        224        220        199         198         665        574   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core Annuity earnings before income taxes

     86        84        73        92         78         243        236   

ELNY guaranty fund assessments charge before income tax (a)

     —          —          —          —           —           —          (5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity earnings before income taxes

   $ 86      $ 84      $ 73      $ 92       $ 78       $ 243      $ 231   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Detail of core Annuity earnings before income taxes

                

Core earnings before income taxes and impact of fair value accounting

   $ 87      $ 94      $ 88      $ 86       $ 78       $ 269      $ 227   

Impact of fair value accounting (b)

     (1     (10     (15     6         —           (26     9   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core Annuity earnings before income taxes

   $ 86      $ 84      $ 73      $ 92       $ 78       $ 243      $ 236   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) The ELNY guaranty fund assessments charge represent guaranty fund assessments in connection with the insolvency and liquidation of Executive Life Insurance Company of New York, an unaffiliated life insurance company.
(b) Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs.

 

12


American Financial Group, Inc.

Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     09/30/14     06/30/14     03/31/14     12/31/13     09/30/13     09/30/14     09/30/13  

Detail of annuity benefits expense:

              

Interest credited - fixed

   $ 126      $ 123      $ 121      $ 118      $ 113      $ 370      $ 333   

Interest credited - fixed component of variable annuities

     2        2        1        1        2        5        5   

Change in expected death and annuitization reserve

     5        5        4        5        4        14        14   

Amortization of sales inducements

     7        6        7        7        8        20        23   

Guaranteed withdrawal benefit reserve

     12        10        8        10        10        30        28   

Change in other benefit reserves

     3        5        3        1        2        11        6   

Unlockings

     —          —          —          6        —          —          —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal before impact of fair value accounting

     155        151        144        148        139        450        409   

Embedded derivative mark-to-market

     21        78        54        74        33        153        110   

Equity option mark-to-market

     (19     (63     (30     (85     (32     (112     (125
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal impact of fair value accounting

     2        15        24        (11     1        41        (15
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total annuity benefits expense

   $ 157      $ 166      $ 168      $ 137      $ 140      $ 491      $ 394   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

13


American Financial Group, Inc.

Net Spread on Fixed Annuities (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     09/30/14     06/30/14     03/31/14     12/31/13     09/30/13     09/30/14     09/30/13  

Average fixed annuity investments (at amortized cost)

   $ 22,730      $ 22,098      $ 21,402      $ 20,524      $ 19,519      $ 22,077      $ 18,693   

Average annuity benefits accumulated

     22,475        21,829        21,066        20,092        19,035        21,790        18,231   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Investments in excess of annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 255      $ 269      $ 336      $ 432      $ 484      $ 287      $ 462   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

As % of average annuity benefits accumulated (except as noted)

              

Net investment income (as % of investments)

     5.01     5.18     5.10     5.21     5.27     5.09     5.40

Interest credited

     (2.24 %)      (2.26 %)      (2.29 %)      (2.35 %)      (2.38 %)      (2.26 %)      (2.43 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net interest spread on fixed annuities

     2.77     2.92     2.81     2.86     2.89     2.83     2.97

Policy charges and other miscellaneous income

     0.14     0.14     0.13     0.22     0.15     0.13     0.14

Other annuity benefit expenses, net

     (0.33 %)      (0.33 %)      (0.27 %)      (0.31 %)      (0.38 %)      (0.30 %)      (0.39 %) 

Acquisition expenses

     (0.69 %)      (0.64 %)      (0.55 %)      (0.75 %)      (0.72 %)      (0.63 %)      (0.80 %) 

Other expenses

     (0.37 %)      (0.36 %)      (0.37 %)      (0.53 %)      (0.44 %)      (0.37 %)      (0.45 %) 

Change in fair value of derivatives

     (0.04 %)      (0.27 %)      (0.45 %)      0.22     0.00     (0.25 %)      0.11

Unlockings

     0.00     0.00     0.00     (0.04 %)      0.00     0.00     0.00
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread earned on fixed annuities - core

     1.48     1.46     1.30     1.67     1.50     1.41     1.58
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 22,475      $ 21,829      $ 21,066      $ 20,092      $ 19,035      $ 21,790      $ 18,231   

Net spread earned on fixed annuities

     1.48     1.46     1.30     1.67     1.50     1.41     1.58
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings on fixed annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 83      $ 80      $ 68      $ 84      $ 72      $ 231      $ 216   

Investments in excess of annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 255      $ 269      $ 336      $ 432      $ 484      $ 287      $ 462   

Net investment income (as % of investments)

     5.01     5.18     5.10     5.21     5.27     5.09     5.40
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings on investments in excess of annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 3      $ 3      $ 5      $ 6      $ 6      $ 11      $ 18   

Variable annuity earnings

     —          1        —          2        —          1        2   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes - core

   $ 86      $ 84      $ 73      $ 92      $ 78      $ 243      $ 236   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Detail of net spread earned on fixed annuities - core

              

Net spread earned core - before impact of fair value accounting

     1.50     1.64     1.58     1.55     1.50     1.57     1.51

Impact of fair value accounting (a)

     (0.02 %)      (0.18 %)      (0.28 %)      0.12     0.00     (0.16 %)      0.07
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread earned core - after impact of fair value accounting

     1.48     1.46     1.30     1.67     1.50     1.41     1.58
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs.

 

14


American Financial Group

Annuity Premiums (Statutory)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended      Nine months ended  
     09/30/14      06/30/14      03/31/14      12/31/13      09/30/13      09/30/14      09/30/13  

Retail single premium annuities - indexed

   $ 339       $ 403       $ 386       $ 565       $ 509       $ 1,128       $ 1,314   

Retail single premium annuities - fixed

     18         25         39         53         48         82         112   

Financial institutions single premium annuities - indexed

     333         364         366         498         352         1,063         604   

Financial institutions single premium annuities - fixed

     62         95         114         201         198         271         427   

Education market - 403(b) fixed and indexed annuities

     46         49         50         51         49         145         156   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal fixed annuity premiums

     798         936         955         1,368         1,156         2,689         2,613   

Variable annuities

     11         13         12         13         11         36         39   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total annuity premiums

   $ 809       $ 949       $ 967       $ 1,381       $ 1,167       $ 2,725       $ 2,652   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

15


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     09/30/14     06/30/14     03/31/14     12/31/13     09/30/13     09/30/14     09/30/13  

Beginning fixed annuity reserves

   $ 22,205      $ 21,453      $ 20,679      $ 19,505      $ 18,564      $ 20,679      $ 17,274   

Premiums

     798        936        955        1,368        1,156        2,689        2,613   

Federal Home Loan Bank advances

     —          —          —          —          —          —          200   

Surrenders, benefits and other withdrawals

     (426     (408     (375     (408     (381     (1,209     (1,085

Interest and other annuity benefit expenses:

              

Interest credited

     126        123        121        118        113        370        333   

Embedded derivative mark-to-market

     21        78        54        74        33        153        110   

Change in other benefit reserves

     21        23        19        18        20        63        60   

Unlockings

     —          —          —          4        —          —          —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Ending fixed annuity reserves

   $ 22,745      $ 22,205      $ 21,453      $ 20,679      $ 19,505      $ 22,745      $ 19,505   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Reconciliation to annuity benefits accumulated:

              

Ending fixed annuity reserves

   $ 22,745      $ 22,205      $ 21,453      $ 20,679      $ 19,505      $ 22,745      $ 19,505   

Impact of unrealized investment gains on reserves

     107        117        97        71        84        107        84   

Fixed component of variable annuities

     192        194        194        194        196        192        196   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity benefits accumulated per balance sheet

   $ 23,044      $ 22,516      $ 21,744      $ 20,944      $ 19,785      $ 23,044      $ 19,785   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized surrenders and other withdrawals as a % of beginning reserves

     7.7     7.6     7.3     8.4     8.2     7.8     8.4

 

16


American Financial Group, Inc.

Consolidated Balance Sheet

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     09/30/14     06/30/14     03/31/14     12/31/13     09/30/13      06/30/13  

Assets:

             

Total cash and investments

   $ 35,151      $ 34,843      $ 32,727      $ 31,313      $ 29,921       $ 29,262   

Recoverables from reinsurers

     3,134        3,107        2,969        3,157        3,138         3,044   

Prepaid reinsurance premiums

     587        489        438        408        662         520   

Agents’ balances and premiums receivable

     901        902        735        739        801         754   

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     858        806        890        975        867         818   

Assets of managed investment entities

     2,946        2,799        2,723        2,888        2,779         2,973   

Other receivables

     1,140        527        524        854        1,078         422   

Variable annuity assets (separate accounts)

     649        681        666        665        629         608   

Other assets

     985        1,001        913        903        887         828   

Goodwill

     201        200        185        185        185         185   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total assets

   $ 46,552      $ 45,355      $ 42,770      $ 42,087      $ 40,947       $ 39,414   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Liabilities and Equity:

             

Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

   $ 7,645      $ 7,370      $ 6,134      $ 6,410      $ 6,441       $ 6,098   

Unearned premiums

     2,114        1,911        1,788        1,757        2,047         1,789   

Annuity benefits accumulated

     23,044        22,516        21,744        20,944        19,785         18,848   

Life, accident and health reserves

     2,098        2,082        2,039        2,008        2,011         2,017   

Payable to reinsurers

     673        445        400        508        601         367   

Liabilities of managed investment entities

     2,625        2,499        2,413        2,567        2,429         2,603   

Long-term debt

     1,062        912        913        913        913         949   

Variable annuity liabilities (separate accounts)

     649        681        666        665        629         608   

Other liabilities

     1,564        1,781        1,700        1,546        1,381         1,497   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total liabilities

   $ 41,474      $ 40,197      $ 37,797      $ 37,318      $ 36,237       $ 34,776   

Shareholders’ equity:

             

Common stock

   $ 88      $ 90      $ 90      $ 90      $ 89       $ 89   

Capital surplus

     1,150        1,152        1,138        1,123        1,109         1,088   

Appropriated retained earnings

     2        31        49        49        45         33   

Unappropriated retained earnings

     2,946        2,913        2,842        2,777        2,729         2,664   

Unrealized gains - fixed maturities

     602        656        556        441        449         462   

Unrealized gains - equities

     124        149        129        121        119         138   

Other comprehensive income, net of tax

     (8     (6     (8     (2     2         (1
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total shareholders’ equity

     4,904        4,985        4,796        4,599        4,542         4,473   

Noncontrolling interests

     174        173        177        170        168         165   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total liabilities and equity

   $ 46,552      $ 45,355      $ 42,770      $ 42,087      $ 40,947       $ 39,414   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

17


American Financial Group, Inc.

Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary

(in millions, except per share information)

   LOGO

 

     09/30/14     06/30/14     03/31/14     12/31/13     09/30/13     06/30/13  

Shareholders’ equity

   $ 4,904      $ 4,985      $ 4,796      $ 4,599      $ 4,542      $ 4,473   

Appropriated retained earnings

     (2     (31     (49     (49     (45     (33
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Shareholders’ equity, excluding appropriated retained earnings

     4,902        4,954        4,747        4,550        4,497        4,440   

Unrealized (gains) on fixed maturities

     (602     (656     (556     (441     (449     (462
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Adjusted shareholders’ equity

     4,300        4,298        4,191        4,109        4,048        3,978   

Goodwill

     (201     (200     (185     (185     (185     (185

Intangibles

     (63     (66     (27     (22     (26     (29
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Tangible adjusted shareholders’ equity

   $ 4,036      $ 4,032      $ 3,979      $ 3,902      $ 3,837      $ 3,764   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Common shares outstanding

     88.491        89.618        89.589        89.513        89.224        88.821   

Book value per share:

            

Excluding appropriated retained earnings (a)

   $ 55.39      $ 55.27      $ 52.99      $ 50.83      $ 50.40      $ 49.98   

Adjusted (b)

     48.59        47.95        46.79        45.90        45.36        44.78   

Tangible, adjusted (c)

     45.61        44.99        44.42        43.59        43.00        42.38   

Market capitalization

            

AFG’s closing common share price

   $ 57.89      $ 59.56      $ 57.71      $ 57.72      $ 54.06      $ 48.91   

Market capitalization

   $ 5,123      $ 5,338      $ 5,170      $ 5,167      $ 4,823      $ 4,344   

Price / Adjusted book value ratio

     1.19        1.24        1.23        1.26        1.19        1.09   

 

(a) Excludes appropriated retained earnings.
(b) Excludes appropriated retained earnings and unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments.
(c) Excludes appropriated retained earnings, unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, goodwill and intangibles.

 

18


American Financial Group, Inc.

Capitalization

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     09/30/14     06/30/14     03/31/14     12/31/13     09/30/13     06/30/13  

AFG senior obligations

   $ 840      $ 840      $ 840      $ 840      $ 840      $ 840   

Borrowings drawn under credit facility

     —          —          —          —          —          —     

Obligations of subsidiaries - other

     12        12        12        12        12        27   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Debt excluding subordinated debt & debt secured by real estate

   $ 852      $ 852      $ 852      $ 852      $ 852      $ 867   

AFG subordinated debentures

     150        —          —          —          —          —     

Obligations of subsidiaries - secured by real estate

     60        60        61        61        61        62   

Payable to subsidiary trusts - subordinated

     —          —          —          —          —          20   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Long-term debt

   $ 1,062      $ 912      $ 913      $ 913      $ 913      $ 949   

Shareholders’ equity

     4,904        4,985        4,796        4,599        4,542        4,473   

Noncontrolling interests

     174        173        177        170        168        165   

Less:

            

Appropriated retained earnings

     (2     (31     (49     (49     (45     (33

Unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments

     (602     (656     (556     (441     (449     (462
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total adjusted capital

   $ 5,536      $ 5,383      $ 5,281      $ 5,192      $ 5,129      $ 5,092   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Less:

            

Obligations of subsidiaries - secured by real estate

     (60     (60     (61     (61     (61     (62
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total adjusted capital excluding obligations secured by real estate

   $ 5,476      $ 5,323      $ 5,220      $ 5,131      $ 5,068      $ 5,030   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Ratio of debt to total adjusted capital:

            

Including subordinated debt & debt secured by real estate

     19.2     16.9     17.3     17.6     17.8     18.6

Excluding subordinated debt & debt secured by real estate

     15.6     16.0     16.3     16.6     16.8     17.2

 

19


American Financial Group, Inc.

Additional Supplemental Information

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Three Months Ended      Nine months ended  
     09/30/14      06/30/14      03/31/14      12/31/13      09/30/13      09/30/14      09/30/13  

Property and Casualty Insurance

                    

Paid Losses (GAAP)

   $ 528       $ 530       $ 510       $ 577       $ 417       $ 1,568       $ 1,294   

 

     09/30/14      06/30/14      03/31/14      12/31/13      09/30/13      6/30/2013  

Statutory Surplus

                 

Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 2,206       $ 2,227       $ 1,981       $ 1,896       $ 2,133       $ 2,096   

AFG’s principal annuity subsidiaries (total adjusted capital)

   $ 1,818       $ 1,751       $ 1,688       $ 1,661       $ 1,590       $ 1,517   

Allowable dividends without regulatory approval

                 

Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 335       $ 335       $ 335       $ 335       $ 237       $ 237   

Annuity and Run-off

     275         275         275         275         158         158   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 610       $ 610       $ 610       $ 610       $ 395       $ 395   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

20


American Financial Group, Inc.

Total Cash and Investments and Quarterly Net Investment Income

September 30, 2014

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Carrying Value  
     Property and
Casualty
Insurance
     Annuity and
Run-off
     Other      Consolidate
CLOs
    Total AFG
Consolidated
     % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

Total cash and investments:

                

Cash and cash equivalents

   $ 657       $ 260       $ 393       $ —        $ 1,310         4

Fixed maturities - Available for sale

     6,241         23,712         12         —          29,965         85

Fixed maturities - Trading

     214         128         —           —          342         1

Equity securities

     1,008         423         43         —          1,474         4

Policy loans

     —           230         —           —          230         1

Mortgage loans

     213         851         —           —          1,064         3

Real estate and other investments

     351         723         10         (318     766         2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total cash and investments

   $ 8,684       $ 26,327       $ 458       $ (318   $ 35,151         100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

     Property and
Casualty
Insurance
    Annuity and
Run-off
    Other      Consolidate
CLOs
    Total AFG
Consolidated
 

Total quarterly net investment income:

           

Fixed maturities - Available for sale

   $ 59      $ 280      $ —         $ —        $ 339   

Fixed maturities - Trading

     1        2        —           —          3   

Equity securities

     11        5        —           —          16   

Equity in investees

     1        1        —           —          2   

Other investments

     6        20        —           (6     20   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross investment income

     78        308        —           (6     380   

Investment expenses

     (2     (1     —           —          (3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net investment income

   $ 76      $ 307      $ —         $ (6   $ 377   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

     Equity Securities  
     Cost      Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
 

Annuity and Run-off

   $ 384       $ 423       $ 39   

Property and Casualty Insurance

     852         1,008         156   

Other

     43         43         —     
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 1,279       $ 1,474       $ 195   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

21


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated

September 30, 2014

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Amortized
Cost
    Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

US Government and government agencies

   $ 392      $ 397       $ 5         1     1

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     6,132        6,399         267         21     18

Foreign government

     334        343         9         1     1

Residential mortgage-backed securities

     4,198        4,598         400         15     13

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     2,333        2,496         163         8     7

Asset-backed securities

     3,604        3,621         17         12     10

Corporate bonds

            

Manufacturing

     2,303        2,431         128         8     7

Banks, lending and credit institutions

     2,516        2,637         121         9     8

Gas and electric services

     1,308        1,430         122         5     4

Insurance and insurance related

     839        901         62         3     3

Other corporate

     4,792        5,054         262         17     14
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 28,751      $ 30,307       $ 1,556         100     86
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity and Run-off

   $ 22,496      $ 23,840       $ 1,344         79     68

Property and Casualty Insurance

     6,254        6,455         201         21     18

Other

     1        12         11         0     0
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 28,751      $ 30,307       $ 1,556         100     86
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

            

Excluding investment expense (a)

     4.87          

Net of investment expense (a)

     4.84          

Approximate average life and duration:

            

Approximate average life

     6.5 years             

Approximate duration

     5 years             

 

(a) Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances.

 

22


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio

September 30, 2014

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     Amortized
Cost
    Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
 

Annuity and Run-off:

         

US Government and government agencies

   $ 90      $ 91       $ 1        0

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     3,574        3,747         173        17

Foreign government

     17        19         2        0

Residential mortgage-backed securities

     3,234        3,567         333        15

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     2,088        2,241         153        9

Asset-backed securities

     2,638        2,656         18        11

Corporate debt

     10,855        11,519         664        48
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Annuity and Run-off

   $ 22,496      $ 23,840       $ 1,344        100
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

         

Excluding investment expense (a)

     5.09       

Net of investment expense (a)

     5.07       

Approximate average life and duration:

         

Approximate average life

     7 years          

Approximate duration

     5 years          
     Amortized
Cost
    Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
    % of
Fair Value
 

Property and Casualty Insurance:

         

US Government and government agencies

   $ 302      $ 306       $ 4        5

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     2,558        2,652         94        41

Foreign government

     317        324         7        5

Residential mortgage-backed securities

     963        1,019         56        16

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     245        255         10        4

Asset-backed securities

     966        965         (1     15

Corporate debt

     903        934         31        14
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 6,254      $ 6,455       $ 201        100
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

         

Excluding investment expense (a)

     4.05       

Net of investment expense (a)

     3.95       

Tax equivalent, net of investment expense (b)

     4.61       

Approximate average life and duration:

         

Approximate average life

     4.5 years          

Approximate duration

     3.5 years          

 

(a) Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances.
(b) Adjusts the yield on tax-exempt bonds to the fully taxable equivalent yield.

 

23


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating and NAIC Designation

September 30, 2014

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     GAAP Data  

By Credit Rating

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
 

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 6,542       $ 6,766       $ 224         22

AA

     5,857         6,081         224         20

A

     7,443         7,847         404         26

BBB

     5,153         5,480         327         18
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Investment grade

     24,995         26,174         1,179         86

BB

     751         787         36         3

B

     460         477         17         2

Other

     2,545         2,869         324         9
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 28,751       $ 30,307       $ 1,556         100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

 

     Statutory Data  

By NAIC Designation

   Carrying
Value
     % of Carrying
Value
    Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
 

NAIC 1

   $ 22,332         79   $ 22,333       $ 23,561       $ 1,228   

NAIC 2

     5,236         18     5,236         5,558         322   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 
     27,568         97     27,569         29,119         1,550   

NAIC 3

     540         2     540         562         22   

NAIC 4

     220         1     220         231         11   

NAIC 5

     33         0     33         40         7   

NAIC 6

     56         0     60         79         19   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 28,417         100   $ 28,422       $ 30,031       $ 1,609   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

24


American Financial Group, Inc.

Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated

September 30, 2014

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

By Asset Type

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 326       $ 334       $ 8         5     1

Prime (Non-Agency)

     2,000         2,215         215         31     6

Alt-A

     972         1,081         109         15     3

Subprime

     900         968         68         14     3
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal - Residential

     4,198         4,598         400         65     13

Commercial

     2,333         2,496         163         35     7
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 6,531       $ 7,094       $ 563         100     20
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity and Run-off

   $ 5,322       $ 5,808       $ 486         82     16

Property and Casualty Insurance

     1,208         1,274         66         18     4

Other

     1         12         11         0     0
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 6,531       $ 7,094       $ 563         100     20
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

  Substantially all of AFG’s MBS securities are either senior tranches of securitizations or collateralized by senior tranches of securitizations.

 

  The average amortized cost as a percent of par is - Prime 84%; Alt-A 78%; Subprime 86%; CMBS 99%.

 

  The average FICO score of our residential MBS securities is - Prime 740; Alt-A 712; Subprime 639.

 

  99.7% of our Commercial MBS portfolio is investment-grade rated (85% AAA) and the average subordination for this group assets is 39%.

 

  The approximate average life by collateral type is - Residential 5 years; Commercial 4 years.

 

25


American Financial Group, Inc.

Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio

September 30, 2014

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

Annuity and Run-off:

By Asset Type

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 133       $ 139       $ 6         2     1

Prime (Non-Agency)

     1,772         1,959         187         34     7

Alt-A

     724         812         88         14     3

Subprime

     605         657         52         11     2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal - Residential

     3,234         3,567         333         61     13

Commercial

     2,088         2,241         153         39     9
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Annuity and Run-off

   $ 5,322       $ 5,808       $ 486         100     22
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Property and Casualty Insurance:

By Asset Type

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 193       $ 195       $ 2         15     2

Prime (Non-Agency)

     227         244         17         19     3

Alt-A

     248         269         21         21     3

Subprime

     295         311         16         25     4
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal - Residential

     963         1,019         56         80     12

Commercial

     245         255         10         20     3
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 1,208       $ 1,274       $ 66         100     15
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

26


American Financial Group, Inc.

Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating and NAIC Designation

September 30, 2014

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

     GAAP data  

By Credit Rating

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
 

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 2,840       $ 3,004       $ 164         42

AA

     345         363         18         5

A

     510         539         29         8

BBB

     228         248         20         3
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - investment grade

     3,923         4,154         231         58

BB

     337         350         13         5

B

     396         411         15         6

Other

     1,875         2,179         304         31
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 6,531       $ 7,094       $ 563         100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

 

     Statutory data  

By NAIC

Designation

   Carrying
Value
     % of Carrying
Value
    Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
 

NAIC 1

   $ 6,140         95   $ 6,141       $ 6,755       $ 614   

NAIC 2

     122         2     122         124         2   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 
     6,262         97     6,263         6,879         616   

NAIC 3

     44         1     44         47         3   

NAIC 4

     106         2     106         114         8   

NAIC 5

     4         0     4         11         7   

NAIC 6

     25         0     26         42         16   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 6,441         100   $ 6,443       $ 7,093       $ 650   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

27

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