SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) 옵션

Charts: Dow Support 38% Retrace 39,811-----Resistance 50%b Retrace 40,816------SPX Support Fib 5485----Resistance Fib 5650 -----SPY Support 50% Retrace 546 .35-----Resistance 61% 562.13 !!LOL!!

SPX Brackets---5475--5525-----5525--5575 !

Pivot Calcs; SPX Pivot--5502----R1--5550----R2--5575-----S1--5477----S2--5429-----SPY Pivot--548----R1--553----S1--546----ES Pivot--5495-----VIX Pivot--25.65 ----S1-- 24.02 !!LOL!!

$SPY has 2 Scenarios playing that I can tell you now:

Scenario 1: Immediate Rejection (High Probability)
SPY is already inside the 535–550 short zone
If rejected soon (around 552–555), price could:
Roll back down toward 535 support
Then if momentum accelerates, test 511–487 (0.5–0.618 retracement zones)
This matches well with macro/astro cycles suggesting increased May volatility.

Scenario 2: Trap and Pop (Low-to-Medium Probability)
SPY fakes out above 555–560
Pops toward 574–613, hitting the second short zone
This traps late bulls and sets up a bigger and more violent reversal after May
(This would match a false sense of relief rally into late May before major trouble hits.)

535–550 zone = current battlefield
If SPY climbs toward 574–613 — the RSI, MACD, and momentum indicators will be bearishly diverging, making it a perfect trap.

Saturn, Mercury cycles point to May 6 – 9 window as an ideal reversal window if the second scenario happens.

I don't use candles, I use a line bar chart and it shows last weeks outside week, exactly like a key reversal except it's not the pinpoint bottom like we had a few weeks ago with that reversal week.....I still call it a key reversal week cuz you trade around it like a KR week

$SPY is at critical long-term support
Bulls must defend $545–550 to keep the secular bull market alive
Otherwise, the chart points to a multi-month corrective phase into late 2025

Don’t use candles, use lines. It’s not a key reversal.

Analyze this; What does one think comes next?



Foreign investors selling off at record pace at the highs ahead of something?
They bought low, and are selling high? who will inherit this loss?
Still, can't admit he inherited a bubbly mess?



China is more aware than Wall Street was in December of the Events Unfolding now, and, there only just beginning...

This Chart is Titled, what number do you think comes next?



Whatever number were at 5/2, and hold it till 6/12 : conversely will set in, drought year ahead or 335 to new highs?

Who will win?

HMM

They said the same about COVID. It required trillions of government money to dig us out. As for TRUMP please tell me his first 100 days isn't monumental. Tell me he isn't destroying our economy in the most efficient manner. His plan and ability to carry it out made Mr. Murdoch, post he wants him Impeached. he has hit the third rail, PROFITS, and decided nothing and no one will sway him from his godlike policies. Trade Wars so devastating new alliances and generational mistrust of America will be the theme going forward.

I heard the same argument that outside events have no choice but to follow a preordained (by God) path. Silly. Like Trump and his followers, they are immune to anything he does that is monstrous. I to this day get the same argument and pretense that COVID drop was a normal correction. The market was supposed to ignore it all together and they learnt their mistake and came back. The argument i made when it was announced was a simple common sense one. It is going to disrupt our economy in a nuclear fashion. I was told to go away for my SILLY arguments was proven wrong in those 5 weeks. Almost the will of the mind seemed to push it back. I gave concrete reasons and got instead cult like responses as i am NOW!

If you can't analyze such an event, like a world trade war and can't use history to prove the 100 percent accuracy of the path it leads to I must once again conclude we are a species hell bent on annihilating ourselves.

There is NO SCENARIO where YOUR chart works (IF) Trump is still president. He will never abandon tariffs. He loves to be the most sadistic leader on the planet and his voter seems just as determined to be extreme masocists. A match made in Hell.

News FLASH! I went thru the same arguments, same process and even AFTER COVOD no one seems to remember. But this time even YOU will remember. Just place my lunatic message in the back of your mind and wake it up by mid-JULY.

Weekend review; (36,037), what rhymes with that? The Mariana Trench, we already hit 36,500 area, but, these key dates in this cycle suggests we head to 32,333 and recapture the Benner Cycle to new highs into 2026...



All begins on 5/2/2025?

Nice day

Reaching an unimaginable 1,090 feet 4.5 inches (323.35 meters), Gabr gained the Guinness World Record title for the deepest scuba dive. To put it into perspective,

New Comet Alert: SWAN25F ☄️

A brand new comet — provisionally named SWAN25F — has just been discovered, and it could become binocular-bright soon!

📍 Closest to the Sun: May 1, 2025
🔭 Where to watch SWAN25:
• Before May 1:

EASY. Just look me up on investorshub. Then use the dates when COVID started. I spelled it out. Science and past exact performances is hard to beat yet Wall Street shrugged it ff till the actual day ONE DEATH hit our soil.

ALL MY POSTS and arguments are here for your perusal. I BEGGED people to listen to Common Sense and Logic. I bet early 2 different times in that 5 week span. When I did hit it I made over 250K. I will be doing the same thing. with BETTER timing. July 4th should be the day he announces massive tariffs. He believes it is apropos with our Day of Freedom. I know the man. If he can keep his mouth shut that long. I ONLY know it will happen.

Supreme Court three times ruled against TRUMP and all three he is ignoring. Does this sound like a rational human being to you.

Just my opinion and one that I am excited about because it reminds me of COVID. An external KNOWN event.

Why? Cuz it's not at the exact bottom like the reversal week that marked the bottom a few weeks ago? It's an outside week near the bottom then, I still call it a key reversal cuz it marks the bottom to the penny and we can trade around it and have a stop out point

That’s not a key reversal candle. Close but no cigar. Cheers

Here's what the Lessons tell us;

I will review it over the weekend

Please provide evidence so I can include it in my book of days!

SPY ELLIOT WAVE

i believe this gentleman has been doing Elliot wave analysis for 50 years

no one is ever 100% accurate but he has a pretty good track record and gives great informatio

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I called the easy crash performance for a known Pandemic. I am calling one here. just as easy and in a timeline that will prove perfect.
July 8 is deadline for tariffs. Between now and then talk of impeachment will grow. he is NOW defying the Supreme Court and jailing Judges. Prosecuting prosecutors that went after him. Law firm same. there is no constitution, and this Republic has been demolished. Yet the hope and dream of Wall Street remain intact. they even managed to persuade themselves no tariffs.

Imagine all sorts of atrocities acceptable to Wall Street, his base, the voter, GOP, billionaires. The ONE sin is going after their MONEY! Trump and Tariffs are a given. they both live or die by them. He will place them on all nations before JULY 8.

Like a Pandemic the result is known and like that pandemic the street will ignore it till it actually occurs. Will he completely lose it first? Only possible way the deadline gest shortened. he has already defied the Supreme Court and this last one a 9 to 0 ruling was asked of Trump. His response "What Ruling".

I know you see this as nonsense as I have pounded home the same argument over the Pandemic in those 5 weeks before we dropped hard.

I am giving you a GEM. A know response, known outcome and the start of a long hard winter. The SAME people that argued over the Pandemic mess still refuse to accept my analysis. So be it!

What can U Say! Just Collect the $$$ --Have a Nice Weekend! !!LOL!!

Scalped Out 550C .86! Daily Double + Take it ! Tks Boys !!

Go Boys !

$40 week:)

Wagg 550C .36! EOD ?

SPX 1 min Wedge Into EOD ??

Scalped 549P .68! take It!

Waggin 549P .42?

SPX Resistance R1 5525 (HOD 5528) EOD ? Go for It Boys !

VIX--1 min Coiling Below Red Line Bullish ?

SPX Support Fib at 5504 ! VIX--S1 25.31 LITS EOD ??

No Posting from My End Till Now ??

Scalped 549P .67! Quick Daily Double!! Take it !! Reversing Again !!

Ridin 549P .39!

Just broke your resistant today, that was quick. Expecting higher numbers, but watch the 420 area in the DIA chart carefully to tell us if were really headed to new highs till 2026 Benner Cycle which I agree with...

The line can be drawn using the 378 DIA recent bottom too the 5/2 date in any chart,

And TSLA also a KEY REVERSAL WEEK ALERT! TSLA won't go below 222.79 now imo

KEY REVERSAL WEEK ALERT! SPY won't go below 508.46 now and with strong support ay 520 imo

where do you find SPX I can't get it onj Schwab nor Stock Charts

The narrative truly helps understand the technical’s in the 1st 2nd quarter range, will add these thoughts into the Book of Days, I was able to discern going long at 378 in the DIA mid term till the date of 5/2 but sold it off early into strength at 398, a few reasons I sold it off early were more personal do to fate and none of them technical. Today, 4/25, we are now headed into 4 days up since Liberation Day, I'm back into the 5/2 trade ATM NTC, I'm still focused on a 2009 Market Correction then to new highs by the end of 2026 to meet the Benner Fib Ratio, "sentiment might change", and, do see lower prices ahead from a technical POV by the end of the 2nd quarter range of 2025 IE 6/30 black Monday, were after;

The updated Benner Fib ratio suggests we won't head to fair value until it's next cycle which is a few years away yet, I will post scenario soon showing the positions ahead.

This MACD trend still has to be solved, it’s in the Long Term Cycle, not mid term, therefore it wouldn't/doesn't appear to be to this year in the Benner Cycle Ratio;



But we will see wild swings; in these ranges;



IMCO, buying BTC isn't a value play, GOLD, XRP would be value plays till the year 2030
If I was a big player so to speak with BTC, I would require each BTC to be registered, this way, if its stolen, it can't be used and easily available for the FDIC to insure it, in fact, I would require all existing BTC to be registered, if it AIN'T, it's not trade able...

Pivot Calcs: SPX Pivot--5448----R1--5525----S1--5406----SPY Pivot 542-----ES Pivot 5478-----VIX Pivot 27.48 ----S1 25.31 !!LOL!!

/GC----Gold--3352---Scratch That---3360----1st Support Now 3200!----Target 3500!---GDX Hi 53----GDXJ 62 so far---Taken a Rest !!

What is "Going back up to 3352" number referring to (index, etc)? Thx

SPX is breaking above the short term trend line, taking out the 21 day moving average today. We haven't had a "proper" close above it since the sell off started in late March. 5500 is the big short term resistance to watch. A close above it and things risk becoming frustrating for the many shorts...

NASDAQ closing above the negative trend line that has been in place since ATHs, trading "well" above the 21 day. Next bigger resistance at the 50 day, currently around 19,860.

VIX has not closed here or lower since Liberation Day.

GS weighs in: "With signs of trade war de-escalation starting to emerge, light positioning (US L/S net leverage remains near 5-year lows), and market technicals improving , the case for playing for an equity market rally is getting stronger tactically". Chart shows US Fundamental L/S Net leverage and aggregate long/short ratio near their respective five-year lows in the 0th percentile."

Positioning is extremely bearish. Goldman's Lin: "Info Tech is among the most net sold US sectors in April MTD, driven by short sales outpacing long buys. Net exposure in Mag7 is now at 2-year lows and well below 5-year average in the 25th percentile, while the group’s aggregate ratio has fallen to the lowest level in more than 9 years".

Sell low, buy high dynamics in full play among the net short gamma crowd.


The MarketEar

ie---VIX 10:50---20/50 X ++ Fell below 1 min Red Line ---Bull Below !!

Wagged 546P .44 into the close -- Zip .48---Coiled Out ! Huggy at 26.50 !---(G Back Up 3352 )---She Stays Alive for Another Day !!LOL!!

Hah, what a hell of a VIX headfake from 26.9 to 27.8! Now at 26.58. 🤣

https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.VIX

They have to pay to Refi the 9 Trill----That will soak up the $$$---No buyers for T-Notes ---Busto!! ----Gold Up Up Up!!--- Down Goes the Mkt ??

How are they going to get markets back to be safe for investing again? The hugely overvalued markets are expecting injections into the economy and market of $2.4 trillion per year by debt increases. Deficit is now improving but small improvement is causing much instability. A huge crash coming.

2 + 2 = 4

"We just didn't want ANYONE "knowing about" this (our secret Wall Street meetings)......
* Except for our invited friends from J.P. Morgan

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s talk at an off-the-record and invitation-only event sponsored by JPMorgan Chase & Co. has drawn scrutiny this week from those who think the Trump administration should take greater care about making market-moving comments.




So THAT doesn't look at all scandalous eh ?




Hey, excellent market timing dudes !




2 + 2 = 4


Why, THIS administration is EXTREMELY Corrupt !


China Mocks Trump Over Tariff Walkback




.

He isn't as aggressive talking as he used to be, must be the medication from India he buys from Cuba'n from the over priced AMZN delivered by Musketeers...

SPX 5 min CCI Turning Back Up --Leading Indicator---Mkt Must Follow! Try Latter for EOD !!