UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

 

FORM 8-K

 

 

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d)

of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): August 4, 2015

 

 

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

 

 

Ohio   1-13653   31-1544320

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation)

 

(Commission

File Number)

 

(IRS Employer

Identification No.)

 

301 East Fourth Street, Cincinnati, OH   45202
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code 513-579-2121

 

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

 

¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

¨ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 

 

 


Section 2 - Financial Information

Item 2.02 Results Of Operations And Financial Condition.

Reference is made to the press release of American Financial Group, Inc. (the “Company”) relating to the announcement of the Company’s results of operations for the second quarter of 2015 and the availability of the Investor Supplement on the Company’s website. The press release was issued on August 4, 2015. A copy of the press release is attached to this Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 and a copy of the Investor Supplement is attached as Exhibit 99.2 and are incorporated herein by reference.

The information contained herein shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended (the “Exchange Act), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act.

Section 9 - Financial Statements and Exhibits

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

 

  (a) Financial statements of business acquired. Not applicable.

 

  (b) Pro forma financial information. Not applicable.

 

  (c) Shell company transactions. Not applicable

 

  (d) Exhibits

 

Exhibit No.

  

Description

99.1    Earnings Release dated August 4, 2015, reporting American Financial Group Inc. results for the quarter ended June 30, 2015.
99.2    Investor Supplement – Second Quarter 2015

 

2


SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.
Date: August 5, 2015      
    By:  

/s/ Karl J. Grafe

      Karl J. Grafe
      Vice President

 

3



Exhibit 99.1

 

LOGO

American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Record Second Quarter Results

 

  Net earnings per share of $1.57; includes $0.29 per share gain on sale of hotel property

 

  Record second quarter core net operating earnings $1.28 per share, up 20% from the comparable 2014 period

 

  Adjusted book value $49.63 per share at June 30, 2015

 

  Full year 2015 core net operating earnings guidance increased to $5.25 - $5.55 per share

Cincinnati, Ohio – August 4, 2015 – American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: AFG) today reported 2015 second quarter net earnings attributable to shareholders of $141 million ($1.57 per share) compared to $106 million ($1.15 per share) for the 2014 second quarter. As previously announced, AFG’s 2015 second quarter results include an after-tax gain of $26 million ($0.29 per share) related to the sale of a real estate investment. Comparatively, net earnings in the 2014 second quarter included after-tax net realized gains on securities of $7 million ($0.08 per share). Book value per share excluding unrealized gains on fixed maturities, increased by $1.08 to $49.63 per share during the second quarter of 2015. Annualized return on equity was 13.4% and 10.3% for the second quarters of 2015 and 2014, respectively.

Core net operating earnings were $115 million ($1.28 per share) for the 2015 second quarter, compared to $99 million ($1.07 per share) in the 2014 second quarter. Higher underwriting profit and net investment income in our Specialty Property and Casualty (“P&C”) insurance operations and higher operating earnings in our Annuity and Run-off Long-Term Care and Life Segments contributed to these results. Core net operating earnings for the second quarters of 2015 and 2014 generated annualized core returns on equity of 10.9% and 9.6%, respectively.

During the second quarter of 2015, AFG repurchased approximately 740,000 shares of common stock for $47 million (average price per share of $63.91).

AFG’s net earnings attributable to shareholders, determined in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”), include certain items that may not be indicative of its ongoing core operations. The following table identifies such items and reconciles net earnings attributable to shareholders to core net operating earnings, a non-GAAP financial measure that AFG believes is a useful tool for investors and analysts in analyzing ongoing operating trends.

 

Page 1


In millions, except per share amounts    Three months ended
June 30,
     Six months ended
June 30,
 
     2015      2014      2015      2014  

Components of net earnings attributable to shareholders:

           

Core net operating earnings(a)

   $ 115       $ 99       $ 227       $ 190   

Non-Core Items:

           

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     —           7         12         19   

Realized gain on sale of hotel property

     26         —           26         —     

Loss on sale of subsidiaries

     —           —           (105      —     
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 141       $ 106       $ 160       $ 209   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Components of Earnings Per Share:

           

Core net operating earnings(a)

   $ 1.28       $ 1.07       $ 2.54       $ 2.07   

Non-Core Items:

           

Realized gains (losses) on securities

     —           0.08         0.14         0.21   

Realized gain on sale of hotel property

     0.29         —           0.29         —     

Loss on sale of subsidiaries

     —           —           (1.18      —     
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Diluted Earnings Per Share

   $ 1.57       $ 1.15       $ 1.79       $ 2.28   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Footnote (a) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

Carl H. Lindner III and S. Craig Lindner, AFG’s Co-Chief Executive Officers, issued this statement: “Strong results in our Specialty P&C and Annuity businesses produced record core net operating earnings per share for the second quarter of 2015 that were 20% higher year-over-year. The gain recognized on the sale of the Le Pavillon Hotel added $0.29 per share to our net earnings, and serves as an example of our opportunistic approach in managing our real estate portfolio.

“At June 30, 2015, AFG had approximately $870 million of excess capital (including parent company cash of approximately $215 million). In addition, the pending sale of our run-off long-term care insurance business is expected to generate approximately $110 million in excess capital. Our excess capital will be deployed into AFG’s core businesses as we identify potential for healthy, profitable organic growth, and opportunities to expand our specialty niche businesses through acquisitions and start-ups that meet our target return thresholds. We will also make opportunistic share repurchases when it makes sense to do so and return capital to shareholders through dividends.

“Based on results for the first six months of 2015, we now estimate AFG’s core net operating earnings in 2015 to be between $5.25 and $5.55 per share, up from the range of $5.10 to $5.50 previously presented. Pending further information on the crop growing season, our outlook for the Specialty P&C Group is unchanged, while changes in the interest rate environment and actions we have taken in the Annuity Group lead us to increase our 2015 outlook for core pretax annuity operating earnings. Our core earnings per share guidance excludes non-core items such as the loss on the sale of AFG’s run-off long-term care insurance business, other realized gains and losses as well as other significant items that may not be indicative of ongoing operations.”

Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance Operations

The Specialty P&C insurance operations generated an underwriting profit of $51 million in the 2015 second quarter, compared to $29 million in the second quarter of 2014, a result of improved year-over-year underwriting results in each of our Specialty P&C Groups. The second quarter 2015 combined ratio of 94.9% includes 1.1 points of favorable prior year reserve development, compared to 1.4 points of adverse reserve development in the comparable prior year period. Second quarter results in 2015 include 1.0 point in catastrophe losses compared to 1.1 points in the 2014 second quarter.

Gross and net written premiums were up 2% and 3%, respectively, for the second quarter of 2015, when compared to the second quarter of 2014.

 

Page 2


Further details about AFG’s Specialty P&C operations may be found in the accompanying schedules and in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.

The Property and Transportation Group reported an underwriting loss of $13 million in the second quarter of 2015, compared to an underwriting loss of $18 million in the second quarter of 2014. Improved year-over-year underwriting results in our National Interstate subsidiary were partially offset by lower profitability and adverse reserve development in our property and inland marine, ocean marine and other transportation businesses. Catastrophe losses were $7 million for this group during the second quarter of 2015 and $8 million in the comparable prior year period.

Gross and net written premiums for the second quarter of 2015 were 2% and 3% higher, respectively, than the comparable 2014 period. Higher premiums in our transportation and agricultural businesses were partially offset by lower premiums in our property and inland marine businesses. Pricing in this group was up approximately 5% on average for the quarter, and includes a 7% increase in National Interstate’s renewal rates.

The Specialty Casualty Group reported an underwriting profit of $37 million in the second quarter of 2015, compared to $30 million in the second quarter of 2014. Higher underwriting profitability in our workers’ compensation and excess and surplus businesses was partially offset by lower underwriting profits in our executive liability business and higher adverse development in Mid-Continent’s general liability business.

Gross and net written premiums for the second quarter of 2015 were both up 1% when compared to the second quarter of 2014. The majority of businesses in this group reported growth, particularly our excess and surplus businesses. This growth was partially offset by lower premiums in our general liability business, primarily the result of re-underwriting efforts within the Florida homebuilders market and the slowdown within the energy sector, as well as lower premiums in our international business, where we continue to focus on improving underwriting results. Pricing in this group was down approximately 1% on average for the quarter, due primarily to lower pricing in our workers’ compensation businesses. Excluding workers’ compensation, pricing in this group was up 1%.

The Specialty Financial Group reported underwriting profit of $24 million in the second quarter of 2015, compared to $15 million in the second quarter of 2014. Higher underwriting profits in our fidelity and crime, surety and trade credit businesses were the drivers of the improved results. Every business in this group achieved excellent underwriting margins during the quarter, producing an overall calendar year combined operating ratio of 81% for the second quarter of 2015.

Gross and net written premiums for the second quarter of 2015 were up 7% and 13%, respectively, when compared to the same 2014 period, primarily the result of higher premiums in our financial institutions business. Pricing in this group was flat for the quarter.

Carl Lindner III stated: “I’m very pleased with the results in our Specialty P&C businesses during the second quarter, with total P&C operating income up nearly 25% year-over-year. Our Specialty Financial Group reported double digit growth and excellent underwriting margins. Despite competitive market conditions in some of our casualty businesses, results in our Specialty Casualty Group were very strong. I’m disappointed, however, with the underwriting loss reported by our Property and Transportation Group. We continue to make progress with pricing and remain committed to our culture of underwriting discipline to strengthen the underwriting profitability of this group overall. Our Specialty P&C Group achieved an average overall renewal rate increase of approximately 1% for the quarter.

“Based on results during the first six months of the year, we continue to expect an overall 2015 calendar year combined ratio in the 92% to 94% range and estimate net written premium growth to be between 4% and 8%.”

 

Page 3


Annuity Segment

In connection with AFG’s Annuity Segment results shown below, Craig Lindner stated, “Our results reflect disciplined pricing and our strategy of growing our business when we can achieve desired long-term returns. Based on the results through the first six months of 2015, assuming no significant change in interest rates or the stock market from our expectations, we now estimate full year 2015 core pretax annuity operating earnings to be in the range of $330 million to $345 million, an increase from the range of $310 million to $340 million previously estimated. Significant changes in market interest rates and/or the stock market, as compared to our expectations, could lead to significant positive or negative impacts on the Annuity Segment’s results. In addition, based on recent results, we now expect that premiums for the full year of 2015 will be in line with the $3.7 billion achieved for the full year in 2014.”

AFG’s annuity operations contributed $88 million in core pretax operating earnings in the second quarter of 2015 compared to $84 million in the second quarter of 2014, an increase of 5%. Earnings before the impact of fair value accounting on fixed-indexed annuities (FIAs) declined by 18%, as detailed in the table below:

Components of Core Annuity Operating Earnings Before Income Taxes

 

In millions    Three months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
    Six months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2015      2014           2015     2014        

Annuity earnings before fair value accounting for FIAs

   $ 77       $ 94        (18 %)    $ 169      $ 182        (7 %) 

Impact of Fair Value Accounting for FIAs

     11         (10     nm        (6     (25     nm   
  

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Core Pretax Annuity Operating Earnings

   $ 88       $ 84        5   $ 163      $ 157        4
  

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Annuity Earnings Before Fair Value Accounting for FIAs

AFG’s 2015 earnings continued to benefit from growth in annuity assets. AFG’s quarterly average annuity investments and reserves grew approximately 12% year-over-year; however, the impact of this growth was offset by the runoff of higher yielding investments, an adjustment in the current quarter affecting fixed-indexed annuities with guaranteed lifetime withdrawal benefits, and higher general and administrative expenses.

Impact of Fair Value Accounting for FIAs

Variances from expectations of certain items (such as projected interest rates, option costs and surrenders), as well as changes in the stock market, have an impact on the accounting for FIAs; these accounting adjustments are recognized through AFG’s reported core earnings.

In the second quarter of 2015, interest rates rose significantly, resulting in a large favorable impact on earnings; this favorable result was partially offset by the impact of a stock market decrease during the quarter. Conversely, in the second quarter of 2014, interest rates generally decreased, versus AFG’s assumption that they would rise; this difference had a negative impact on AFG’s 2014 second quarter earnings. These impacts are included within the “Impact of Fair Value Accounting for FIAs” amounts shown in the table above.

Annuity Premiums

The Annuity Segment reported statutory premiums of $899 million in the second quarter of 2015. While this amount was 5% lower than sales in the comparable prior year period, it represents an 11% increase in sales over the first quarter of 2015.

More information about premiums and the results of operations for our Annuity Segment may be found in the accompanying schedules and in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.

 

Page 4


Run-off Long-Term Care and Life Segment

AFG’s Run-off Long-term Care and Life Segment reported core pretax operating earnings of $4 million in the second quarter of 2015 compared to a core pretax operating loss of $2 million in the comparable prior year period, reflecting the favorable impact of rate increases, higher investment income and lower persistency compared to the same period last year.

As previously announced, AFG reached a definitive agreement to sell the legal entities containing all of its run-off long-term care insurance business to HC2 Holdings, Inc. for an initial payment of $7 million in cash and HC2 securities, subject to adjustment based on certain items, including operating results through the closing date. In addition, AFG may also receive up to $13 million of additional proceeds from HC2 in the future based on the release of certain statutory liabilities of the legal entities sold by AFG. In accordance with GAAP, AFG recorded its estimated non-core, after-tax loss on the sale of $105 million in its results for the first quarter of 2015.

The legal entities involved in the transaction, United Teacher Associates Insurance Company and Continental General Insurance Company, contain all of AFG’s long-term care insurance reserves. The transaction is expected to close in the second half of 2015, subject to customary conditions, including receipt of required regulatory approvals.

Investments

AFG recorded second quarter 2015 net realized losses on securities of less than $1 million after tax and after deferred acquisition costs (DAC), compared to net realized gains of $7 million reported in the comparable 2014 period. Unrealized gains on fixed maturities were $457 million after tax and after DAC at June 30, 2015, a decrease of $147 million since year end. Our portfolio continues to be high quality, with 87% of our fixed maturity portfolio rated investment grade and 97% with a National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ designation of NAIC 1or 2, its highest two categories.

For the six months ended June 30, 2015, P&C net investment income was approximately 13% higher than the comparable 2014 period, reflecting the investment of cash received in connection with the Summit acquisition.

Second quarter 2015 results also include an after-tax non-core net realized gain of $26 million on the sale of Le Pavillon Hotel.

More information about the components of our investment portfolio may be found in our Quarterly Investor Supplement, which is posted on our website.

About American Financial Group, Inc.

American Financial Group is an insurance holding company, based in Cincinnati, Ohio with assets over $45 billion. Through the operations of Great American Insurance Group, AFG is engaged primarily in property and casualty insurance, focusing on specialized commercial products for businesses, and in the sale of fixed and fixed-indexed annuities in the retail, financial institutions and education markets. Great American Insurance Group’s roots go back to 1872 with the founding of its flagship company, Great American Insurance Company.

 

Page 5


Forward Looking Statements

This press release contains certain statements that may be deemed to be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements in this press release not dealing with historical results are forward-looking and are based on estimates, assumptions and projections. Examples of such forward-looking statements include statements relating to: the Company’s expectations concerning market and other conditions and their effect on future premiums, revenues, earnings and investment activities; recoverability of asset values; expected losses and the adequacy of reserves for long-term care, asbestos, environmental pollution and mass tort claims; rate changes; and improved loss experience.

Actual results and/or financial condition could differ materially from those contained in or implied by such forward-looking statements for a variety of reasons including but not limited to: changes in financial, political and economic conditions, including changes in interest and inflation rates, currency fluctuations and extended economic recessions or expansions in the U.S. and/or abroad; performance of securities markets; AFG’s ability to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of any losses in connection with investments in the non-agency residential mortgage market; new legislation or declines in credit quality or credit ratings that could have a material impact on the valuation of securities in AFG’s investment portfolio; the availability of capital; the possibility that the pending sale of AFG’s run-off long-term care business is not consummated; regulatory actions (including changes in statutory accounting rules); changes in the legal environment affecting AFG or its customers; tax law and accounting changes; levels of natural catastrophes and severe weather, terrorist activities (including any nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events), incidents of war or losses resulting from civil unrest and other major losses; development of insurance loss reserves and establishment of other reserves, particularly with respect to amounts associated with asbestos and environmental claims and AFG’s run-off long-term care business; availability of reinsurance and ability of reinsurers to pay their obligations; trends in persistency, mortality and morbidity; competitive pressures, including those in the annuity distribution channels, the ability to obtain adequate rates and policy terms; changes in AFG’s credit ratings or the financial strength ratings assigned by major ratings agencies to our operating subsidiaries; and other factors identified in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The forward-looking statements herein are made only as of the date of this press release. The Company assumes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements.

Conference Call

The Company will hold a conference call to discuss 2015 second quarter results at 11:30 a.m. (ET) tomorrow, Wednesday, August 5, 2015. Toll-free telephone access will be available by dialing 1-877-459-8719 (international dial-in 424-276-6843). The conference ID for the live call is 78269027. Please dial in five to ten minutes prior to the scheduled start time of the call.

A replay will be available two hours following the completion of the call and will remain available until 11:59 p.m. (ET) on August 12, 2015. To listen to the replay, dial 1-855-859-2056 (international dial-in 404-537-3406) and provide the conference ID 78269027.

The conference call and accompanying webcast slides will also be broadcast live over the Internet. To listen to the call via the Internet, go to the Investor Relations page on AFG’s website, www.AFGinc.com, and follow the instructions at the Webcasts and Presentations link.

 

Page 6


The archived webcast will be available immediately after the call via the same link on the Investor Relations page until August 12, 2015 at 11:59 p.m. (ET). An archived audio MP3 file will be available within 24 hours of the call.

Contact:

Diane P. Weidner

Asst. Vice President – Investor Relations

(513) 369-5713

Websites:

www.AFGinc.com

www.GreatAmericanInsuranceGroup.com

# # #

(Financial summaries follow)

This earnings release and AFG’s Quarterly Investor Supplement are available in the Investor Relations section of AFG’s website: www.AFGinc.com.

AFG15-13

 

Page 7


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUMMARY OF EARNINGS AND SELECTED BALANCE SHEET DATA

(In Millions, Except Per Share Data)

 

     Three months ended
June 30,
    Six months ended
June 30,
 
     2015     2014     2015     2014  

Revenues

        

P&C insurance net earned premiums

   $ 985      $ 931      $ 1,931      $ 1,685   

Life, accident & health net earned premiums

     27        27        52        55   

Net investment income

     404        379        792        740   

Realized gains (losses) on:

        

Securities

     (1     12        18        31   

Subsidiaries

     —          —          (162     —     

Income (loss) of managed investment entities:

        

Investment income

     38        27        72        55   

Gain (loss) on change in fair value of assets/liabilities

     (2     (10     (5     (10

Other income

     90        26        137        47   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total revenues

     1,541        1,392        2,835        2,603   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Costs and expenses

        

P&C insurance losses & expenses

     939        902        1,828        1,598   

Annuity, life, accident & health benefits & expenses

     248        246        502        492   

Interest charges on borrowed money

     19        17        39        35   

Expenses of managed investment entities

     28        21        52        41   

Other expenses

     81        76        158        146   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total costs and expenses

     1,315        1,262        2,579        2,312   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes

     226        130        256        291   

Provision for income taxes(b)

     77        47        82        101   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings including noncontrolling interests

     149        83        174        190   

Less: Net earnings (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interests

     8        (23     14        (19
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings attributable to shareholders

   $ 141      $ 106      $ 160      $ 209   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Diluted Earnings per Common Share

   $ 1.57      $ 1.15      $ 1.79      $ 2.28   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average number of diluted shares

     89.5        91.6        89.4        91.6   

 

     June 30,
2015
     December 31,
2014
 

Selected Balance Sheet Data:

     

Total cash and investments

   $ 37,644       $ 36,210   

Long-term debt

   $ 1,024       $ 1,061   

Shareholders’ equity(c)

   $ 4,802       $ 4,879   

Shareholders’ equity (excluding appropriated retained earnings and unrealized gains/losses on fixed maturities)(c)

   $ 4,345       $ 4,277   

Book Value Per Share:

     

Excluding appropriated retained earnings

   $ 54.86       $ 55.65   

Excluding appropriated retained earnings and unrealized gains/losses on fixed maturities

   $ 49.63       $ 48.76   

Common Shares Outstanding

     87.5         87.7   

Footnotes (b) and (c) are contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release.

 

Page 8


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

SPECIALTY P&C OPERATIONS

(Dollars in Millions)

 

     Three months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
    Six months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2015     2014           2015     2014        

Gross written premiums

   $ 1,318      $ 1,291        2   $ 2,514      $ 2,315        9
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Net written premiums

   $ 1,026      $ 998        3   $ 1,952      $ 1,753        11
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Ratios (GAAP):

            

Loss & LAE ratio

     61.0     64.6       60.9     61.1  

Underwriting expense ratio

     33.9     32.3       33.3     33.6  
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Combined Ratio

     94.9     96.9       94.2     94.7  
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Supplemental Information:(d)

            

Gross Written Premiums:

            

Property & Transportation

   $ 500      $ 489        2   $ 876      $ 865        1

Specialty Casualty

     661        655        1     1,344        1,162        16

Specialty Financial

     157        147        7     294        288        2
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
   $ 1,318      $ 1,291        2   $ 2,514      $ 2,315        9
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Net Written Premiums:

            

Property & Transportation

   $ 362      $ 353        3   $ 650      $ 637        2

Specialty Casualty

     503        499        1     1,004        830        21

Specialty Financial

     136        120        13     251        236        6

Other

     25        26        (4 %)      47        50        (6 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
   $ 1,026      $ 998        3   $ 1,952      $ 1,753        11
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Combined Ratio (GAAP):

            

Property & Transportation

     104.0     105.5       101.0     102.0  

Specialty Casualty

     92.7     93.6       93.4     91.2  

Specialty Financial

     81.0     87.6       81.4     89.3  

Aggregate Specialty Group

     94.9     96.9       94.2     94.7  

 

     Three months ended
June 30,
    Six months ended
June 30,
 
     2015     2014     2015     2014  

Reserve Development (Favorable)/Adverse:

        

Property & Transportation

   $ 6      $ 22      $ 9      $ 18   

Specialty Casualty

     (7     (4     (7     (28

Specialty Financial

     (8     (2     (17     (3

Other

     (2     (2     (3     (5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
   $ (11   $ 14      $ (18   $ (18
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Points on Combined Ratio:

        

Property & Transportation

     1.7        6.6        1.4        2.9   

Specialty Casualty

     (1.4     (0.8     (0.8     (3.6

Specialty Financial

     (6.2     (1.8     (6.7     (1.2

Aggregate Specialty Group

     (1.1     1.4        (1.0     (1.1

Footnote (d) is contained in the accompanying Notes to Financial Schedules at the end of this release

 

Page 9


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

ANNUITY SEGMENT

(Dollars in Millions)

Components of Statutory Premiums

 

     Three months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
    Six months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2015     2014           2015     2014        

Annuity Premiums:

            

Financial Institutions

            

Single Premium

   $ 417      $ 459        (9 %)    $ 811      $ 939        (14 %) 

Retail Single Premium

     422        428        (1 %)      783        853        (8 %) 

Education Market

     49        49        —          96        99        (3 %) 

Variable Annuities

     11        13        (15 %)      22        25        (12 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Total Annuity Premiums

   $ 899      $ 949        (5 %)    $ 1,712      $ 1,916        (11 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
Components of Core Operating Earnings Before Income Taxes       
     Three months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
    Six months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2015     2014           2015     2014        

Revenues:

            

Net investment income

   $ 306      $ 289        6   $ 598      $ 564        6

Other income

     22        19        16     46        37        24
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Total revenues

     328        308        6     644        601        7

Costs and Expenses:

            

Annuity benefits

     151        166        (9 %)      335        334        —     

Acquisition expenses

     60        37        62     94        68        38

Other expenses

     29        21        38     52        42        24
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Total costs and expenses

     240        224        7     481        444        8
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Core operating earnings before income taxes

   $ 88      $ 84        5   $ 163      $ 157        4
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
Supplemental Fixed Annuity Information             
     Three months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
    Six months ended
June 30,
    Pct.
Change
 
     2015     2014           2015     2014        

Core Operating Earnings Before impact of fair value accounting on FIAs

   $ 77      $ 94        (18 %)    $ 169      $ 182        (7 %) 

Impact of Fair Value Accounting

     11        (10     nm        (6     (25     nm   
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Core operating earnings before income taxes

   $ 88      $ 84        5   $ 163      $ 157        4
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Average Fixed Annuity Reserves*

   $ 24,474      $ 21,829        12   $ 24,113      $ 21,448        12

Net Interest Spread*

     2.77     2.92       2.72     2.87  

Net Spread Earned Before Impact of Fair Value Accounting*

     1.21     1.64       1.35     1.61  

Net Spread Earned After Impact of Fair Value Accounting*

     1.39     1.46       1.30     1.38  

 

* Excludes fixed annuity portion of variable annuity business.

 

Page 10


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

Notes to Financial Schedules

 

a) Components of core net operating earnings (in millions):

 

     Three months ended
June 30,
     Six months ended
June 30,
 
     2015      2014      2015      2014  

Core Operating Earnings before Income Taxes:

           

P&C Insurance Segment

Annuity Segment

   $

 

121

88

  

  

   $

 

97

84

  

  

   $

 

250

163

  

  

   $

 

205

157

  

  

Run-off Long-term Care and Life Segment

     4         (2      8         (4

Interest and other corporate expenses

     (39      (37      (80      (78
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Core operating earnings before income taxes

     174         142         341         280   

Related income taxes

     59         43         114         90   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Core net operating earnings

   $ 115       $ 99       $ 227       $ 190   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

b) Earnings before income taxes includes $18 million in non-deductible losses attributable to noncontrolling interests related to managed investment entities in both the second quarter and first six months of 2014.

 

c) Shareholders’ Equity at June 30, 2015 includes $457 million ($5.23 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities. Shareholder’s Equity at December 31, 2014 includes $604 million ($6.89 per share) in unrealized after-tax gains on fixed maturities and ($2) million ($0.03 per share) of retained earnings appropriated to managed investment entities.

 

d) Supplemental Notes:

 

    Property & Transportation includes primarily physical damage and liability coverage for buses, trucks and recreational vehicles, inland and ocean marine, agricultural-related products and other property coverages.

 

    Specialty Casualty includes primarily excess and surplus, general liability, executive liability, professional liability, umbrella and excess liability, specialty coverages in targeted markets, customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses and workers’ compensation insurance.

 

    Specialty Financial includes risk management insurance programs for leasing and financing institutions (including collateral and lender-placed mortgage property insurance), surety and fidelity products and trade credit insurance.

 

    Other includes an internal reinsurance facility.

 

Page 11



Exhibit 99.2

 

LOGO   American Financial Group, Inc.
  Investor Supplement - Second Quarter 2015
 

 

August 4, 2015

 

 

American Financial Group, Inc.

  Corporate Headquarters
  Great American Insurance Group Tower
  301 E Fourth Street
  Cincinnati, OH 45202
  513 579 6739


American Financial Group, Inc.

Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - Second Quarter 2015

   LOGO

 

 

Section

   Page  

Table of Contents - Investor Supplement - Second Quarter 2015

     2   

Financial Highlights

     3   

Summary of Earnings

     4   

Earnings Per Share Summary

     5   

Property and Casualty Insurance Segment

  

Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     6   

Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     7   

Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     8   

Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     9   

Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     10   

Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

     11   

Annuity Segment

  

Annuity Earnings (GAAP)

     12   

Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense (GAAP)

     13   

Net Spread on Fixed Annuities (GAAP)

     14   

Annuity Premiums (Statutory)

     15   

Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP)

     16   

Consolidated Balance Sheet / Book Value / Debt

  

Consolidated Balance Sheet

     17   

Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary

     18   

Capitalization

     19   

Additional Supplemental Information

     20   

Consolidated Investment Supplement

  

Total Cash and Investments and Quarterly Net Investment Income

     21   

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated

     22   

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio

     23   

Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating and NAIC Designation

     24   

Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated

     25   

Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio

     26   

Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating and NAIC Designation

     27   

 

2


American Financial Group, Inc.

Financial Highlights

(in millions, except per share information)

   LOGO

 

 

    Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
    06/30/15     03/31/15     12/31/14     09/30/14     06/30/14     06/30/15     06/30/14  

Highlights

             

Core net operating earnings

  $ 115      $ 112      $ 122      $ 127      $ 99      $ 227      $ 190   

Net earnings

    141        19        127        116        106        160        209   

Total assets

    49,424        48,307        47,535        46,552        45,355        49,424        45,355   

Adjusted shareholders’ equity (a)

    4,345        4,267        4,277        4,300        4,298        4,345        4,298   

Property and Casualty net written premiums

    1,026        926        1,025        1,242        998        1,952        1,753   

Annuity statutory premiums

    899        813        971        809        949        1,712        1,916   

Per share data

             

Core net operating earnings per share

  $ 1.28      $ 1.25      $ 1.35      $ 1.40      $ 1.07      $ 2.54      $ 2.07   

Diluted earnings per share

    1.57        0.21        1.41        1.28        1.15        1.79        2.28   

Adjusted book value per share (a)

    49.63        48.55        48.76        48.59        47.95        49.63        47.95   

Cash dividends per common share

    0.250        0.250        1.250        0.220        0.220        0.500        0.440   

Financial ratios

             

Annualized core operating return on equity (b)

    10.9     10.8     11.7     12.3     9.6     10.9     9.3

Annualized return on equity (b)

    13.4     1.8     12.1     11.1     10.3     7.6     10.3

Property and Casualty combined ratio - Specialty:

             

Loss & LAE ratio

    61.0     60.8     64.0     67.1     64.6     60.9     61.1

Underwriting expense ratio

    33.9     32.8     28.6     26.7     32.3     33.3     33.6
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio - Specialty

    94.9     93.6     92.6     93.8     96.9     94.2     94.7
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread on fixed annuities:

             

Net interest spread

    2.77     2.67     2.64     2.77     2.92     2.72     2.87

Net spread earned:

             

Before impact of fair value accounting

    1.21     1.49     1.54     1.50     1.64     1.35     1.61

Impact of fair value accounting (c)

    0.18     (0.28 %)      (0.14 %)      (0.02 %)      (0.18 %)      (0.05 %)      (0.23 %) 
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

After impact of fair value accounting

    1.39     1.21     1.40     1.48     1.46     1.30     1.38
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Excludes appropriated retained earnings and unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments.
(b) Excludes appropriated retained earnings and accumulated other comprehensive income.
(c) Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs.

 

3


American Financial Group, Inc.

Summary of Earnings

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

    Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
    06/30/15     03/31/15     12/31/14     09/30/14     06/30/14     06/30/15     06/30/14  

Property and Casualty Insurance

             

Underwriting profit

  $ 50      $ 60      $ 79      $ 70      $ 29      $ 110      $ 87   

Net investment income

    83        79        75        76        76        162        143   

Other expense

    (12     (10     (13     (16     (8     (22     (25
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Property and Casualty Insurance operating earnings

    121        129        141        130        97        250        205   

Annuity earnings

    88        75        85        86        84        163        157   

Run-off Long-Term Care and Life (losses)/earnings

    4        4        (7     1        (2     8        (4

Interest expense of parent holding companies

    (19     (19     (19     (17     (16     (38     (33

Other expense

    (20     (22     (16     (13     (21     (42     (45
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Pre-tax core operating earnings

    174        167        184        187        142        341        280   

Income tax expense

    59        55        62        60        43        114        90   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core net operating earnings

    115        112        122        127        99        227        190   

Non-core items, net of tax:

             

Realized gains on securities

    —          12        5        8        7        12        19   

Realized gain on sale of hotel property

    26        —          —          —          —          26        —     

Loss on sale of subsidiaries

    —          (105     —          —          —          (105     —     

Significant A&E charges:

             

Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations

    —          —          —          (15     —          —          —     

Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations

    —          —          —          (4     —          —          —     
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings

  $ 141      $ 19      $ 127      $ 116      $ 106      $ 160      $ 209   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

4


American Financial Group, Inc.

Earnings Per Share Summary

(in millions, except per share information)

   LOGO

 

 

    Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
    06/30/15     03/31/15     12/31/14     09/30/14     06/30/14     06/30/15     06/30/14  

Core net operating earnings

  $ 115      $ 112      $ 122      $ 127      $ 99      $ 227      $ 190   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earnings

  $ 141      $ 19      $ 127      $ 116      $ 106      $ 160      $ 209   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average number of diluted shares

    89.503        89.377        89.772        90.873        91.593        89.440        91.607   

Diluted earnings per share:

             

Core net operating earnings per share

  $ 1.28      $ 1.25      $ 1.35      $ 1.40      $ 1.07      $ 2.54      $ 2.07   

Realized gains on securities

    —          0.14        0.06        0.09        0.08        0.14        0.21   

Realized gain on sale of hotel property

    0.29        —          —          —          —          0.29        —     

Loss on sale of subsidiaries

    —          (1.18     —          —          —          (1.18     —     

Significant A&E charges:

             

Property and Casualty Insurance run-off operations

    —          —          —          (0.17     —          —          —     

Former Railroad and Manufacturing operations

    —          —          —          (0.04     —          —          —     
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Diluted earnings per share

  $ 1.57      $ 0.21      $ 1.41      $ 1.28      $ 1.15      $ 1.79      $ 2.28   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

5


American Financial Group, Inc.

Property and Casualty Insurance - Summary Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

    Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
    06/30/15     03/31/15     12/31/14     09/30/14     06/30/14     06/30/15     06/30/14  

Property and Transportation

  $ (13   $ 7      $ 22      $ 11      $ (18   $ (6   $ (12

Specialty Casualty

    37        28        36        32        30        65        68   

Specialty Financial

    24        22        18        21        15        46        25   

Other Specialty

    3        3        3        6        2        6        7   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit - Specialty

    51        60        79        70        29        111        88   

Other core charges, included in loss and LAE

    1        —          —          —          —          1        1   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit - Core

    50        60        79        70        29        110        87   

Special A&E charges, included in loss and LAE

    —          —          —          (24     —          —          —     
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit - Property and Casualty Insurance

  $ 50      $ 60      $ 79      $ 46      $ 29      $ 110      $ 87   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

             

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

             

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

  $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —     

Catastrophe loss

    10        6        3        3        10        16        22   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

  $ 10      $ 6      $ 3      $ 3      $ 10      $ 16      $ 22   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

  $ (10   $ (7   $ 10      $ 13      $ 14      $ (17   $ (17
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

             

Property and Transportation

    104.0     97.7     94.6     97.8     105.5     101.0     102.0

Specialty Casualty

    92.7     94.2     92.9     93.3     93.6     93.4     91.2

Specialty Financial

    81.0     81.7     85.6     81.6     87.6     81.4     89.3

Other Specialty

    88.0     89.3     86.9     78.0     89.0     88.6     84.6

Combined ratio - Specialty

    94.9     93.6     92.6     93.8     96.9     94.2     94.7

Other core charges

    0.0     0.1     0.0     0.1     0.0     0.0     0.0

Special A&E charges

    0.0     0.0     0.0     2.1     0.0     0.0     0.1
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

    94.9     93.7     92.6     96.0     96.9     94.2     94.8
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

    95.0     93.8     91.4     94.5     94.4     94.4     94.5
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components - property and casualty insurance

             

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

    61.1     61.0     62.8     67.8     62.1     61.1     60.9

Prior accident year loss reserve development

    (1.1 %)      (0.7 %)      1.0     1.2     1.4     (1.0 %)      (1.0 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

    1.0     0.6     0.2     0.3     1.1     0.8     1.3
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

    61.0     60.9     64.0     69.3     64.6     60.9     61.2
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

6


American Financial Group, Inc.

Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

    Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
    06/30/15     03/31/15     12/31/14     09/30/14     06/30/14     06/30/15     06/30/14  

Gross written premiums

  $ 1,318      $ 1,196      $ 1,303      $ 1,859      $ 1,291      $ 2,514      $ 2,315   

Ceded reinsurance premiums

    (292     (270     (278     (617     (293     (562     (562
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

    1,026        926        1,025        1,242        998        1,952        1,753   

Change in unearned premiums

    (41     20        36        (110     (67     (21     (68
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

    985        946        1,061        1,132        931        1,931        1,685   

Loss and LAE

    600        576        679        760        602        1,176        1,030   

Underwriting expense

    334        310        303        302        300        644        567   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

  $ 51      $ 60      $ 79      $ 70      $ 29      $ 111      $ 88   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

             

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

             

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

  $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —     

Catastrophe loss

    10        6        3        3        10        16        22   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

  $ 10      $ 6      $ 3      $ 3      $ 10      $ 16      $ 22   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

  $ (11   $ (7   $ 10      $ (11   $ 14      $ (18   $ (18
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

             

Loss and LAE ratio

    61.0     60.8     64.0     67.1     64.6     60.9     61.1

Underwriting expense ratio

    33.9     32.8     28.6     26.7     32.3     33.3     33.6
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

    94.9     93.6     92.6     93.8     96.9     94.2     94.7
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

    95.0     93.8     91.4     94.5     94.4     94.4     94.5
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

             

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

    61.1     61.0     62.8     67.8     62.1     61.1     60.9

Prior accident year loss reserve development

    (1.1 %)      (0.8 %)      1.0     (1.0 %)      1.4     (1.0 %)      (1.1 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

    1.0     0.6     0.2     0.3     1.1     0.8     1.3
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

    61.0     60.8     64.0     67.1     64.6     60.9     61.1
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

7


American Financial Group, Inc.

Property and Transportation - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

    Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
    06/30/15     03/31/15     12/31/14     09/30/14     06/30/14     06/30/15     06/30/14  

Gross written premiums

  $ 500      $ 376      $ 482      $ 995      $ 489      $ 876      $ 865   

Ceded reinsurance premiums

    (138     (88     (109     (439     (136     (226     (228
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

    362        288        373        556        353        650        637   

Change in unearned premiums

    (35     25        42        (52     (29     (10     (12
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

    327        313        415        504        324        640        625   

Loss and LAE

    240        211        299        407        248        451        449   

Underwriting expense

    100        95        94        86        94        195        188   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit (loss)

  $ (13   $ 7      $ 22      $ 11      $ (18   $ (6   $ (12
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

             

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

             

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

  $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —     

Catastrophe loss

    7        4        2        1        8        11        17   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

  $ 7      $ 4      $ 2      $ 1      $ 8      $ 11      $ 17   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

  $ 6      $ 3      $ 3      $ (5   $ 22      $ 9      $ 18   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

             

Loss and LAE ratio

    73.2     67.5     72.2     80.7     76.4     70.5     71.9

Underwriting expense ratio

    30.8     30.2     22.4     17.1     29.1     30.5     30.1
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

    104.0     97.7     94.6     97.8     105.5     101.0     102.0
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

    100.2     95.4     93.7     98.5     96.2     97.9     96.4
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

             

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

    69.4     65.2     71.3     81.4     67.1     67.4     66.3

Prior accident year loss reserve development

    1.7     1.1     0.6     (0.9 %)      6.6     1.4     2.9

Current accident year catastrophe loss

    2.1     1.2     0.3     0.2     2.7     1.7     2.7
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

    73.2     67.5     72.2     80.7     76.4     70.5     71.9
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

8


American Financial Group, Inc.

Specialty Casualty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

    Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
    06/30/15     03/31/15     12/31/14     09/30/14     06/30/14     06/30/15     06/30/14  

Gross written premiums

  $ 661      $ 683      $ 660      $ 707      $ 655      $ 1,344      $ 1,162   

Ceded reinsurance premiums

    (158     (182     (162     (171     (156     (340     (332
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

    503        501        498        536        499        1,004        830   

Change in unearned premiums

    —          (11     1        (50     (32     (11     (50
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

    503        490        499        486        467        993        780   

Loss and LAE

    311        316        325        310        300        627        472   

Underwriting expense

    155        146        138        144        137        301        240   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

  $ 37      $ 28      $ 36      $ 32      $ 30      $ 65      $ 68   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

             

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

             

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

  $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —     

Catastrophe loss

    1        1        1        1        1        2        2   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

  $ 1      $ 1      $ 1      $ 1      $ 1      $ 2      $ 2   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

  $ (7   $ —        $ 14      $ 7      $ (4   $ (7   $ (28
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

             

Loss and LAE ratio

    61.9     64.4     65.1     63.7     64.3     63.1     60.5

Underwriting expense ratio

    30.8     29.8     27.8     29.6     29.3     30.3     30.7
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

    92.7     94.2     92.9     93.3     93.6     93.4     91.2
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

    94.0     93.9     89.9     91.6     94.3     94.0     94.6
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

             

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

    63.2     64.1     62.1     62.0     65.0     63.7     63.9

Prior accident year loss reserve development

    (1.4 %)      0.0     2.9     1.3     (0.8 %)      (0.8 %)      (3.6 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

    0.1     0.3     0.1     0.4     0.1     0.2     0.2
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

    61.9     64.4     65.1     63.7     64.3     63.1     60.5
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

9


American Financial Group, Inc.

Specialty Financial - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

    Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
    06/30/15     03/31/15     12/31/14     09/30/14     06/30/14     06/30/15     06/30/14  

Gross written premiums

  $ 157      $ 137      $ 160      $ 157      $ 147      $ 294      $ 288   

Ceded reinsurance premiums

    (21     (22     (29     (36     (27     (43     (52
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

    136        115        131        121        120        251        236   

Change in unearned premiums

    (7     5        (10     (6     (4     (2     (3
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

    129        120        121        115        116        249        233   

Loss and LAE

    36        36        42        32        40        72        85   

Underwriting expense

    69        62        61        62        61        131        123   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

  $ 24      $ 22      $ 18      $ 21      $ 15      $ 46      $ 25   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

             

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

             

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

  $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —     

Catastrophe loss

    2        1        —          —          1        3        3   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

  $ 2      $ 1      $ —        $ —        $ 1      $ 3      $ 3   
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

  $ (8   $ (9   $ (4   $ (10   $ (2   $ (17   $ (3
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

             

Loss and LAE ratio

    27.7     30.4     34.5     27.7     35.3     29.0     36.6

Underwriting expense ratio

    53.3     51.3     51.1     53.9     52.3     52.4     52.7
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

    81.0     81.7     85.6     81.6     87.6     81.4     89.3
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

    85.2     88.5     88.8     90.3     88.6     86.8     89.4
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE components:

             

Current accident year, excluding catastrophe loss

    31.9     37.2     37.7     36.4     36.3     34.4     36.7

Prior accident year loss reserve development

    (6.2 %)      (7.3 %)      (3.3 %)      (9.0 %)      (1.8 %)      (6.7 %)      (1.2 %) 

Current accident year catastrophe loss

    2.0     0.5     0.1     0.3     0.8     1.3     1.1
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss and LAE ratio

    27.7     30.4     34.5     27.7     35.3     29.0     36.6
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

10


American Financial Group, Inc.

Other Specialty - Underwriting Results (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

     Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
     06/30/15     03/31/15     12/31/14     09/30/14     06/30/14     06/30/15     06/30/14  

Gross written premiums

   $ —        $ —        $ 1      $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —     

Ceded reinsurance premiums

     25        22        22        29        26        47        50   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net written premiums

     25        22        23        29        26        47        50   

Change in unearned premiums

     1        1        3        (2     (2     2        (3
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net earned premiums

     26        23        26        27        24        49        47   

Loss and LAE

     13        13        13        11        14        26        24   

Underwriting expense

     10        7        10        10        8        17        16   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Underwriting profit

   $ 3      $ 3      $ 3      $ 6      $ 2      $ 6      $ 7   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Included in results above:

              

Current accident year catastrophe losses:

              

Catastrophe reinstatement premium

   $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —        $ —     

Catastrophe loss

     —          —          —          1        —          —          —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total current accident year catastrophe losses

   $ —        $ —        $ —        $ 1      $ —        $ —        $ —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Prior year loss reserve development (favorable) / adverse

   $ (2   $ (1   $ (3   $ (3   $ (2   $ (3   $ (5
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio:

              

Loss and LAE ratio

     52.4     54.4     49.6     43.4     53.2     53.4     49.6

Underwriting expense ratio

     35.6     34.9     37.3     34.6     35.8     35.2     35.0
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio

     88.0     89.3     86.9     78.0     89.0     88.6     84.6
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Combined ratio excl. catastrophe and prior year development

     93.2     96.6     97.4     85.6     97.1     94.8     94.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

11


American Financial Group, Inc.

Annuity Earnings (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

     Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
     06/30/15      03/31/15     12/31/14     09/30/14     06/30/14     06/30/15     06/30/14  

Net investment income

   $ 306       $ 292      $ 285      $ 287      $ 289      $ 598      $ 564   

Guaranteed withdrawal benefit fees

     10         10        9        9        8        20        16   

Policy charges and other miscellaneous income

     12         14        12        11        11        26        21   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total revenues

     328         316        306        307        308        644        601   

Annuity benefits expense

     151         184        157        157        166        335        334   

Acquisition expenses

     60         34        47        41        37        94        68   

Other expenses

     29         23        17        23        21        52        42   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total costs and expenses

     240         241        221        221        224        481        444   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core Annuity earnings before income taxes

   $ 88       $ 75      $ 85      $ 86      $ 84      $ 163      $ 157   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Detail of core Annuity earnings before income taxes

               

Core earnings before income taxes and impact of fair value accounting

   $ 77       $ 92      $ 93      $ 87      $ 94      $ 169      $ 182   

Impact of fair value accounting (a)

     11         (17     (8     (1     (10     (6     (25
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Core Annuity earnings before income taxes

   $ 88       $ 75      $ 85      $ 86      $ 84      $ 163      $ 157   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs.

 

12


American Financial Group, Inc.

Detail of Annuity Benefits Expense (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

     Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
     06/30/15     03/31/15     12/31/14     09/30/14     06/30/14     06/30/15     06/30/14  

Detail of annuity benefits expense:

              

Interest credited - fixed

   $ 131      $ 128      $ 127      $ 126      $ 123      $ 259      $ 244   

Interest credited - fixed component of variable annuities

     2        1        1        2        2        3        3   

Change in expected death and annuitization reserve

     5        4        4        5        5        9        9   

Amortization of sales inducements

     7        7        6        7        6        14        13   

Guaranteed withdrawal benefit reserve

     16        12        11        12        10        28        18   

Change in other benefit reserves

     12        2        1        3        5        14        8   

Unlockings (a)

     —          —          (11     —          —          —          —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal before impact of fair value accounting

     173        154        139        155        151        327        295   

Embedded derivative mark-to-market (b)

     (19     50        87        21        78        31        132   

Equity option mark-to-market

     (3     (20     (69     (19     (63     (23     (93
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal impact of fair value accounting

     (22     30        18        2        15        8        39   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total annuity benefits expense

   $ 151      $ 184      $ 157      $ 157      $ 166      $ 335      $ 334   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Includes unlockings for fixed indexed annuity embedded derivative reserves, sales inducement asset and other reserves. Does not include unlocking charge of $10mm in the 4th quarter of 2014 for deferred policy acquisition costs and unearned revenue reserves. These unlockings are included in acquisition expenses. In total AFG recorded an unlocking expense reduction of $1mm in the 4th quarter of 2014.
(b) Excludes unlocking impact of ($58) million in the 4th quarter of 2014.

 

13


American Financial Group, Inc.

Net Spread on Fixed Annuities (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

     Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
     06/30/15     03/31/15     12/31/14     09/30/14     06/30/14     06/30/15     06/30/14  

Average fixed annuity investments (at amortized cost)

   $ 24,711      $ 23,943      $ 23,334      $ 22,730      $ 22,098      $ 24,327      $ 21,750   

Average annuity benefits accumulated

     24,474        23,752        23,104        22,475        21,829        24,113        21,448   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Investments in excess of annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 237      $ 191      $ 230      $ 255      $ 269      $ 214      $ 302   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

As % of average annuity benefits accumulated (except as noted)

              

Net investment income (as % of investments)

     4.91     4.83     4.85     5.01     5.18     4.87     5.14

Interest credited

     (2.14 %)      (2.16 %)      (2.21 %)      (2.24 %)      (2.26 %)      (2.15 %)      (2.27 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net interest spread on fixed annuities

     2.77     2.67     2.64     2.77     2.92     2.72     2.87

Policy charges and other miscellaneous income

     0.13     0.20     0.14     0.14     0.14     0.16     0.14

Other annuity benefit expenses, net

     (0.49 %)      (0.25 %)      (0.20 %)      (0.33 %)      (0.33 %)      (0.37 %)      (0.29 %) 

Acquisition expenses

     (0.94 %)      (0.55 %)      (0.61 %)      (0.69 %)      (0.64 %)      (0.75 %)      (0.60 %) 

Other expenses

     (0.43 %)      (0.36 %)      (0.28 %)      (0.37 %)      (0.36 %)      (0.39 %)      (0.37 %) 

Change in fair value of derivatives

     0.35     (0.50 %)      (0.31 %)      (0.04 %)      (0.27 %)      (0.07 %)      (0.37 %) 

Unlockings

     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread earned on fixed annuities - core

     1.39     1.21     1.40     1.48     1.46     1.30     1.38
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Average annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 24,474      $ 23,752      $ 23,104      $ 22,475      $ 21,829      $ 24,113      $ 21,448   

Net spread earned on fixed annuities

     1.39     1.21     1.40     1.48     1.46     1.30     1.38
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings on fixed annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 85      $ 72      $ 81      $ 83      $ 80      $ 157      $ 148   

Investments in excess of annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 237      $ 191      $ 230      $ 255      $ 269      $ 214      $ 302   

Net investment income (as % of investments)

     4.91     4.83     4.85     5.01     5.18     4.87     5.14
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings on investments in excess of annuity benefits accumulated

   $ 3      $ 2      $ 3      $ 3      $ 3      $ 5      $ 8   

Variable annuity earnings

     —          1        1        —          1        1        1   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Earnings before income taxes - core

   $ 88      $ 75      $ 85      $ 86      $ 84      $ 163      $ 157   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Detail of net spread earned on fixed annuities - core

              

Net spread earned core - before impact of fair value accounting

     1.21     1.49     1.54     1.50     1.64     1.35     1.61

Impact of fair value accounting (a)

     0.18     (0.28 %)      (0.14 %)      (0.02 %)      (0.18 %)      (0.05 %)      (0.23 %) 
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net spread earned core - after impact of fair value accounting

     1.39     1.21     1.40     1.48     1.46     1.30     1.38
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Change in fair value of derivatives offset by the estimated related adjustments to amortization of deferred sales inducements and deferred policy acquisition costs.

 

14


American Financial Group

Annuity Premiums (Statutory)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

     Three Months Ended      Six months ended  
     06/30/15      03/31/15      12/31/14      09/30/14      06/30/14      06/30/15      06/30/14  

Retail single premium annuities - indexed

   $ 404       $ 349       $ 405       $ 339       $ 403       $ 753       $ 789   

Retail single premium annuities - fixed

     18         12         19         18         25         30         64   

Financial institutions single premium annuities - indexed

     369         356         426         333         364         725         730   

Financial institutions single premium annuities - fixed

     48         38         61         62         95         86         209   

Education market - fixed and indexed annuities

     49         47         49         46         49         96         99   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal fixed annuity premiums

     888         802         960         798         936         1,690         1,891   

Variable annuities

     11         11         11         11         13         22         25   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total annuity premiums

   $ 899       $ 813       $ 971       $ 809       $ 949       $ 1,712       $ 1,916   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

15


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Annuity Benefits Accumulated (GAAP)

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

     Three Months Ended     Six Months Ended  
     06/30/15     03/31/15     12/31/14     09/30/14     06/30/14     06/30/15     06/30/14  

Beginning fixed annuity reserves

   $ 24,042      $ 23,462      $ 22,745      $ 22,205      $ 21,453      $ 23,462      $ 20,679   

Premiums

     888        802        960        798        936        1,690        1,891   

Federal Home Loan Bank advances

     300        —          —          —          —          300        —     

Surrenders, benefits and other withdrawals

     (471     (420     (464     (426     (408     (891     (783

Interest and other annuity benefit expenses:

              

Interest credited

     131        128        127        126        123        259        244   

Embedded derivative mark-to-market

     (19     50        87        21        78        31        132   

Change in other benefit reserves

     35        20        18        21        23        55        42   

Unlockings

     —          —          (11     —          —          —          —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Ending fixed annuity reserves

   $ 24,906      $ 24,042      $ 23,462      $ 22,745      $ 22,205      $ 24,906      $ 22,205   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Reconciliation to annuity benefits accumulated:

              

Ending fixed annuity reserves

   $ 24,906      $ 24,042      $ 23,462      $ 22,745      $ 22,205      $ 24,906      $ 22,205   

Impact of unrealized investment gains on reserves

     107        179        111        107        117        107        117   

Fixed component of variable annuities

     190        190        191        192        194        190        194   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity benefits accumulated per balance sheet

   $ 25,203      $ 24,411      $ 23,764      $ 23,044      $ 22,516      $ 25,203      $ 22,516   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized surrenders and other withdrawals as a % of beginning reserves

     7.8     7.2     8.2     7.7     7.6     7.6     7.6

 

16


American Financial Group, Inc.

Consolidated Balance Sheet

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

     06/30/15     03/31/15     12/31/14     09/30/14     06/30/14     03/31/14  

Assets:

            

Total cash and investments

   $ 37,644      $ 37,384      $ 36,210      $ 35,151      $ 34,843      $ 32,727   

Recoverables from reinsurers

     3,075        3,046        3,238        3,134        3,107        2,969   

Prepaid reinsurance premiums

     499        475        469        587        489        438   

Agents’ balances and premiums receivable

     959        864        889        901        902        735   

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     965        756        821        858        806        890   

Assets of managed investment entities

     3,629        3,279        3,108        2,946        2,799        2,723   

Other receivables

     660        641        910        1,140        527        524   

Variable annuity assets (separate accounts)

     655        667        662        649        681        666   

Other assets

     1,137        994        1,027        985        1,001        913   

Goodwill

     201        201        201        201        200        185   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total assets

   $ 49,424      $ 48,307      $ 47,535      $ 46,552      $ 45,355      $ 42,770   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Liabilities and Equity:

            

Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

   $ 7,744      $ 7,636      $ 7,872      $ 7,645      $ 7,370      $ 6,134   

Unearned premiums

     2,004        1,936        1,956        2,114        1,911        1,788   

Annuity benefits accumulated

     25,203        24,411        23,764        23,044        22,516        21,744   

Life, accident and health reserves

     2,156        2,195        2,175        2,098        2,082        2,039   

Payable to reinsurers

     511        494        645        673        445        400   

Liabilities of managed investment entities

     3,309        2,952        2,819        2,625        2,499        2,413   

Long-term debt

     1,024        1,061        1,061        1,062        912        913   

Variable annuity liabilities (separate accounts)

     655        667        662        649        681        666   

Other liabilities

     1,834        1,855        1,527        1,564        1,781        1,700   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total liabilities

   $ 44,440      $ 43,207      $ 42,481      $ 41,474      $ 40,197      $ 37,797   

Shareholders’ equity:

            

Common stock

   $ 88      $ 88      $ 88      $ 88      $ 90      $ 90   

Capital surplus

     1,183        1,173        1,152        1,150        1,152        1,138   

Appropriated retained earnings

     —          —          (2     2        31        49   

Unappropriated retained earnings

     2,968        2,886        2,914        2,946        2,913        2,842   

Unrealized gains - fixed maturities

     457        656        604        602        656        556   

Unrealized gains - equities

     130        143        139        124        149        129   

Other comprehensive income, net of tax

     (24     (23     (16     (8     (6     (8
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total shareholders’ equity

     4,802        4,923        4,879        4,904        4,985        4,796   

Noncontrolling interests

     182        177        175        174        173        177   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total liabilities and equity

   $ 49,424      $ 48,307      $ 47,535      $ 46,552      $ 45,355      $ 42,770   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

17


American Financial Group, Inc.

Book Value Per Share and Price / Book Summary

(in millions, except per share information)

   LOGO

 

 

     06/30/15     03/31/15     12/31/14     09/30/14     06/30/14     03/31/14  

Shareholders’ equity

   $ 4,802      $ 4,923      $ 4,879      $ 4,904      $ 4,985      $ 4,796   

Appropriated retained earnings

     —          —          2        (2     (31     (49
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Shareholders’ equity, excluding appropriated retained earnings

     4,802        4,923        4,881        4,902        4,954        4,747   

Unrealized (gains) on fixed maturities

     (457     (656     (604     (602     (656     (556
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Adjusted shareholders’ equity

     4,345        4,267        4,277        4,300        4,298        4,191   

Goodwill

     (201     (201     (201     (201     (200     (185

Intangibles

     (53     (55     (57     (63     (66     (27
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Tangible adjusted shareholders’ equity

   $ 4,091      $ 4,011      $ 4,019      $ 4,036      $ 4,032      $ 3,979   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Common shares outstanding

     87.540        87.886        87.709        88.491        89.618        89.589   

Book value per share:

            

Excluding appropriated retained earnings (a)

   $ 54.86      $ 56.01      $ 55.65      $ 55.39      $ 55.27      $ 52.99   

Adjusted (b)

     49.63        48.55        48.76        48.59        47.95        46.79   

Tangible, adjusted (c)

     46.73        45.63        45.82        45.61        44.99        44.42   

Market capitalization

            

AFG’s closing common share price

   $ 65.04      $ 64.15      $ 60.72      $ 57.89      $ 59.56      $ 57.71   

Market capitalization

   $ 5,694      $ 5,638      $ 5,326      $ 5,123      $ 5,338      $ 5,170   

Price / Adjusted book value ratio

     1.31        1.32        1.25        1.19        1.24        1.23   

 

(a) Excludes appropriated retained earnings.
(b) Excludes appropriated retained earnings and unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments.
(c) Excludes appropriated retained earnings, unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments, goodwill and intangibles.

 

18


American Financial Group, Inc.

Capitalization

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

     06/30/15     03/31/15     12/31/14     09/30/14     06/30/14     03/31/14  

AFG senior obligations

   $ 840      $ 840      $ 840      $ 840      $ 840      $ 840   

Borrowings drawn under credit facility

     —          —          —          —          —          —     

Obligations of subsidiaries - other

     12        12        12        12        12        12   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Debt excluding subordinated debt & debt secured by real estate

   $ 852      $ 852      $ 852      $ 852      $ 852      $ 852   

AFG subordinated debentures

     150        150        150        150        —          —     

Obligations of subsidiaries - secured by real estate

     22        59        59        60        60        61   

Payable to subsidiary trusts - subordinated

     —          —          —          —          —          —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Long-term debt

   $ 1,024      $ 1,061      $ 1,061      $ 1,062      $ 912      $ 913   

Shareholders’ equity

     4,802        4,923        4,879        4,904        4,985        4,796   

Noncontrolling interests

     182        177        175        174        173        177   

Less:

            

Appropriated retained earnings

     —          —          2        (2     (31     (49

Unrealized gains related to fixed maturity investments

     (457     (656     (604     (602     (656     (556
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total adjusted capital

   $ 5,551      $ 5,505      $ 5,513      $ 5,536      $ 5,383      $ 5,281   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Less:

            

Obligations of subsidiaries - secured by real estate

     (22     (59     (59     (60     (60     (61
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total adjusted capital excluding obligations secured by real estate

   $ 5,529      $ 5,446      $ 5,454      $ 5,476      $ 5,323      $ 5,220   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Ratio of debt to total adjusted capital:

            

Including subordinated debt & debt secured by real estate

     18.4     19.3     19.2     19.2     16.9     17.3

Excluding subordinated debt & debt secured by real estate

     15.4     15.6     15.6     15.6     16.0     16.3

 

19


American Financial Group, Inc.

Additional Supplemental Information

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

     Three Months Ended      Six months ended  
     06/30/15      03/31/15      12/31/14      09/30/14      06/30/14      06/30/15      06/30/14  

Property and Casualty Insurance

                    

Paid Losses (GAAP)

   $ 526       $ 617       $ 562       $ 528       $ 530       $ 1,143       $ 1,040   
     06/30/15      03/31/15      12/31/14      09/30/14      06/30/14      03/31/14         

Statutory Surplus

                    

Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 2,399       $ 2,340       $ 2,286       $ 2,206       $ 2,227       $ 1,981      

AFG’s principal annuity subsidiaries (total adjusted capital)

   $ 1,911       $ 1,861       $ 1,822       $ 1,818       $ 1,751       $ 1,688      

Allowable dividends without regulatory approval

                    

Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 315       $ 315       $ 315       $ 335       $ 335       $ 335      

Annuity and Run-off

     358         358         358         275         275         275      
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

Total

   $ 673       $ 673       $ 673       $ 610       $ 610       $ 610      
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

20


American Financial Group, Inc.

Total Cash and Investments and Quarterly Net Investment Income

June 30, 2015

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

     Carrying Value  
     Property and
Casualty
Insurance
     Annuity and
Run-off*
     Other      Consolidate
CLOs
    Total AFG
Consolidated
     % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

Total cash and investments:

                

Cash and cash equivalents

   $ 730       $ 236       $ 250       $ —        $ 1,216         3

Fixed maturities - Available for sale

     6,643         25,603         14         —          32,260         86

Fixed maturities - Trading

     156         123         —           —          279         1

Equity securities

     1,156         503         45         —          1,704         4

Policy loans

     —           223         —           —          223         1

Mortgage loans

     215         839         —           —          1,054         3

Real estate and other investments

     419         790         18         (319     908         2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total cash and investments

   $ 9,319       $ 28,317       $ 327       $ (319   $ 37,644         100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

* Total cash and investments in Annuity and Run-off segment includes $1.37 billion in cash and investments held by AFG’s two long-term care insurance subsidiaries, which are being sold.

 

     Property and
Casualty
Insurance
    Annuity and
Run-off
    Other     Consolidate
CLOs
    Total AFG
Consolidated
 

Total quarterly net investment income:

          

Fixed maturities - Available for sale

   $ 62      $ 297      $ —        $ —        $ 359   

Fixed maturities - Trading

     —          1        —          —          1   

Equity securities

     12        6        (1     —          17   

Equity in investees

     3        2        —          —          5   

Other investments

     8        23        —          (5     26   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Gross investment income

     85        329        (1     (5     408   

Investment expenses

     (2     (2     —          —          (4
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total net investment income

   $ 83      $ 327      $ (1   $ (5   $ 404   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

     Equity Securities  
     Cost      Fair
Value
     Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
 

Annuity and Run-off

   $ 456       $ 503       $ 47   

Property and Casualty Insurance

     1,000         1,156         156   

Other

     45         45         —     
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 1,501       $ 1,704       $ 203   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

21


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type - AFG Consolidated

June 30, 2015

($ in millions )

   LOGO

 

 

     Amortized
Cost
    Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

US Government and government agencies

   $ 371      $ 376       $ 5         1     1

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     6,899        7,110         211         22     19

Foreign government

     262        272         10         1     1

Residential mortgage-backed securities

     3,762        4,120         358         13     11

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     2,207        2,326         119         7     6

Asset-backed securities

     4,356        4,384         28         13     12

Corporate bonds

            

Manufacturing

     2,501        2,600         99         8     7

Banks, lending and credit institutions

     3,038        3,129         91         10     8

Gas and electric services

     1,330        1,424         94         4     4

Insurance and insurance related

     979        1,029         50         3     3

Other corporate

     5,579        5,769         190         18     15
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 31,284      $ 32,539       $ 1,255         100     87
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity and Run-off

   $ 24,642      $ 25,726         1,084         79     69

Property and Casualty Insurance

     6,639        6,799         160         21     18

Other

     3        14         11         0     0
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 31,284      $ 32,539       $ 1,255         100     87
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

            

Excluding investment expense (a)

     4.70          

Net of investment expense (a)

     4.65          

Approximate average life and duration:

            

Approximate average life

     6.5 years             

Approximate duration

     5 years             

 

(a) Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter.

Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances.

 

22


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - By Security Type Portfolio

June 30, 2015

($ in millions )

   LOGO

 

 

     Amortized
Cost
    Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
 

Annuity and Run-off:

          

US Government and government agencies

   $ 83      $ 84       $ 1         0

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     4,140        4,287         147         17

Foreign government

     17        20         3         0

Residential mortgage-backed securities

     2,807        3,100         293         12

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     1,986        2,098         112         8

Asset-backed securities

     3,092        3,116         24         12

Corporate debt

     12,517        13,021         504         51
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Annuity and Run-off

   $ 24,642      $ 25,726       $ 1,084         100
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

          

Excluding investment expense (a)

     4.92        

Net of investment expense (a)

     4.89        

Approximate average life and duration:

          

Approximate average life

     7 years           

Approximate duration

     5 years           
     Amortized
Cost
    Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of Fair
Value
 

Property and Casualty Insurance:

          

US Government and government agencies

   $ 286      $ 290       $ 4         4

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

     2,759        2,823         64         41

Foreign government

     245        252         7         4

Residential mortgage-backed securities

     954        1,008         54         15

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

     221        228         7         3

Asset-backed securities

     1,264        1,268         4         19

Corporate debt

     910        930         20         14
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 6,639      $ 6,799       $ 160         100
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Annualized yield on available for sale fixed maturities:

          

Excluding investment expense (a)

     3.84        

Net of investment expense (a)

     3.74        

Tax equivalent, net of investment expense (b)

     4.36        

Approximate average life and duration:

          

Approximate average life

     5 years           

Approximate duration

     3.5 years           

 

(a) Annualized yield is calculated by dividing investment income for the quarter by the average cost over the quarter. Average cost is the average of the beginning and ending quarter asset balances.
(b) Adjusts the yield on tax-exempt bonds to the fully taxable equivalent yield.

 

23


American Financial Group, Inc.

Fixed Maturities - Credit Rating and NAIC Designation

June 30, 2015

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

     GAAP Data  

By Credit Rating

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
 

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 6,637       $ 6,814       $ 177         21

AA

     6,636         6,819         183         21

A

     8,016         8,345         329         26

BBB

     6,121         6,361         240         19
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - Investment grade

     27,410         28,339         929         87

BB

     816         844         28         3

B

     415         422         7         1

Other

     2,643         2,934         291         9
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 31,284       $ 32,539       $ 1,255         100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

 

     Statutory Data  

By NAIC Designation

   Carrying
Value
     % of Carrying
Value
    Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
 

NAIC 1

   $ 23,882         77   $ 23,882       $ 24,884       $ 1,002   

NAIC 2

     6,219         20     6,219         6,450         231   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 
     30,101         97     30,101         31,334         1,233   

NAIC 3

     656         2     657         677         20   

NAIC 4

     158         1     159         160         1   

NAIC 5

     61         0     63         72         9   

NAIC 6

     37         0     40         54         14   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 31,013         100   $ 31,020       $ 32,297       $ 1,277   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

24


American Financial Group, Inc.

Mortgage-Backed Securities - AFG Consolidated

June 30, 2015

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

By Asset Type

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
    % of
Investment
Portfolio
 

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 310       $ 319       $ 9         5     1

Prime (Non-Agency)

     1,743         1,930         187         30     5

Alt-A

     886         985         99         15     3

Subprime

     823         886         63         14     2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal - Residential

     3,762         4,120         358         64     11

Commercial

     2,207         2,326         119         36     6
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 5,969       $ 6,446       $ 477         100     17
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Annuity and Run-off

   $ 4,793       $ 5,198       $ 405         81     14

Property and Casualty Insurance

     1,175         1,236         61         19     3

Other

     1         12         11         0     0
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total AFG consolidated

   $ 5,969       $ 6,446       $ 477         100     17
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

  Substantially all of AFG’s MBS securities are either senior tranches of securitizations or collateralized by senior tranches of securitizations.

 

  The average amortized cost as a percent of par is—Prime 83%; Alt-A 78%; Subprime 86%; CMBS 99%.
  The average FICO score of our residential MBS securities is—Prime 740; Alt-A 712; Subprime 638.

 

  99.7% of our Commercial MBS portfolio is investment-grade rated (84% AAA) and the average subordination for this group of assets is 39%.

 

  The approximate average life by collateral type is—Residential 5.0 years; Commercial 3.5 years.

 

25


American Financial Group, Inc.

Mortgage-Backed Securities Portfolio

June 30, 2015

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

Annuity and Run-off:

 

                                % of  

By Asset Type

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
    Investment
Portfolio
 

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 140       $ 146       $ 6         3     1

Prime (Non-Agency)

     1,506         1,667         161         32     6

Alt-A

     649         728         79         14     3

Subprime

     512         559         47         11     2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal - Residential

     2,807         3,100         293         60     12

Commercial

     1,986         2,098         112         40     7
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Annuity and Run-off

   $ 4,793       $ 5,198       $ 405         100     19
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 
Property and Casualty Insurance:              
                                % of  

By Asset Type

   Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
     % of
Fair Value
    Investment
Portfolio
 

Residential

             

Agency

   $ 170       $ 173       $ 3         14     2

Prime (Non-Agency)

     236         251         15         20     3

Alt-A

     237         257         20         21     3

Subprime

     311         327         16         27     4
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Subtotal - Residential

     954         1,008         54         82     12

Commercial

     221         228         7         18     2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total Property and Casualty Insurance

   $ 1,175       $ 1,236       $ 61         100     14
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

26


American Financial Group, Inc.

Mortgage-Backed Securities - Credit Rating and NAIC Designation

June 30, 2015

($ in millions)

   LOGO

 

 

     GAAP data  
     Amortized             Unrealized      % of  

By Credit Rating

   Cost      Fair Value      Gain (Loss)      Fair Value  

Investment grade

           

AAA

   $ 2,613       $ 2,738       $ 125         42

AA

     304         316         12         5

A

     421         444         23         7

BBB

     218         236         18         4
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Subtotal - investment grade

     3,556         3,734         178         58

BB

     296         307         11         5

B

     355         364         9         5

Other

     1,762         2,041         279         32
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 5,969       $ 6,446       $ 477         100
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

If two agencies rate a security, the rating displayed above is the lower of the two; if three or more agencies rate a security, the rating displayed is the second lowest.

 

     Statutory data  

By NAIC

Designation

   Carrying
Value
     % of Carrying
Value
    Amortized
Cost
     Fair Value      Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
 

NAIC 1

   $ 5,693         97   $ 5,694       $ 6,194       $ 500   

NAIC 2

     62         1     62         63         1   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 
     5,755         98     5,756         6,257         501   

NAIC 3

     51         1     51         52         1   

NAIC 4

     59         1     59         63         4   

NAIC 5

     21         0     21         32         11   

NAIC 6

     2         0     3         17         14   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 5,888         100   $ 5,890       $ 6,421       $ 531   
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

27

American Financial (NYSE:AFG)
과거 데이터 주식 차트
부터 6월(6) 2024 으로 7월(7) 2024 American Financial 차트를 더 보려면 여기를 클릭.
American Financial (NYSE:AFG)
과거 데이터 주식 차트
부터 7월(7) 2023 으로 7월(7) 2024 American Financial 차트를 더 보려면 여기를 클릭.