Kool Aid Man
3 시간 전
Q3 shows two entries under "Promissory and Convertible Notes."
https://www.otcmarkets.com/otcapi/company/financial-report/416289/content
One is an unpaid ''loan'' from 2015 that has grown from $52,500 to $108,000 plus today. That is a loan that the company can pay off at face value.
The other is a "convertible note" in the amount of $9,323. This note is owed to a notorious toxic "death spiral" lender named Ari Goldstein. Few people realize how a seemingly tiny toxic debt like this can literally destroy a company. According to these contracts the company can't just pay it off with cash but with ever increasing amounts of stock. Most often they convert tranches of 9.99% of the debt owed. The lower the stock price the more shares they can force the company to give them. The price falls when investors see the O/S increasing as those shares are dumped. Typically the next tranche commands exponentially more shares in order to ''true up'' the value of debt being converted. Quite quickly the number of authorized shares is exhausted and the company is legally compelled to increase it again and again to cover the demand as the cycle repeats.
I do note the following:
Total shares authorized: 11,000,000,000 as of date: March 31, 2024
Total shares outstanding: 8,889,034,371 as of date: March 31, 2024
The Chinese took over on April 1st https://www.otcmarkets.com/otcapi/company/financial-report/405464/content
And they promptly raised the A/S from 11 billion to 50 and gave most of it to themselves--
Total shares authorized: 50,000,000,000 as of date: September 30, 2024
Total shares outstanding: 44,889,034,371 as of date: September 30, 2024
90% of the 50 billion A/S has been issued and is outstanding. A ticker trading at .000001 - .0001 isn't likely to implode now due to a toxic lender like Goldstein. However, at these levels, a massive reverse split could make today's prices seem like relative fortunes. The temporary rise in price caused by a R/S means the stock can fall much much farther than where it currently sits. That's how scam tickers often destroy old bagholders and start over. HOWEVER...a toxic convertible debt is still convertible regardless of price.
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/deathspiral.asp
Read the SEC complaint to see how the Goldstein schemes work:
https://www.sec.gov/files/litigation/complaints/2024/comp25930.pdf
Goldstein quickly settled the suit for operating as an unregistered broker. But toxic financing is apparently alive and legal
Kool Aid Man
2 월 전
Investing in sub penny OTC stocks is more akin to walking into an unregulated mafia controlled casino and expecting to leave with their money.
Someone posted a hypothetical saying if they picked 10 OTC stocks and put $1k into each ($10k total)...they'd be lucky if one hit. And even if they were lucky that one would have to nearly 1,000% just to break even.
However, $10k invested in an aggressive fund with a compounded annual average of 20% would return--
1 year------$12,000
5 years----$24,883
10 years--$61,917
15 years--$154,070
20 years--$383,376
Even at 10% the return comes to--
1 year------$11,000
5 years----$16,105
10 years--$25,937
15 years--$41,772
20 years--$67,275
Kool Aid Man
2 월 전
I maxed out my SEP IRA in Fidelity's OTC portfolio after the Dot Com bust and post-9/11 recession. As the max chart (below)shows, apart from the financial crash of 2008 it has performed quite well even thru the worst of Covid --presumably because billions of stimulus money poured into OTC. There was a big drop between July 2021 and August 2022 but it has since recouped all of that. The same pattern experienced by Invesco's QQQ ETF
https://www.barchart.com/etfs-funds/quotes/FOCPX/overview
https://www.barchart.com/etfs-funds/quotes/QQQ/overview
I have FOCPX bar belled with more conservative, less volatile funds.
The FOCPX is an ''actively managed fund" that invests in OTC stocks selected by experienced professional who add and delete companies based on performance etc.
However, Invesco QQQ is an exchange-traded fund based on the Nasdaq-100 Index thus making it a "passively managed" fund. The Fund will, under most circumstances, consist of all of stocks in the Index. The Index includes 100 of the largest domestic and international non financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market based on market capitalization. The Fund and the Index are rebalanced quarterly and reconstituted annually. So you get both the good and bad as long as they fall into the top 100.
I'd be curious to know what your research turns up
bri123
3 월 전
Restricted shares are often used as a form of payment for board members, and a way of off-setting the cost of purchasing a company. On page 6 of the last filing (annual filing) we see the new board members and various insiders were granted common shares, which are restricted because they are company insiders (as noted by the SEC rule / registration type "144" on the right side of the page with each entry).
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/rule144.asp
Because these are common shares, any reverse split would reverse them as well, but the value would multiply with the reverse ratio, so the holder would still have the same dollar amount after a reverse split.
bri123
3 월 전
ETFs and Mutual funds are similar, but ETFs are traded pretty much the same way a stock is, i.e. - shares. So if you like the concept of stock trading, ETFs are a natural alternative.
With a mutual fund, you buy and sell based on dollars, not market price or shares. And you can specify any dollar amount you want—down to the penny or as a nice round figure, like $3,000. With an ETF, you buy and sell based on market price—and you can only trade full shares.
marylandstockguy
3 월 전
Are these a similar concept to a mutual or SPY fund? I agree with you guys. I'm working with a financial advisor now to just ensure the main investments outside 401K are done appropriately. It is VERY hard to win picking individual stocks, particularly in the OTC, but really anywhere. I guess the big ones like Apple, Nvidia, and so forth will do well over time, but we're in those in our 401K anyways. It feels repetitive, but that seems to be the only way to ensure growth with individual picks.
marylandstockguy
3 월 전
I really hope you're right, all of us holders here do, but I still am a bit skeptical it could run that high. Restricted shares or not, a penny would be a 440 mil market cap. That would be a dramatic rise to say the least, and it would have to be predicated on something very big, particularly in this OTC environment.
I'm also wondering why the 500 mil plus volume day, followed by relative quiet. We saw this happen before recently, and it makes me wonder if someone behind the scenes there was trying to force a run by buying a bunch on the news of the annual report. Maybe they were hoping for a run to 4-5 and then doing a big unloading of shares for quick profit. Right now, silence just isn't going to work in OTC world, especially with this type of share structure. I'm in one that has 2.5 billion AS, and it's also at 1/2, because they haven't had news since April.