Stock Guy777
17 시간 전
Not quite where I wanted to be today, but it reacted similarly.
But now we got multiple up sessions on the way.
The Bulls
“AMD did not deliver a double beat, which would have been ideal, but it still delivered quite positive results,” wrote Seeking Alpha Investing Group Leader Jonathan Weber in “AMD: Use This Buying Opportunity As The Market Overreacts.” “From a growth-to-valuation perspective, AMD seems quite attractive to me right here, with shares now trading at a 52-week low despite ongoing operational success.”
“AMD's Q4 results show strong growth, with a 69% YoY increase in data center revenue and stable client segment performance,” added SA Investing Group Leader Oakoff Investments in “AMD: The Market Likely Got It Wrong.” “AMD has now got an even bigger upside after the Q4 print. My calculations point to a price of $148.5/share by the end of this year (+36%).”
DiscoverGold
2 일 전
AMD Advanced Micro Devices has plunged 53% from its all-time high, falling from $227 to $107, while NVDA has soared 48% in the same stretch...
By: TrendSpider | February 9, 2025
• AMD has plunged 53% from its all-time high, falling from $227 to $107, while NVDA has soared 48% in the same stretch. The market picked a clear winner—but every dog has its day. The weekly chart gives signs of déjà vu as AMD's last major rally followed a 50% retracement from ATHs, a loss of the 200-week EMA, and an RSI wedge into oversold territory. The same setup we see on the chart today.
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DiscoverGold
4 일 전
AMD Is Plunging on Weak Q1 Guidance. Why Now Is a Good Time to Buy AMD Stock
By: Barchart | February 5, 2025
Shares of Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) have experienced a notable decline over the past year, losing approximately 38% of its value. The stock has trailed the S&P 500 Index’s ($SPX) return of about 21.8%. This downturn becomes even more striking when compared to its rival Nvidia (NVDA), whose stock soared over 74% during the same period, despite recent setbacks associated with the launch of DeepSeek’s R1 model.
A key contributing factor to AMD’s lagging performance has been its limited market share in the high-growth artificial intelligence (AI) segment compared to Nvidia. AMD also faces stiff competition in the CPU market, which poses challenges to maintaining competitive pricing. Concurrently, macroeconomic headwinds and a soft performance in the gaming segment have added further strain to AMD’s financial results and stock valuation.
AMD stock faced additional pressure following its Q1 2025 guidance release on Feb. 4. Despite exceeding expectations in its fourth-quarter performance, the company’s shares declined by over 10% as investors reacted negatively to its full-year revenue forecast.
Despite these challenges, AMD’s underlying business performance remains resilient. Looking ahead to 2025, the company anticipates continued strength in its business, led by new product launches, which could support its stock price. Let’s delve deeper into AMD's prospects and the catalysts poised to drive its future growth.
www.barchart.com
Data Center AI Business: A Major Growth Driver
AMD is poised for remarkable long-term growth, driven by its flourishing data center AI business. In 2024, the company reported over $5 billion in revenue from this segment, and management expects this figure to soar into the tens of billions annually in the coming years. With its focus on hardware and software advancements, AMD’s journey into 2025 looks promising.
As AMD enters 2025, its hardware and software development pipelines are progressing at full throttle. A significant highlight is the recent launch of the MI325 GPU accelerators at the end of 2024, with shipments already underway. In addition, AMD is ramping up new designs for the MI300 and MI325 series, with full deployment planned for the first half of the year.
The MI350 series could prove to be the real game-changer. Initially slated for launch in the latter half of 2025, the development timeline has accelerated due to stronger-than-expected customer demand. AMD now plans to begin production in mid-2025, enhancing its competitive edge in the market.
Overall, AMD’s data center business is on track for double-digit growth, encompassing both server products and data center GPUs. While the first half of 2025 is expected to show steady growth, the second half is poised for a significant revenue surge driven by the MI350 launch.
Looking beyond 2025, AMD’s management sees a booming total addressable market (TAM) for data center accelerators, projected to reach over $500 billion by 2028. Thanks to an increasingly competitive product roadmap, the company remains confident in its ability to capture a significant share of this market.
The MI300 series was a strong entry into the market, but the upcoming MI350 series promises to address a broader range of workloads, including both inference and training. With the MI400 series on the horizon, AMD is already generating excitement around rack-scale designs and advanced innovations that will drive the data center business and its market share.
Strength in the CPU Business
The CPU market, particularly in the server segment, is fiercely competitive. However, AMD appears well-positioned to maintain and strengthen its foothold in this space. Thanks to a robust product lineup that spans multiple generations, the company offers compelling solutions with broad appeal.
AMD stands to grow its server CPU business from a unit sales perspective. Further, its average selling prices (ASPs) are likely to increase. These factors and continued market share gains make AMD’s CPU business look promising for sustained growth.
Should You Buy AMD Stock?
AMD’s robust data center AI product pipeline, strong customer demand, accelerated production timelines, and a bullish outlook on long-term growth suggest that the stock is well-positioned for a rebound.
Management projects robust double-digit revenue and earnings per share (EPS) growth in 2025. As AI adoption expands, AMD’s strategic investments in this space will yield significant returns.
Wall Street analysts are bullish about AMD’s prospects and maintain a “Strong Buy” consensus rating.
Overall, in the current market environment, AMD appears to be an attractive buy for investors seeking exposure to a stock with growth potential in AI and data center markets.
www.barchart.com
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6 일 전
AMD Stock Suffers Another Post-Earnings Meltdown
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | February 5, 2025
• AMD is one of the worst stocks on the Nasdaq today
• Over 1.1 million AMD options have changed hands already today
Advanced Micro Devices Inc (NASDAQ:AMD) is the talk of Wall Street today, last seen down 9.4% to trade at $108.23. The chipmaker is getting bashed after a lackluster fourth-quarter report that saw a top-line beat overshadowed by its data center arm reporting less-than-stellar revenue estimates.
AMD earlier traded at a two-year low of $106.50, and is on track for its worst single-session decline since its Oct. 30 post-earnings bear gap. The shares have carved a channel of lower lows since October, and are now down 35.3% in the last 12 months. The days of trading up at $227.30 on March 8 of last year are long gone.
With the chip stock stuck in a serious slide, a rush of bear notes today are exacerbating matters. No fewer than 17 brokerages trimmed their price targets, the worst coming from Wells Fargo to $140 from $165. Citigroup came in the hottest though, downgrading the security to "neutral" from "buy."
More revisions could weigh on the equity going forward. Of the 39 brokerages covering AMD, 29 maintain "buy" or better ratings, with zero "sells" on the books, while its 12-month consensus price target of $154.54 is a 43% premium to the stock's current perch.
Options traders are feasting today. At last check, over 1.07 million contracts have exchanged hands, volume that's triple the average intraday amount. Calls are winning out on an absolute basis, with the weekly 2/7 110-strike call the most popular.
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DiscoverGold
3 주 전
Advanced Micro Devices $AMD Bullish Outlook...
By: Peter DiCarlo | January 19, 2025
• We're taking an aggressively bullish stance on AMD once more. Although we're still in our smart money zone, the weekly BX Trender has shifted from dark red to light red, marking our initial sign of bullish accumulation. It's worth noting that a similar setup resulted in a loss a few weeks back, so success isn't guaranteed.
However, the risk versus reward ratio for the next six to 12 months looks exceptionally promising. I'm reactivating all trading bots and will focus on trading call options, targeting prices between $140 and $160 over the next three to six months.
Should the weekly BX Trender once again show lower lows and turn dark red, we'll retract our bullish position and exit the trade.
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DiscoverGold
4 주 전
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) Is a Trending Stock
By: Zacks Investment Research | January 13, 2025
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has been one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com lately. So, you might want to look at some of the facts that could shape the stock's performance in the near term.
Shares of this chipmaker have returned -8.6% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -2.2% change. The Zacks Computer - Integrated Systems industry, to which Advanced Micro belongs, has lost 5.2% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term?
While media releases or rumors about a substantial change in a company's business prospects usually make its stock 'trending' and lead to an immediate price change, there are always some fundamental facts that eventually dominate the buy-and-hold decision-making.
Earnings Estimate Revisions
Rather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company's earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings.
We essentially look at how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to reflect the impact of the latest business trends. And if earnings estimates go up for a company, the fair value for its stock goes up. A higher fair value than the current market price drives investors' interest in buying the stock, leading to its price moving higher. This is why empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.
For the current quarter, Advanced Micro is expected to post earnings of $1.07 per share, indicating a change of +39% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed -0.5% over the last 30 days.
The consensus earnings estimate of $3.31 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of +24.9%. This estimate has changed -0.3% over the last 30 days.
For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $4.88 indicates a change of +47.6% from what Advanced Micro is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed -0.3%.
With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is a more conclusive indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for Advanced Micro.
The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:
12 Month EPS
Projected Revenue Growth
While earnings growth is arguably the most superior indicator of a company's financial health, nothing happens as such if a business isn't able to grow its revenues. After all, it's nearly impossible for a company to increase its earnings for an extended period without increasing its revenues. So, it's important to know a company's potential revenue growth.
For Advanced Micro, the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter of $7.52 billion indicates a year-over-year change of +21.8%. For the current and next fiscal years, $25.66 billion and $32.27 billion estimates indicate +13.1% and +25.8% changes, respectively.
Last Reported Results and Surprise History
Advanced Micro reported revenues of $6.82 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +17.6%. EPS of $0.92 for the same period compares with $0.70 a year ago.
Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.71 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of +1.59%. The EPS surprise was +1.1%.
Over the last four quarters, Advanced Micro surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. The company topped consensus revenue estimates each time over this period.
Valuation
Without considering a stock's valuation, no investment decision can be efficient. In predicting a stock's future price performance, it's crucial to determine whether its current price correctly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects.
While comparing the current values of a company's valuation multiples, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S) and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), with its own historical values helps determine whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of the reasonability of the stock's price.
The Zacks Value Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system), which pays close attention to both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics to grade stocks from A to F (an An is better than a B; a B is better than a C; and so on), is pretty helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.
Advanced Micro is graded D on this front, indicating that it is trading at a premium to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.
Conclusion
The facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Advanced Micro. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term.
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