Fed Officials Want Further Progress On Inflation Before Cutting Rates
19 2월 2025 - 11:20PM
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Provided the U.S. economy remains near maximum employment, the
minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting
revealed officials want to see further progress on inflation before
they consider resuming lowering interest rates.
The minutes of the Fed's January 28-29 meeting also reiterated
officials believe a "careful approach" in considering additional
adjustments to the stance of monetary policy remains appropriate
given the high degree of uncertainty.
Factors mentioned by participants as supporting a "careful
approach" included the reduced downside risks to the outlook for
the labor market and economic activity and increased upside risks
to the outlook for inflation, the Fed said.
While many participants noted the Fed could keep rates at a
restrictive level if the economy remained strong and inflation
remained elevated, several remarked that policy could be eased if
labor market conditions deteriorated, economic activity faltered or
inflation returned to 2 percent more quickly than anticipated.
The minutes also said participants observed that the Fed was
well positioned to take time to assess the evolving outlook for
economic activity, the labor market, and inflation, with the vast
majority pointing to a still-restrictive policy stance.
Following the late-January meeting, the Fed announced its widely
expected decision to leave interest rates unchanged after cutting
interest rates for three straight meetings.
The Fed said it decided to maintain the target range for the
federal funds rate at 4.25 to 4.50 percent in support of its dual
goals of maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent
over the longer run.
The minutes said participants noted inflation remained somewhat
elevated while also observing that recent indicators suggested
economic activity had continued to expand at a solid pace, the
unemployment rate had stabilized at a low level, and labor market
conditions had remained solid in recent months.
The central bank's next monetary policy meeting is scheduled for
March 18-19, when Fed officials will also provide their latest
projections for rates, inflation and the economy.
CME Group's FedWatch Tool is currently indicating 97.5 percent
chance the Fed will once again leave rates unchanged.
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