Antipodean Currencies Fall As Trump's Tariff Threats Prompt Risk-off Mood
27 2월 2025 - 1:39PM
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The Antipodean currencies such as the Australia and the New
Zealand dollars weakened against their major currencies in the
Asian session on Thursday amid risk aversion, as concerns over a
global trade war reignited after US President Donald Trump's latest
tariff announcements. He newly indicated plans for 25 percent
"reciprocal" tariffs on European autos and other goods.
During the first official Cabinet meeting of his new
administration, Trump reiterated he is "not stopping" previously
delayed tariffs on Canada and Mexico. While a 30-day pause on those
tariffs is set to expire on March 4, Trump indicated the tariffs
would take effect on April 2, the same day he purportedly plans to
announce reciprocal tariffs on other U.S. trade partners.
Slightly easing worries about U.S.-Ukraine tensions after the
two nations agreed on a minerals deal, helped keep investor
sentiment a bit positive.
Crude oil prices drifted lower amid concerns about the outlook
for demand as the Trump administration's tariff policies are
expected to slow global economic growth. West Texas Intermediate
Crude oil futures for April settled lower by $0.31 at $68.62 a
barrel.
In economic news, the total value of new capital expenditure in
Australia was down a seasonally adjusted 0.2 percent on quarter in
the fourth quarter of 2024, the Australian Bureau of Statistics
said on Thursday - coming in at A$43.961 billion. That missed
forecasts for an increase of 0.6 percent following the 1.1 percent
gain in the previous three months. On a yearly basis, capex was up
0.6 percent.
In the Asian trading today, the Australian dollar fell to nearly
a 6-month low of 93.71 against the yen, from yesterday's closing
value of 93.93. The aussie may test support near the 91.00
region.
Against the U.S. and the Canadian dollars, the aussie slipped to
a 2-week low of 0.6285 and a 2-day low of 0.9024 from Wednesday's
closing quotes of 0.6309 and 0.9046, respectively. If the aussie
extends its downtrend, it is likely to find support around 0.60
against the greenback and 0.89 against the loonie.
The aussie edged down to 1.6645 against the euro, from
yesterday's closing value of 1.6624. The aussie is likely to find
support around the 1.67 region.
The NZ dollar fell to nearly a 7-month low of 84.61 against the
yen, from yesterday's closing value of 84.83. The next possible
downside target for the kiwi is seen around the 83.00 region.
Against the U.S. dollar and the euro, the kiwi dropped to near
2-week lows of 0.5674 and 1.8442 from Wednesday's closing quotes of
0.5699 and 1.8406, respectively. If the kiwi extends its downtrend,
it is likely to find support around 0.55 against the greenback and
1.86 against the euro.
The kiwi edged down to 1.1085 against the Australian dollar,
from yesterday's closing value of 1.1072. On the downside, 1.11 is
seen as the next support level for the kiwi.
Looking ahead, the European Commission publishes economic
sentiment survey data for February is due to be released at 5:00 am
ET. The economic confidence index is forecast to rise to 96.0 from
95.2 in January.
At 7:30 am ET, the European Central Bank is slated to release
account of the governing council meeting held on January 29 and
30.
In the New York session, Canada current account data for the
fourth quarter, U.S. durable goods orders for January, GDP data for
the fourth quarter, weekly jobless claims data, core PCE prices for
the fourth quarter, pending home sales data for January and U.S.
Kansas Fed manufacturing index for February are slated for
release.
Euro vs NZD (FX:EURNZD)
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Euro vs NZD (FX:EURNZD)
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부터 3월(3) 2024 으로 3월(3) 2025