Shareholders urged to Vote the GOLD Proxy
AGAINST the Takeover of Magnet Forensics
PALO
ALTO, Calif., Feb. 27,
2023 /PRNewswire/ - Nellore Capital Management LLC
("Nellore"), the largest holder of subordinate voting ("SV") shares
of Magnet Forensics Inc. (TSX: MAGT) ("Magnet"), today issued an
information circular to explain its concerns about a proposed
unequal and underpriced takeover of Magnet.
Nellore, owner of approximately 11% of Magnet's SV shares,
explained that under the unequal terms of the proposed takeover,
three Magnet insiders have cut a different and better deal for
themselves. Nellore has been informed that other institutional
shareholders oppose the takeover and urged all shareholders vote
the GOLD PROXY to block the deal.
Nellore also urged shareholders to carefully read its
information circular, which is being mailed to them and has been
filed under Magnet's SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com. The
information circular is also available at https://securemagt.com,
along with other Nellore materials prepared to oppose the
takeover.
You are encouraged to vote well before the deadline of
2:00 p.m. (Toronto time) on March
21, 2023. Shareholders who need assistance voting their
proxies should contact Carson Proxy Advisors: North American Toll
Free Phone: 1-800-530-5189; Local (Collect outside North America): 416-751-2066;
Email: info@carsonproxy.com
Nellore's letter to Magnet's shareholders is provided verbatim
below.
Dear fellow shareholders,
My name is Sakya Duvvuru. I am
the Founder and Portfolio Manager of Nellore Capital Management
LLC, the largest outside holder of Magnet Forensics Inc. with 1.3
million shares. I need your help to block the proposed unequal and
underpriced takeover. Please vote AGAINST using only your
GOLD proxy.
As you know, Magnet has a bright future ahead with growing
profits. But, three insiders and a large private equity firm are
now asking you to give up those profits for their benefit. The
three insiders get to convert (or roll) the majority of their
shares into a new entity. They will enjoy supercharged returns for
many years as Magnet is combined with Grayshift LLC, an innovative
mobile device extraction specialist.
However, we, the subordinate voting (SV) shareholders, are
excluded from the rollover. Instead, we only get an unreasonably
low cash price, C$44.25, for our
shares. You can see Nellore's estimate of the disparity in the
chart below.
Nellore already has significant votes and momentum in the
AGAINST campaign. Still, every vote is needed to win,
especially given the tactics employed by Magnet: opportunistic
timing, sneaky messaging, even bought votes, all for the benefit of
three insiders and their preferred PE partner. All at our
expense.
Who Am I?
First, a little bit about me. I immigrated to the United States with my parents from
India at age 9. After starting my
career in investment banking and working at a VC firm, I decided to
pursue my dream of becoming an entrepreneur and in 2018, founded
Nellore Capital. Nellore is my hometown in India, and to this day, my investment firm is
just a two-man shop: me and my operations right-hand man,
Toronto-based Zo Mardhani.
Last year in April, just days before my firstborn was due to
join the world, I flew to Canada
to meet with the Magnet executive team. I thought the company had
so much potential that I convinced my 38-week pregnant wife to let
me take an overnight trip from San
Francisco to Waterloo. It
turned out to be one of the best meetings of my 10-year investing
career and confirmed that Magnet had all the ingredients to be a
long-term winner. I doubled Nellore's original position over the
next few weeks and became the largest outside shareholder of Magnet
stock.
An acquisition is usually reason to celebrate: the highest
bidder is willing to pay a premium for the opportunity to
consolidate all of the shares. Instead, the decisionmakers we rely
on to find the best deal have cut a different and better deal for
themselves. I was initially disheartened, then angered. Ultimately,
I made my opposition public. Fortunately, we have the power to
block this deal, and we should! Let's protect our own interests
when those whom we entrusted to do so have failed us.
Why the Deal is Unequal
The rollover by the three Magnet insiders creates unequal access
to huge synergistic value. Magnet's management understands the
monumental scope of the synergies from combining the two companies
and always desired Grayshift. Magnet tried quietly to acquire
Grayshift in September 2021 and again
in Q1 2022. Unfortunately, Magnet was outbid by Thoma Bravo, the largest US software private
equity firm.
Now, Thoma Bravo proposes to buy
all of our shares but let Magnet insiders roll a majority of their
shares into the combined company and benefit from the synergies and
growing profits. Here is the problem: the Rolling Shareholders now
have no interest in selling to the highest bidder because they want
to combine with Grayshift, which is only owned by one bidder,
Thoma Bravo.
The solution is to level the playing field and offer all
shareholders the same opportunity to roll our shares. The Rolling
Shareholders could have advocated to treat us all the same with
Thoma Bravo, but didn't. They could
have kept the company public and invited Thoma Bravo to contribute Grayshift and become
an investor, but didn't. In the absence of equal and fair
treatment, shareholders must vote AGAINST until we are all
offered a price sufficient for the bright future with which we are
being forced to part. If the insiders were also selling all of
their shares, as we are being asked to do, they would not accept
anything less than C$60.
Why the Price is Too Low
Nellore's Information Circular offers many methodologies to
demonstrate why C$44.25 is too low.
On February 9, 2023, in the first
news release opposing the takeover, Nellore published C$60 to C$70 as its
estimate for the value of Magnet shares, and since then new
evidence has shown the estimate to be very conservative.
For example, one of the assumptions Nellore used to establish
intrinsic value was its expectation that Magnet's free cash flow
would reach US$50 million –
US$60 million in 2024. Nellore didn't
know it then, but Magnet's management expected even more – US$65
million! Now the secret is out.
Based on management's own forecast, not Nellore's, the takeover
multiple is just 19x next year's free cash flow for a business
growing revenues 35%. That is amongst the lowest prices paid for
a public software buyout in ten years, especially given the health
and growth rate of Magnet's business.
Beyond the unequal treatment and the inadequate price, the
takeover has other red flags:
- Jim Balsillie Gave Up Independence For Profit: Prior to
the takeover announcement, I believed Jim
Balsillie would champion the interest of all shareholders as
Independent Board Member, as Chair of the Board, and as a
significant owner with 14% of the shares. I was wrong – he
abandoned us and became a Rolling Shareholder. That option,
according to Magnet's disclosure, was not initially offered to him
by Thoma Bravo. Given his financial
acumen, evidenced by his wealth and experience, there should be no
question that his choice is proof that the cash offer of
C$44.25 is insufficient and inferior
to the rollover.
- Hidden Information & Sneaky Messaging: Magnet
management's financial performance forecast, including the 2024
cash flow cited above, was secret before February 22, 2023 and has never been issued in a
Magnet news release. Nellore found it buried on the
195th page of Magnet's 202-page information circular.
The forecast is far, far higher than the overly-conservative
and stale street consensus that Magnet is still using to justify
the deal. Management and its advisors found creative ways to cherry
pick analyses, dates and metrics to make it seem like the price is
fair, even though it is not.
- Opportunistic Timing: Magnet should have waited to
negotiate the transaction until after Q4 results are known.
Magnet's stock price increased by 29% in the week after Q3 2022
results were reported, justified by an increase of 24% in the
consensus estimate for 2023 EBITDA. Management's estimate for 2023
EBITDA of US$30 million is 15% above
consensus estimates and would likely have resulted in a 10-20%
increase to the stock price upon disclosure. Of course, the Rolling
Shareholders and Thoma Bravo knew
this, and wanted to announce the takeover before Q4 results
affected the market price. Worse, they hid this 2023 Management
estimate when we asked for it in our follow up press release on
February 13, 2023 and they didn't
move the shareholder record date either.
- Bought Votes: Of the 11.9 million SV shares, 1.3 million
held by Magnet employees are already locked up by voting agreements
in support of the transaction. Even though the company claims these
employees are acting in their sole interests as shareholders,
Nellore suspects that they were strong-armed into signing these
agreements. The company should clarify what benefits, if any, these
employees were promised after the deal closes.
- Flawed Process: Magnet says it contacted six strategic
potential buyers but Nellore believes none of them were realistic
bidders because they would have lost their Switzerland status by buying one of their
partners and favoring them over other partners. Moreover, there are
likely 25 potential financial buyers that would have liked to look
at this deal and instead it was only presented to two. Both were
interested to dig deeper but seemed to have learned that it is
unlikely they would win, with the fix in for Thoma Bravo (given the synergies and upside it
brings to the Rolling Shareholders)
Lastly and maybe, most insultingly, there are rumors from press
and industry sources that Rolling Shareholders and Thoma Bravo are already planning an Initial
Public Offering for the combined Magnet-Grayshift (this time on the
NASDAQ) as soon as in a year's time! Nellore would expect the
stock of the combined company to be trading between CAD
$81 – 96 per share or CAD
$89 at the midpoint, a nightmarish
100% upside to what shareholders are being asked to sell shares
at today. Don't let this happen. Vote AGAINST!Together,
We Can Stop This Unfair Transaction
Nellore is taking every step and opportunity to block this
transaction. Nellore tried to privately engage with the Special
Committee. Nellore publicly raised its concerns in news releases on
February 9, 2023 and on February 13, 2023. Nellore even appeared in court
on February 15, 2023 to share its
views with a judge. Now, Nellore is soliciting proxies. If for some
reason shareholders vote in favour of the transaction, Nellore will
consider exercising all of its rights as a shareholder including by
challenging the fairness of the transaction in court and by
exercising dissent rights.
Nellore has the means and willingness to fight and win, with
your help to put the interest of all shareholders across the finish
line. The deal can be blocked by 5.95 million votes, representing a
simple majority (50% + 1) of the 11.9 million SV shares eligible to
vote. Nellore alone owns 1.3 million SV shares, equivalent to 22%
of the potential blocking position. Several large, sophisticated SV
shareholders have told us, and Magnet, that they are also opposed
and will be voting AGAINST. Support behind a no-vote is
building. Join us.
Don't Let Magnet's Insiders Profit
at Your Expense. VOTE AGAINST.
For three Magnet insiders, the takeover is fantastic. Magnet's
founders are visionaries and Nellore does not begrudge them the
chance to profit. This transaction in its current form is also a
great deal for the buyer, Thoma
Bravo, who is well aware of the upside potential it is
getting by paying a very low price for our shares. While we can't
blame them, we can certainly stop them.
The Rolling Shareholders and Thoma
Bravo are simply putting their financial interest first by
misleading you about the merits of the unfair transaction.
Shouldn't you put your financial interest first by voting against?
Vote AGAINST using ONLY the GOLD proxy. Vote
today!
If you have any questions or are even half-heartedly thinking
about supporting the transaction, don't hesitate to call me
directly on my personal cell phone number at +1 (501) 551 0128 or
email me at sakya@nellorecapital.com. I will pick up every call and
respond to every email, no matter how big or small your ownership.
There is no reason for any individual SV shareholder to vote for
the transaction.
Sincerely,
Sakya
Duvvuru
Founder & Portfolio
Manager,
Nellore Capital Management LLC
Advisors
Goodmans LLP is serving as legal advisor to Nellore. Carson
Proxy Advisors is acting as strategic shareholder and advisor and
Longview Communications and Public Affairs is acting as
communications advisor to Nellore.
Disclaimer for Forward-Looking
Information
Certain information in this news release may constitute
"forward-looking information" within the meaning of applicable
securities legislation. Forward-looking statements and information
generally can be identified by the use of forward-looking
terminology such as "outlook", "objective", "may", "will",
"expect", "intend", "estimate", "anticipate", "believe", "should",
"plans", "continue", or similar expressions suggesting future
outcomes or events. Forward-looking information in this news
release may include, but is not limited to, statements of Nellore
regarding the meeting and how Nellore intends to vote on the
resolutions proposed by Magnet. Although Nellore believes that the
expectations reflected in any such forward-looking information are
reasonable, there can be no assurance that such expectations will
prove to be correct. Such forward-looking statements are subject to
risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results, performance
or developments to differ materially from those contained in the
statements. Except as required by law, Nellore does not intend to
update these forward-looking statements.
A copy of this news release may be obtained on Magnet's SEDAR
profile at www.sedar.com. The head office of Magnet is 2220
University Avenue East, Suite 300, Waterloo, Ontario, N2K 0A8. The address of
Nellore is PO Box 1237, 855 Jefferson Avenue Redwood City, CA 94063-9992.
About Nellore Capital Management
LLC
Nellore Capital Management invests in entrepreneurially managed,
competitively advantaged technology businesses globally for the
long term.
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SOURCE Nellore Capital Management LLC