Strategic Global Income Fund, Inc. (the "Fund") (NYSE:SGL) is a
non-diversified, closed-end management investment company seeking a
high level of current income as a primary objective and capital
appreciation as a secondary objective through investments in US and
foreign debt securities.
Fund Commentary for the third quarter of 2014 from UBS Global
Asset Management (Americas) Inc. (“UBS Global AM”), the Fund’s
investment advisor
Market review
The global fixed income market declined during the third
quarter. Volatility was elevated at times over the three month
period as investor sentiment was impacted by mixed global economic
data, questions regarding future central bank monetary policy and
an increasing number of geopolitical issues. The yield on the US
two-year Treasury rose from 0.47% to 0.58% over the quarter, as
expectations for Federal Reserve Board (the "Fed") rate hikes
increased. In contrast, the yield on the US 10-year Treasury
declined slightly from 2.53% to 2.52%, partially driven by several
periods of risk aversion that saw fixed income investors move to
the relative safety of US treasuries. As expected, the Fed
announced at its meetings in July and September that it would
further taper its purchases of longer-term Treasuries and agency
mortgage-backed securities (quantitative easing), and the program
concluded in October 2014. In its official statement following its
September meeting, the Fed stated, "it likely will be appropriate
to maintain the current target range for the federal funds rate for
a considerable time after the asset purchase program ends,
especially if projected inflation continues to run below the
Committee's 2% longer-run goal, and provided that longer-term
inflation expectations remain well anchored." All told, global
government bond markets declined 3.78% over the quarter, as
measured by the Citigroup World Government Bond Index. From a
currency perspective, the US dollar appreciated versus most
currencies, including the yen and euro.
Sector overview
Many US spread sectors1 posted negative returns during the third
quarter. Spread sectors were impacted by the aforementioned issues
driving investor sentiment. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities
("TIPS"), high yield corporate bonds and emerging market debt
generated weak results.
After generating strong results over the first eight months of
the year, the emerging markets debt asset class fell sharply in
September 2014. This reversal was triggered by a number of factors,
including increased investor risk aversion, rising US Treasury
yields and signs of weak growth in many developed and emerging
market countries. US dollar-denominated debt, as measured by the
J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Global (EMBI Global),
declined 1.65% over the three months, whereas local currency
emerging markets debt, as measured by the J.P. Morgan Government
Bond Index-Emerging Markets Global Diversified (GBI-EM Global
Diversified), posted a -5.66% return during the same time
period.
Performance review
During the third quarter of 2014, the Fund posted a net asset
value total return of -1.68% and a market price total return of
-4.18%. On a net asset value total return basis, the Fund
outperformed its benchmark, the Strategic Global Benchmark (the
“Index”),2 which declined 3.08% over the quarter.
The largest contributor to the Fund’s relative performance was
its developed market currency exposure. In particular, a long
position in the US dollar, along with shorts to the euro, Japanese
yen, New Zealand dollar and Australian dollar, were additive to the
Fund’s results.
On the downside, the Fund's spread sector exposure detracted
from performance. In particular, security selection and a
substantial overweight allocation to investment grade corporate
bonds were negative for returns. This largely occurred in
September, as investor risk aversion increased. Within the
investment grade space, the Fund’s exposures to metals and mining,
energy and banks dragged on performance. An overweight to high
yield corporate bonds detracted from results, as did an overweight
to commercial mortgage-backed securities (“CMBS”). Elsewhere, the
Fund’s duration and yield curve positioning detracted from returns.
An underweight to the long end of the curve was a drag on
performance, as rates declined during the quarter as a whole.
From an emerging markets debt perspective, the largest detractor
from performance was our local currency exposure. Most local
currencies fell sharply versus the US dollar, as the US dollar
appreciated versus almost all other currencies due to a stronger
economic forecast in the United States. Expectations also increased
that the Fed would begin raising rates in 2015. In contrast, growth
in many emerging market countries moderated. The Fund’s allocation
in Brazilian local debt was not rewarded, as it added only
marginally compared to other local bonds, although yields were
relatively stable. An allocation to US dollar-denominated debt from
Venezuela detracted from performance. In particular, Venezuela
generated weak results in September, as investors were concerned
about the maturation of a large amount of debt in October that will
require refinancing. Political and economic uncertainties also led
to spread widening. The Fund maintains its position in Venezuela,
as we believe spread pressures will dissipate following the
refinancing of the country’s debt. On the upside, an underweight to
Ukraine was rewarded given weak investor sentiment in the country,
ongoing tensions with Russia and weak financial fundamentals.
Outlook
In our view, the US economy has enough momentum to continue
expanding, although the pace will be far from robust. We expect the
Fed to begin the process of normalizing monetary policy in 2015,
and we believe it will do so in a gradual and measured fashion.
Economic growth in Europe remains weak, and the European Central
Bank is expected to remain accommodative as it looks to stimulate
growth and ward off deflation. Elsewhere, we are closely monitoring
China’s economy given signs of a more modest expansion.
Turning to the fixed income market, geopolitical and global
growth concerns have driven down US Treasury yields and pushed
credit spreads wider. We currently have a neutral to somewhat
positive outlook for the credit markets. In particular, we continue
to find attractive opportunities given relatively more attractive
spreads.
Portfolio statistics as of September 30, 20143
Top ten countries (bond holdings only)4
Percentage of net assets United States 41.0% United
Kingdom 6.0 Brazil 5.7 New Zealand 3.0 Russia
3.0 Germany 2.4 Netherlands 2.2 Venezuela
2.0 Italy 1.9 France 1.9
Total
69.1
Top ten currency breakdown (includes
all securities and otherinstruments) 5
Percentage of net assets United States Dollar
71.8% Euro 11.4 Australian Dollar 3.6 New Zealand
Dollar 3.5 British Pound 2.6 Brazilian Real
2.2 Mexican Peso 0.9 Russian Ruble 0.6 Nigerian Naira
0.5 Chinese Yen 0.3
Credit
quality6 Percentage of net assets AAA
3.9% US Treasury7 3.8 US Agency7,8 3.0 AA
8.6 A 9.5 BBB 21.4 BB 14.0 B 9.0
CCC and Below 3.0 Non-rated 21.3 Cash and other
assets, less liabilities 2.5
Total
100.0
Characteristics
Net asset value per share9 $10.36 Market price
per share9 $8.83 Duration10 4.1 yrs Weighted average
maturity 7.4 yrs 1 A spread sector refers to
non-government fixed income sectors, such as investment grade or
high yield bonds, commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS),
etc. 2
The Strategic Global Benchmark is an
unmanaged index compiled by the advisor, constructed as follows:
67% Citigroup World Government Bond Index (WGBI) and 33% JP Morgan
Emerging Markets Bond Index Global (EMBI Global). Investors should
note that indices do not reflect the deduction of fees or
expenses.
3
The Fund’s portfolio is actively managed,
and its portfolio composition will vary over time.
4 Excludes exposures obtained via derivatives (e.g., swaps). 5
Forward foreign currency contracts are
reflected at unrealized appreciation/depreciation; this may not
align with the risk exposure described in the portfolio commentary
section which reflects forward foreign currency contracts based on
contract notional amount. As of the most recent period end,
September 30, 2014, the Fund maintained a risk exposure to non-US
dollar currencies equal to approximately 19% of the Fund.
6
Credit quality ratings shown in the table
are based on those assigned by Standard & Poor’s Financial
Services LLC, a part of McGraw-Hill Financial (“S&P”), to
individual portfolio holdings. S&P is an independent ratings
agency. Rating reflected represents S&P individual debt issue
credit rating. While S&P may provide a credit rating for a bond
issuer (e.g., a specific company or country); certain issues, such
as some sovereign debt, may not be covered or rated and therefore
are reflected as non-rated for the purposes of this table. Credit
ratings range from AAA, being the highest, to D, being the lowest,
based on S&P’s measures; ratings of BBB or higher are
considered to be investment grade quality. Unrated securities do
not necessarily indicate low quality. Further information regarding
S&P’s rating methodology may be found on its website at
www.standardandpoors.com. Please note that any references to credit
quality made in the commentary preceding the table may reflect
ratings based on multiple providers (not just S&P) and thus may
not align with the data represented in this table.
7
S&P downgraded long-term US government
debt on August 5, 2011 to AA+. Other rating agencies continue to
rate long-term US government debt in their highest ratings
categories. The Fund’s aggregate exposure to AA rated debt as of
September 30, 2014 would include the percentages indicated above
for AA, US Treasury and US Agency debt but has been broken out into
three separate categories to facilitate understanding.
8 Includes agency debentures and agency mortgage-backed securities.
9 Net asset value (NAV) and market price will fluctuate. 10
Duration is a measure of price sensitivity
of a fixed income investment or portfolio (expressed as % change in
price) to a 1 percentage point (i.e., 100 basis points) change in
interest rates, accounting for optionality in bonds such as
prepayment risk and call/put features.
Any performance information reflects the deduction of the Fund’s
fees and expenses, as indicated in its shareholder reports, such as
investment advisory and administration fees, custody fees, exchange
listing fees, etc. It does not reflect any transaction charges that
a shareholder may incur when (s)he buys or sells shares (e.g., a
shareholder’s brokerage commissions).
Disclaimers Regarding Fund Commentary - The Fund
Commentary is intended to assist shareholders in understanding how
the Fund performed during the period noted. Views and opinions were
current as of the date of this press release. They are not
guarantees of performance or investment results and should not be
taken as investment advice. Investment decisions reflect a variety
of factors, and the Fund and UBS Global AM reserve the right to
change views about individual securities, sectors and markets at
any time. As a result, the views expressed should not be relied
upon as a forecast of the Fund’s future investment intent.
Past performance does not predict future performance. The return
and value of an investment will fluctuate so that an investor's
shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original
cost. Any Fund net asset value ("NAV") returns cited in a Fund
Commentary assume, for illustration only, that dividends and other
distributions, if any, were reinvested at the NAV on the payable
dates. Any Fund market price returns cited in a Fund Commentary
assume that all dividends and other distributions, if any, were
reinvested at prices obtained under the Fund's Dividend
Reinvestment Plan. Returns for periods of less than one year have
not been annualized. Returns do not reflect the deduction of taxes
that a shareholder would pay on Fund dividends and other
distributions, if any, or on the sale of Fund shares.
Investing in the Fund entails specific risks, such as
interest rate, credit and the risks associated with investing in
the securities of non-US issuers, including those located in
emerging market countries. The value of the Fund's
investments in foreign securities may fall due to adverse
political, social and economic developments abroad and due to
decreases in foreign currency values relative to the US
dollar. Further detailed information regarding the Fund,
including a discussion of principal objectives, principal
investment strategies and principal risks, may be found in the fund
overview located at
http://www.ubs.com/closedendfundsinfo. You may also
request copies of the fund overview by calling the Closed-End Funds
Desk at 888-793 8637.
©UBS 2014. All rights reserved.
The key symbol and UBS are among the registered and unregistered
trademarks of UBS.
UBS Global Asset ManagementClosed-End Funds Desk:
888-793-8637ubs.com
Strategic Global Income Fund, Inc. (NYSE:SGL)
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Strategic Global Income Fund, Inc. (NYSE:SGL)
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