CALGARY, Feb. 6, 2020 /CNW/ - OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD.
(TSX – OBE, NYSE – OBE.BC) ("Obsidian Energy", the
"Company", "we", "us" or "our") is
pleased to release its year-end 2019 independent reserves
evaluation.
Stephen Loukas, Interim President
and CEO commented, "We are pleased to announce our 2019 reserve
results which demonstrates the strength of our dedicated Cardium
development strategy, allowing for our reserve auditors to
recognize the performance and improved cost efficiency of the
program. In addition, the Company received initial recognition
of the improvements of existing wells resulting from optimization
techniques, thereby resulting in an increase in recoverable
reserves."
2019 Year-End Reserves Summary
The Company is pleased to present the results of its year-end
2019 independent reserves evaluation, prepared by Sproule
Associates Limited ("Sproule").
2019 marks the Company's third
year in a row achieving greater than 100 percent reserve
replacement on total proved reserves ("1P") and proved plus
probable reserves ("2P"). This increase includes recognition
of the performance of our Cardium drilling program contributing to
the overall 1P and 2P replacement ratio of approximately 140 and
139 percent, respectively. The Company also continues to see
benefits from its optimization and decline mitigation projects with
an average projected three year proved developed producing
("PDP") decline of approximately 17 percent. We are excited
about the future development opportunities, particularly in our
Cardium assets, which will allow us to create long term value for
our shareholders.
Reserve Highlights:
- Replaced 95 percent on a PDP basis, 140 percent on a 1P basis
and 139 percent on a 2P basis of 2019 production, prior to asset
divestitures.
- Reserve replacement was driven by strong underlying asset base
performance in addition to the 2019 drilling program in the Cardium
Crimson Lake area in Willesden Green. 1P replacement in the Cardium
is approximately 177 percent and 2P replacement is approximately
187 percent.
- Obsidian Energy's reserve life index ("RLI") is
approximately 8, 11 and 14 years on a PDP,1P and 2P basis,
respectively.
- Obsidian Energy has increased our PDP liquids weighting by two
percent, to 69 percent total liquids.
- Our total undeveloped reserve locations remain conservatively
booked and highly achievable, with 180 total net locations booked,
including 135 net locations in the Cardium.
- 2P costs for our operated development activity in 2019 were
$16.94 per boe. 2P finding and
development ("F&D") costs excluding changes in future
development capital, were $7.42 per
boe, F&D costs including changes in future development capital
were $4.29 per boe.
- Despite $198 million of negative
pricing impacts and an incremental $37
million in asset retirement obligations ("ARO") to
reflect the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook
("COGEH") 2019 updates, before-tax net present value
discounted at 10 percent ("NPV10") for 2P decreased by only
six percent to $1.6 billion at
year-end 2019, based on Sproule's commodity price forecast at
December 31, 2019. Lower capital and
operating costs helped to mitigate the pricing and ARO
impacts.
2019 Year-End Reserves Tables
In 2019, we engaged Sproule, an independent, qualified
engineering firm, to evaluate 100 percent of our PDP, 1P and 2P
reserves. Sproule conducted an independent reserves evaluation of
Obsidian Energy's reserves effective December 31, 2019. This evaluation was prepared
in accordance with definitions, standards, and procedures set out
in COGEH and National Instrument 51-101 Standards of Disclosure for
Oil and Gas Activities ("NI 51-101"). The Sproule reserves
evaluation was based on Sproule's December
31, 2019 forecast prices and costs. Reserves included below
are Company gross reserves which are the Company's total working
interest reserves before the deduction of any royalties and
excluding any royalty interests payable to the Company. The numbers
in the tables below may not add due to rounding.
Summary of Reserves
As at December 31,
2019
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reserve
|
Light &
Medium
Crude Oil
|
Heavy
Crude Oil
& Bitumen
|
Natural Gas
Liquids
|
Conventional
Natural Gas
|
Barrel of Oil
Equivalent
|
Estimates
Category
|
(mmbbl)
|
(mmbbl)
|
(mmbbl)
|
(bcf)
|
(mmboe)
|
Proved
|
|
|
|
|
|
Developed
producing
|
34
|
5
|
6
|
124
|
65
|
Developed
non-producing
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
2
|
1
|
Undeveloped
|
17
|
1
|
2
|
47
|
28
|
Total
Proved
|
51
|
6
|
8
|
173
|
94
|
Total
Probable
|
16
|
3
|
3
|
63
|
32
|
Total Proved plus
Probable
|
67
|
9
|
11
|
236
|
126
|
Reserves Reconciliation – Proved
|
Light &
Medium
Crude Oil
|
Heavy
Crude Oil
& Bitumen
|
Natural Gas
Liquids
|
Conventional
Natural Gas
|
Barrel of Oil
Equivalent
|
Reconciliation
Category
|
(mmbbl)
|
(mmbbl)
|
(mmbbl)
|
(bcf)
|
(mmboe)
|
Total
Proved
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31,
2018
|
47
|
7
|
8
|
176
|
92
|
Extensions
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
Infill
Drilling
|
5
|
0
|
1
|
13
|
8
|
Improved
Recovery
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
Technical
Revisions
|
4
|
0
|
0
|
15
|
7
|
Discoveries
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
Acquisitions
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
Dispositions
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
-7
|
-2
|
Economic
Factors
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
-6
|
-2
|
Production
|
-4
|
-1
|
-1
|
-19
|
-10
|
December 31,
2019
|
51
|
6
|
8
|
173
|
94
|
Reserves Reconciliation – Proved Plus Probable
|
Light &
Medium
Crude Oil
|
Heavy
Crude Oil
& Bitumen
|
Natural Gas
Liquids
|
Conventional
Natural Gas
|
Barrel of Oil
Equivalent
|
Reconciliation
Category
|
(mmbbl)
|
(mmbbl)
|
(mmbbl)
|
(bcf)
|
(mmboe)
|
Total Proved Plus
Probable
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31,
2018
|
64
|
11
|
11
|
233
|
125
|
Extensions
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
1
|
Infill
Drilling
|
6
|
0
|
1
|
21
|
11
|
Improved
Recovery
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
Technical
Revisions
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
16
|
4
|
Discoveries
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
Acquisitions
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
Dispositions
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
-9
|
-2
|
Economic
Factors
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
-7
|
-2
|
Production
|
-4
|
-1
|
-1
|
-19
|
-10
|
December 31,
2019
|
67
|
9
|
11
|
236
|
126
|
Summary of Before Tax Net Present Values
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at December 31,
2019
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Present
Value
|
Discount
Rate
|
$
millions
|
Undiscounted
|
5
Percent
|
10
Percent
|
15
Percent
|
20
Percent
|
Proved
|
|
|
|
|
|
Developed
producing
|
523
|
1,217
|
1,010
|
843
|
725
|
Developed
non-producing
|
35
|
22
|
16
|
13
|
11
|
Undeveloped
|
675
|
365
|
210
|
124
|
72
|
Total
Proved
|
1,232
|
1,605
|
1,236
|
979
|
808
|
Total
Probable
|
1,209
|
589
|
366
|
259
|
197
|
Total Proved plus
Probable
|
2,441
|
2,193
|
1,602
|
1,238
|
1,004
|
|
|
(1)
|
The December 31, 2019
reserve net present values include all Obsidian Energy existing
well, facility, and pipeline asset retirement obligation estimates,
which totals $61 million NPV10. The December 31, 2018 net
present value incorporated only existing well abandonment and
reclamation costs associated with reserve wells, totaling $24
million NPV10.
|
Future Development Capital
As at December 31,
2019
|
|
|
Future Development
Capital
|
|
|
$
millions
|
Total
Proved
|
Total Proved
Plus Probable
|
2020
|
83
|
86
|
2021
|
88
|
106
|
2022
|
101
|
120
|
2023
|
123
|
137
|
2024
|
104
|
115
|
2025 and
subsequent
|
|
|
Total,
Undiscounted
|
499
|
564
|
Total, Discounted
@ 10%
|
390
|
440
|
Summary of Pricing and Inflation Rate Assumptions
|
|
Canadian
Light
|
Natural
Gas
|
|
|
WTI
|
Sweet
Crude
|
WTI-C
|
Exchange
|
As at December 31,
2019 (1)
|
Cushing,
Oklahoma
|
40°
API
|
Spot
|
Rate
|
Sproule
Forecast
|
($US/bbl)
|
($Cdn/bbl)
|
($Cdn/MMbtu)
|
($US/$Cdn)
|
Year
|
2019
|
2018
|
2019
|
2018
|
2019
|
2018
|
2019
|
2018
|
Forecast
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020
|
61.00
|
67.00
|
73.84
|
77.89
|
2.04
|
2.44
|
0.76
|
0.80
|
2021
|
65.00
|
70.00
|
78.51
|
82.25
|
2.27
|
3.00
|
0.77
|
0.80
|
2022
|
67.00
|
71.40
|
78.73
|
84.79
|
2.81
|
3.21
|
0.80
|
0.80
|
2023
|
68.34
|
72.83
|
80.30
|
87.39
|
2.89
|
3.30
|
0.80
|
0.80
|
2024
|
69.71
|
74.28
|
81.91
|
89.14
|
2.98
|
3.39
|
0.80
|
0.80
|
2025
|
71.10
|
75.77
|
83.54
|
90.92
|
3.06
|
3.49
|
0.80
|
0.80
|
2026
|
72.52
|
77.29
|
85.21
|
92.74
|
3.15
|
3.58
|
0.80
|
0.80
|
2027
|
73.97
|
78.83
|
86.92
|
94.60
|
3.24
|
3.68
|
0.80
|
0.80
|
2028
|
75.45
|
80.41
|
88.66
|
96.49
|
3.33
|
3.78
|
0.80
|
0.80
|
2029
|
76.96
|
82.02
|
90.43
|
98.42
|
3.42
|
3.88
|
0.80
|
0.80
|
2030
|
78.50
|
|
92.24
|
|
3.51
|
|
0.80
|
|
(1) Prices Escalate at two percent
after 2030, with the exception of foreign exchange which stays
flat.
|
Updated Corporate Presentation
For further information on these and other matters, Obsidian
Energy has posted an updated Corporate Presentation which can be
found on its website, www.obsidianenergy.com.
All figures contained in this release are in Canadian dollars
unless otherwise noted.
The financial and operating information in this press release is
based on estimates and is unaudited. Some of the terms below do not
have standardized meanings. Further detail can be found in the "Oil
and Gas Advisory" section contained in this release. Additional
reserve information as required under NI 51-101 will be included in
our Annual Information Form which will be filed on SEDAR, EDGAR,
and posted to our website in March.
Oil and Gas Advisory
This press release contains a number of oil and gas metrics,
including "F&D costs", and "RLI" which do not have standardized
meanings or standard methods of calculation and therefore such
measures may not be comparable to similar measures used by other
companies. Such metrics have been included herein to provide
readers with additional measures to evaluate the Company's
performance; however, such measures are not reliable indicators of
the future performance of the Company and future performance may
not compare to the performance in previous periods. F&D costs
are the sum of exploration and development costs incurred in the
period, plus the change in estimated future development capital for
the reserves category, all divided by the change in reserves during
the period. F&D costs exclude the impact of acquisitions and
divestitures. RLI is calculated as total Company gross reserves
divided by Sproule's forecasted 2019 production for the associated
reserve category. Under NI 51-101, proved reserves estimates are
defined as having a high degree of certainty to be recoverable with
a targeted 90 percent probability in aggregate that actual reserves
recovered over time will equal or exceed proved reserve estimates.
For proved plus probable reserves under NI 51-101, the targeted
probability is an equal (50 percent) likelihood that the actual
reserves to be recovered will be greater or less than the proved
plus probable reserve estimate. The reserve estimates set forth
above are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the
estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual reserves may be
greater than or less than the estimates provided herein.
Abbreviations Contained in the Press Release
Oil and Natural
Gas Liquids
|
Natural
Gas
|
bbl
|
barrel or
barrels
|
mcf
|
thousand cubic
feet
|
mmbbl
|
million
barrels
|
mmcf
|
million cubic
feet
|
mmboe
|
million barrels of
oil equivalent
|
bcf
|
billion cubic
feet
|
|
|
mcf/d
|
thousand cubic feet
per day
|
|
|
mmcf/d
|
million cubic feet
per day
|
|
|
mmbtu
|
million British
thermal units
|
|
|
mcf
|
thousand cubic
feet
|
|
|
mmcf
|
million cubic
feet
|
|
|
|
|
Other
|
|
AECO
|
the Alberta benchmark
price for natural gas.
|
BOE or
boe
|
barrel of oil
equivalent, using the conversion factor of 6 mcf of natural gas
being equivalent to one barrel of oil.
|
WTI
|
West Texas
Intermediate, the reference price paid in United States dollars at
Cushing, Oklahoma for crude oil of standard grade.
|
API
|
American Petroleum
Institute.
|
°API
|
the measure of the
density or gravity of liquid petroleum products derived from a
specific gravity.
|
MM$
|
million
dollars.
|
$US
|
United States
dollars
|
$C
|
Canadian
dollars
|
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements contained in this press release constitute
forward-looking statements or information (collectively
"forward-looking statements"). Forward-looking statements are
typically identified by words such as "anticipate", "continue",
"estimate", "expect", "forecast", "budget", "may", "will",
"project", "could", "plan", "intend", "should", "believe",
"outlook", "objective", "aim", "potential", "target" and similar
words suggesting future events or future performance. In addition,
statements relating to "reserves" or "resources" are deemed to be
forward-looking statements as they involve the implied assessment,
based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the reserves and
resources described exist in the quantities predicted or estimated
and can be profitably produced in the future. In particular, this
document contains forward-looking statements pertaining to, without
limitation, the following: that we are excited about the future
development opportunities, particularly in our Cardium assets,
which will allow us to create long term value for our shareholders;
that additional reserve information, as required under NI 51-101,
will be included in our Annual Information Form which will be filed
on SEDAR, EDGAR and our website in March; and our expected
RLIs.
With respect to forward-looking statements contained in this
document, we have made assumptions regarding, among other things
that we do not dispose of any material producing properties; the
impact of the Alberta government
mandated production curtailment; our ability to execute our
long-term plan and the impact that the successful execution of such
plan will have on our Company and our shareholders; that the
current commodity price and foreign exchange environment will
continue or improve; future capital expenditure levels; future
crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas prices and
differentials between light, medium and heavy oil prices and
Canadian, WTI and world oil and natural gas prices; future crude
oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas production levels; future
exchange rates and interest rates; future debt levels; our ability
to execute our capital programs as planned without significant
adverse impacts from various factors beyond our control, including
weather, infrastructure access and delays in obtaining regulatory
approvals and third party consents; our ability to obtain equipment
in a timely manner to carry out development activities and the
costs thereof; our ability to market our oil and natural gas
successfully to current and new customers; our ability to obtain
financing on acceptable terms, including our ability to renew or
replace our syndicated bank facility and our ability to finance the
repayment of our senior notes on maturity; and our ability to add
production and reserves through our development and exploitation
activities.
Although we believe that the expectations reflected in the
forward-looking statements contained in this document, and the
assumptions on which such forward-looking statements are made, are
reasonable, there can be no assurance that such expectations will
prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned not to place undue
reliance on forward-looking statements included in this document,
as there can be no assurance that the plans, intentions or
expectations upon which the forward-looking statements are based
will occur. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve
numerous assumptions, known and unknown risks and uncertainties
that contribute to the possibility that the forward-looking
statements contained herein will not be correct, which may cause
our actual performance and financial results in future periods to
differ materially from any estimates or projections of future
performance or results expressed or implied by such forward-looking
statements. These risks and uncertainties include, among other
things: the possibility that we will not be able to continue to
successfully execute our long-term plan in part or in full, and the
possibility that some or all of the benefits that we anticipate
will accrue to our Company and our securityholders as a result of
the successful execution of such plans do not materialize; the
possibility that we are unable to execute some or all of our
ongoing asset disposition program on favourable terms or at all;
general economic and political conditions in Canada, the U.S. and globally, and in
particular, the effect that those conditions have on commodity
prices and our access to capital; industry conditions, including
fluctuations in the price of crude oil, natural gas liquids and
natural gas, price differentials for crude oil and natural gas
produced in Canada as compared to
other markets, and transportation restrictions, including pipeline
and railway capacity constraints; fluctuations in foreign exchange
or interest rates; unanticipated operating events or environmental
events that can reduce production or cause production to be shut-in
or delayed (including extreme cold during winter months, wild fires
and flooding); and the other factors described under "Risk
Factors" in our Annual Information Form and described in our public
filings, available in Canada at
www.sedar.com and in the United
States at www.sec.gov. Readers are cautioned that this list
of risk factors should not be construed as exhaustive.
The forward-looking statements contained in this document speak
only as of the date of this document. Except as expressly required
by applicable securities laws, we do not undertake any obligation
to publicly update any forward-looking statements. The
forward-looking statements contained in this document are expressly
qualified by this cautionary statement.
Obsidian Energy shares are listed on both the Toronto Stock
Exchange and New York Stock Exchange under the symbol "OBE" and
"OBE.BC" respectively. All figures are in Canadian dollars unless
otherwise stated.
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SOURCE Obsidian Energy Ltd.