VietNam Holding Limited ("VNH" or the
"Company")
Monthly Investor Report
A report detailing the activities of
the Company for the month of October 2024 has been issued by Dynam
Capital Limited, the investment manager of the Company. Electronic
copies of the report have been made available to shareholders on
the
Company's website and a summary of the report is included
below.
Manager Commentary: Sustaining
strong growth in a shifting world
As we wind down a year dominated by
geopolitical conflicts and national elections around the world, the
story in Vietnam for now remains removed from ever-evolving global
uncertainties. To start, 'China plus one' keeps getting better for
the country's economy. In October, it maintained its robust
economic run in 2024, with another record high trade surplus of
US$23.3bn for the first 10 months of the year (10M 2024). Although
growth in electronics and wood products slowed, other crucial
export industries such as apparel and footwear showed
improvement.
Additionally, in a report presented
by the Prime Minister at the 8th session of the 15th National
Assembly, the government said it estimates GDP growth in 2024 to
reach 6.8%-7.0%, higher than the plan of 6.0%-6.5% set at the
beginning of the year. It now aims to achieve GDP growth that
surpasses the plan for 7.0-7.5% in 2025 in order to rank 31st-33rd
globally (in terms of GDP) by this time next year. It announced
ambitious targets for the period 2026-2030, with GDP growth aimed
at 7.5%-8.5%, compared to 6.5%-7.0% for 2021-2025.
The country's General Secretary, To
Lam, said "Vietnam is entering an era of national advancement". His
statement and the grand plan for the period of 2026-2030
demonstrates the Vietnamese leadership's strong determination to
drive socio-economic development through 2030.
VNH also stayed on its positive
trajectory, having won both the Citywire and Investment Week
investment company awards - for best emerging market fund, and
outperforming the index year-to-date, 15.7% versus 9.6% for the
market. In an interview, Craig Martin, chair of Dynam Capital,
VNH's investment manager, discussed the US election, AI and
Vietnam's fastest-growing sectors.
"Banks are a fascinating play on the
broader economic growth in a country like Vietnam. Not every
opportunity is captured in the stock market, but banks play to all
those opportunities. Plus, Vietnam is under-banked. Until about two
years ago, there were more Facebook accounts than bank accounts,
but now that's changing. Vietnamese banks are actively looking at
digitalisation tools and drawing more people into the banking
system, so it's high growth and yet the banks themselves are very
attractively priced on maybe one times price-to-book. There is
excellent value and good growth. If you're very selective, you can
find some excellent opportunities in the banking
sector."
Although there is no doubt that
global trade will shift under the new Trump administration, we
believe Vietnam's position in Southeast Asia's emerging industrial
stage will remain strong on a global scale. Vietnam has established
itself as a manufacturing behemoth over the past decade, attracting
billions in foreign direct investment (FDI) from companies looking
to diversify production beyond China. It also is worth noting that
nearly 40% of all ASEAN exports to North America come from Vietnam.
In addition, Vietnam's semiconductor industry is establishing
itself as participant in the global technology supply chain, thanks
to the government's consistent support and well-defined strategy.
For example, Samsung and Intel have increased their investments in
Vietnam in response to US restrictions on Chinese technology,
thereby increasing the capacity of an industry that is expected to
generate US$100bn in revenue by 2050.
Several of the companies in our
portfolio come from the services sector so are business-to-business
and leveraging on these opportunities in Vietnam. Consequently, we
see top-level growth and only a modest increase in their underlying
operational cost structure, which is resulting in a high return on
capital employed. So, while external geopolitical and economic
risks may continue to loom, the Fund remains well-positioned for
the growth expected for the rest of 2024 and into 2025.
For more information please
contact:
Dynam Capital
Limited
Craig
Martin
Tel: +84 28 3827 7590
info@dynamcapital.com
|www.dynamcapital.com
www.vietnamholding.com
Cavendish Capital Markets
Limited
Corporate Broker and Financial
Advisor
Tel: +44 20 7220
0500